Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolios

EUR/USD: The Trend Is Clear

Published 08/21/2014, 02:50 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
AUD/USD
-
AUD/NZD
-
EUR/NZD
-
NZD/JPY
-

Asia Roundup Chart

  • AUD: CB Leading Index rises to 0.4% vs 0.2% expected but did little to help slow down the AUD declines.
  • CNY: Manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations at 50.3 vs 51.5 forecast, making it a 3-month low and adding further bearish sentiment to AUDUSD for intraday traders.
  • JPY: Manufacturing PMI fared better to beat expectations and sit at
  • NZD: Credit Card spending y/y has slowed growth to 4.5% vs 6% previously.

UP NEXT:

Upcoming Events Chart

  • EUR: The Eurozone is all about PMI data tonight with manufacturing and services out for France, Germany and Eurozone. The German economy had continued to cool off and struggling to prop the Eurozone up. Previously I had suspected EUR/USD would form a base at 1.33 and see gains with positive news but due to a shift in sentiment from FOMC the euro crosses remain in 'sell the rally mode'. It would take particularly good data from France, Germany and euro tonight to shift this sentiment, as the Greenback remains very much in the driving seat.
  • GBP: The UK is in need of some good data to help slow the bleeding as it continues to print fresh new lows. A similar case with Euro, it would take particularly good data to stop the bearish trend on GBP/USD as Greenback remains to take control of FX. Even under this scenario, it is more likely to be corrective over a complete reversal.
  • USD: Can tonight's data add to the bullish fire? Quite possible if we see enough of it coming in on (or above) target. However also keep in mind that as we approach the weekend that traders may hang back awaiting comments from Draghi and Yellen so if we see continued gains, they may not be at the same rate seen for the previous 3 sessions.
3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

EUR/USD: The trend is clear - will Eurozone data dump back it up?

EUR/USD 15 Min Chart

The intraday timeframes are within a bearish channel and in the event of modestly positive news from Europe tonight we may see a retracement towards resistance and provide yet another opportunity to get short. As long as we remain below 1.327 then short positions are preferred to target 1.320.


NZD/JPY: May provide clues for the falling Kiwi
NZD/JPY Daily Chart

It is no secret that the Kiwi Dollar has been having a tough time of late. However, I am suspecting that {{58|NZD/JPY}} may provide clues that the Kiwi sell-off (across the board) is a little overdone and may provide bullish opportunities in NZD/JPY, or other kiwi pairs.

If you think of an Index such as the Dow Jones Industrial pick a day when a market bottomed (such as 2010 post-GFC) then explore which stocks bottomed on the same day, you will discover that some came earlier, some on the day and other later. Forex is the same - not all currencies top / bottom at the same time.

With the NZD/JPY producing higher highs / lows on smaller timeframes and producing bullish candles on D1, H4 and H1 we can consider bullish trades on lower time’s frames or seek a buy-limit on D1 to trade up to next resistance. It can also be used as a clue for EUR/NZD and AUD/NZD shorts (although these may require a little more patience).

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.