Talking Points:
- EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Pending Short
- Support: 1.3476-1.3502 (Feb 3 low, Jun 5 low, 38.2% Fib exp.), 1.3431 (50% Fib exp.)
- Resistance:1.3560 (23.6% Fib exp.), 1.3585 (May 29 low)
The euro is treading water above the 1.35 figure as prices digest recent losses against the US dollar that brought the pair to a four-month low. Near-term support is seen in the 1.3476-1.3502 zone, an area bracketed by lows from June 5 and February 3 lows, with reinforcement from the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. A break below that on a daily closing basis targets the 50% level at 1.3431. Alternatively, a move back above the 23.6% Fib at 1.3560 clears the way for a retest of the May 29 low at 1.3585, followed support-turned-resistance at 1.3672.
We continue to look for opportunities to sell the Euro in line with our long-term fundamental outlook. An actionable signal is absent for the time being however.