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Minority Government Is Weak From The Beginning

Published 06/12/2017, 03:37 AM

Theresa May's position has been clearly weakened. Still, it is not easy for the Conservative to get rid of her now, as the Brexit negotiations are still set to start soon and a leadership context will only increase uncertainty. A likely scenario is that she stays for now but is replaced later.

Theresa May's minority government seems weak from the beginning. Negotiations between Theresa May and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) have not been concluded (despite Downing Street No. 10 issuing a statement saying they were) and are set to continue this week.

On Brexit, PM Theresa May is being challenged both by Brexiters and Remainers. The leader of the Scottish Conservative Party, Ruth Davidson, wants to prioritise single market access over curbing immigration. Sky News sources say cabinet ministers are lobbying for a more pragmatic Brexit instead of an ideological-driven Brexit.

The EU seems to be taking advantage of the weak Prime Minister. EU sources say it will take 12 months for the EU to change negotiating guidelines about phase negotiations despite May's wish to discuss withdrawal terms and future relationship simultaneously.

Theresa May has told Angela Merkel that the Brexit negotiations will still start later this month.

Theresa May has reappointed the most important positions in her new cabinet, while notably Philip Hammond has kept his role as Chancellor of the Exchequer. Damian Green (Remainer) has been named Deputy Prime Minister, which may be an indication of a softer Brexit.

Sources say US President Trump has told PM Theresa May that he is not visiting the UK if there are public protests.

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