Talking Points- EUR/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 138.02, 136.38, 135.70
- Resistance: 138.79, 139.74, 140.69
The Euro has seemingly overturned a six-month down trend against the Japanese Yen after clearing a key channel top. Near-term resistance is now at 138.79, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 139.74. Alternatively, a turn below the intersection of the former range and channel top resistance at 138.02 clears the way for a test of a horizontal pivot at 136.38.
Prices are too close to resistance to justify entering long from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bearish reversal signal suggests taking up the short side is premature. With that in mind we will remain flat for now.