In this episode of ETF Spotlight, I speak with Brooks Mendell, CEO of forest industry consulting firm Forisk, about the hot lumber market.
Lumber prices have skyrocketed this year, mainly due to disruptions caused by the pandemic and unprecedented demand from the housing markets. They have come down slightly after reaching a record high earlier this month.
Skyrocketing lumber prices have resulted in high profits for forest-products companies and sawmill owners, but timber growers are still getting the lowest prices in decades for logs as there are a lot of trees in the US South and no shortage of timber supplies. Trees that are ready to be harvested continue to exceed sawmill capacity. Per Brooks, timber markets are uniquely local, resulting in supply and demand imbalances.
Home builders would need to construct between 1.1 million and 1.2 million single-family homes per year to meet long-term demand, according to the National Association of Home Builders. And they’re going to need a lot of wood to build those homes, as wood-framed units make up 90% of new homes, per Bloomberg.
Lumber companies are working hard to keep up with the soaring demand. North American sawmill capacity increased by 1.4 billion board feet over the past twelve months, with even more expected in the second half of 2021, per Forisk. They expect that a rebound in supply will lead to moderation in the price of lumber over the coming months.
The iShares Global Timber & Forestry ETF (WOOD) holds 25 timber & forestry stocks while the Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) invests in 81 timber companies. West Fraser (WFG), the largest lumber producer in North America, Weyerhaeuser (WY), Rayonier (NYSE:RYN) (RYN) and Potlatch (PCH) are among the top holdings in these ETFs.
Tune in to the podcast to learn more. Make sure to be on the lookout for the next edition of the ETF Spotlight! If you have any comments or questions, please email podcast@zacks.com.
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Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE:WY): Free Stock Analysis Report
Rayonier Inc. (RYN): Free Stock Analysis Report
Potlatch Corporation (PCH): Free Stock Analysis Report
INVS-TIMBER (CUT): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-GL TF (WOOD): ETF Research Reports
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (NYSE:WFG): Free Stock Analysis Report
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