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Shocking Increase In U.S. Money Supply

Published 12/11/2020, 12:02 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The increase in the US money supply in the past two weeks is absolutely shocking. Something must be seriously wrong behind the scenes at the US Treasury and Federal Reserve for the M1 Money Supply to increase more in the past two weeks than it did in six weeks during the beginning of the pandemic shutdowns in late March.

In just one week, the M1 Money Supply surged by $498 billion. While that was stunning, I was quite shocked to see another huge increase in the past week.

The FRED —St. Louis Federal Reserve just updated their M1 Money Supply figures showing another increase of $312 billion, on top of the $498 billion added the week prior. So, the total increase in the US M1 Money Supply for Nov. 16 to Nov. 30 is a shocking $809 billion. Compare that to the $388 billion increase from Mar. 16 to Mar. 30 when the pandemic shutdowns first began.

Increase M1 Money Supply MAR vs NOV-2020

Do you know how much $810 billion equals? That turns out to be four years of global gold mine supply totaling 440 million or 40 years of global silver mine supply of 32 billion oz. This is beyond stunning to see this much of an increase without any news release by the US Treasury or Federal Reserve.

Of course, it made sense to see the M1 Money Supply to increase after the pandemic shutdowns and stock market meltdown… BUT WHY NOW??? Take a look at the following chart from the St. Louis Fed (FRED).

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FRED M1 Money Supply NOV-30, 2020

From Mar. 16 to April 27, the US M1 Money Supply increased $773 billion… six weeks. Why on earth has the M1 Money Supply increased $810 billion… in TWO WEEKS!!!

Again, something very serious must be going on that we don’t know about because this is certainly unprecedented. I thought just maybe this was some sort of accounting mistake. But, when I went to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Money Stock Release Dec. 10, I found the following chart:

Money Stock Measures DEC-10-2020

And there they are, highlighted in YELLOW. What’s interesting is that the M2 Money Supply figures actually declined a bit during the same period.

The next chart is the Long-Term M1 Money Supply chart since 1980. As you can see, in the past eight months, the M1 Money Supply has gone STRAIGHT UP.

M1 Money Supply Long-Term NOV-30, 2020

Actually, it has gone more STRAIGHT UP in the past two weeks than it did during March-April this year. To see the M1 Money Supply increase this quickly, again, something must be seriously wrong… which we will likely find out sooner or later.

Original Post

Latest comments

Look to the M2.  Savings deposits (the major component of M2) decreased by $931 billion in the same period: Nov. 16, 2020  $10,647.0 billion Nov. 30, 2020    $9,716.2 billion This more than offset the increase in M1, which, as you point out, was $809 billion.  Of this increase, $724 billion was in demand deposits (the major component of M1); currency and OCDs together accounted for the other $85 billion. The question, therefore is:  Why did not far from a trillion dollars shift from savings to demand deposits in the span of 14 days? https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/default.htm
Here we go!  Market lags the money supply by a couple weeks usually.  Final melt up to a *******off top here we come!  Multi decade top forming in a market near you!
I bet some of it went to support stock market since no way it's so stale when different states will fight in supreme court over elections
I bet some of it is supporting stock markets since no way in *******could they be so stale while different states will be fighting in supreme court over elections. great article man
I wonder what's going on as well...can't be good. Anyways, nice catch Steve!
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