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EUR/USD Next Stop: Parity

Published 09/20/2015, 06:46 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
EUR/USD
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DX
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In EUR/USD, Well Done. Now What?”, published on August 24th, we suggested “the euro might climb to 1.16, before the bears return.” As it turned out, EUR/USD not only reached, but even exceeded this target. The pair climbed as high as 1.1713. Nevertheless, the Elliott Wave Principle has been warning us to expect a bearish reversal soon. That is why we were more than pleased, when EUR/USD started declining. On September 3rd, the exchange rate fell to 1.1087. EUR/USD 4 Hourly Chart

As visible, the entire price action since the middle of March has been developing between the parallel lines of a channel, which is likely to be corrective. The W)-X)-Y) double zig-zag correction appears to be over, which means the larger downtrend is in progress once again. In order to confirm this assumption, let’s take a closer look at EUR/USD’s behavior during the last month. EUR/USD 1 Hour Chart

According to the theory, a five-wave impulsive decline, followed by a three-wave recovery, means we should expect the euro to weaken against the US dollar from now on. Furthermore, wave (2) seems to have ended near the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which is where corrections often terminate. If this analysis is correct, EUR/USD might plunge to a new low, below 1.0460. Do not be surprised, if the pair reaches parity in the months ahead.

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Latest comments

and not be surprised if reached 1.35
I'll be really surprised if it reachd 1.35. :))
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