The U.S. GDP in the first quarter will be released on April 28, which is the first GDP data after Fed raised the interest rate. The market generally expect that the slump in the growth is inevitable. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model adjusted its forecast for U.S. real GDP growth in the first quarter to be 0.1 percent, down from 0.4 percent. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) adjusted it to be 0.9% from 1.2%, Barclays (LON:BARC), 0.3% from 0.4% and the Bank of America-Merrill Lynch even to a negative number.
Considering the terrible expectation for the data, the market is weakening its expectation for an interest rate hike in June and they even expect no more interest rate hikes this year.
EUR/USD
As EUR/USD falls from a high level, we are mainly put options buyers during the daytime session.(HKT)
Support: 1.1341/1.1307 Resistance: 1.1340/1.1433
GBP/USD
Seen from the Chart H4, GBP/USD has room and momentum for a further rise so we are mainly call options buyers in the daytime session. However, seen from a shorter period, the bullish momentum is not strong so call options should be purchased with caution or you’d better stand by. (HKT)
Support: 1.4230/1.4202 Resistance: 1.4285/1.4325
USD/JPY
Seen from the Chart H1, USD/JPY still remains a good rally trend so we are mainly call options buyers during the daytime session before it first reaches the 108.90 resistance. (HKT)
Support: 108.25/107.80 Resistance: 108.90/109.32
[Tips]
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