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S&P 500: October Opens With A Selloff

Published 10/02/2014, 12:53 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

When it comes to monthly market volatility in the S&P 500, October tops the list, ranging from its 16.3% surge in 1974 to its 21.8% plunge in 1987. How will October 2014 stack up on the volatility scale? Time will tell. But the month certainly opened on a weak note, dropping 1.32%, the sixth largest one-day decline so far this year. The index closed a bit off its -1.52% intraday low at the start of the final hour of trading. The intraday range was at the 96th percentile of the 189 market days of 2014.

The selloff in equities was matched by a rally in Treasuries. The yield on the 10-year Note closed at 2.42%, down 10 bps from yesterday's close.

Here is a 15-minute chart of the past five sessions

S&P 500 15 Minute Chart

As we see on the daily chart, today's selling came on increased volume.

S&P 500 Daily Chart

A Perspective on Drawdowns

The chart below incorporates a percent-off-high calculation to illustrate the drawdowns greater than 5% since the trough in 2009.

S&P 500: % Off High Since March 9, 2009
For a longer-term perspective, here is a pair of charts based on daily closes starting with the all-time high prior to the Great Recession.

S&P 500 Current Market Snapshot

S&P 500 Current Market Snapshot

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