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GBP/USD Hourly Momentum Remains Bearish

Published 04/07/2014, 12:49 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

BIAS: We should see a recovery back to the 1.6605-35 area before losses resume.

Resistance: 1.6605 1.6620-25 1.6634 1.6660
Support: 1.6551 1.6525 1.6500-10 1.6480-85

MAIN ANALYSIS: Losses were a little deeper than expected although close to valid retracement support levels. However, both 4-hour and hourly momentum remain bearish and suggest that we still need a new low that could be as deep as the 1.6510-28 area. However, first thing we should see a recovery back to the 1.6620-25 area - and allow for 1.6634-40. From this correction we should then see losses down below 1.6551 and to the 1.6510-25 area. Observe for an hourly bullish divergence at the very least - 4-hour also preferable that would support the argument for a reversal higher.

COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only directly below 1.6495 would risk a retest of 1.6465, and if this breaks then we could be back on a bearish outlook.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

3rd April: There seems to be less chance we'll see 1.6695-1.6720-40 first and any break below 1.6617 will open the doors to the downside initially to 1.6564-82 but later also 1.6548 and potentially 1.6510-28. When approaching these lower areas look for bullish reversal indications.

Any earlier break above 1.6663 could still risk 1.6683-1.6717 but then the deeper correction.

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