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No Change In Outlook For GPB/JPY, EUR/JPY: May 31, 2013

Published 05/31/2013, 05:47 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.41; (P) 153.21; (R1) 154.19;

No change in GBP/JPY's outlook. The consolidation from 156.77 short term top is still in progress, and a deeper fall cannot be ruled out. Even in such a case, downside should be contained by 146.42 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 140.37 to 156.77 at 146.63) and bring rebound. We anticipate an eventual upside breakout through 156.77 resistance to extend the larger rally.

The medium term rise from 116.83 is still in progress. As noted, whether such a rally is impulsive or corrective in nature, it's at least a move at the same degree as fall from 163.05. We expect the current rise to extend to 163.05 resistance and above. Considering the bearish divergence condition in the daily MACD, a break of 146.42 will indicate medium term topping and should bring deeper fall back to 140.37 and below.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.41; (P) 131.17; (R1) 132.16;

No change in the EUR/JPY's outlook. The consolidation from 133.80 is still in progress, and a deeper fall is likely. In such a case, downside should be contained by 124.84 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 119.10 to 133.80 at 124.75) and bring rally resumption. We anticipate another rise through 133.80 towards 61.8% projection of 100.32 to 127.70 from 119.10 at 136.02.

The uptrend from 94.11 long term bottom is starting to lose momentum, with bearish divergence condition seen in the daily MACD. While further rise is still in favor for the moment, we'd probably see strong resistance between projection level at 136.02, and 61.8% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 140.98 to limit upside and bring a sizeable consolidation/correction. A break of 124.84 will confirm medium term topping and target 119.10 and below. Considering the five wave structure of the rise from 94.11, we expect another medium term rally after completing the anticipated correction.

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