Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolio

Daily Insight: USD Sells Off Against G10 Currencies

Published 05/14/2014, 07:28 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
GBP/JPY
-
AUD/CAD
-
AUD/CHF
-

ASIA ROUNDUP:

FX Majors & Crosses Daily

  • AUD saw the most action against the crosses throughout Asia to see a bullish continuation on AUD/USD and strengthen the argument for a run up to 0.945
  • The Greenback suffered the most, selling off against all G10 currencies, however a pullback is to be expected after so many consecutive bullish closes, and weaker US data last night. 
  • NZD retail sales fell short at 0.7% vs 0.9% expected. RBNZ Gov Wheeler has suggested mortgage curbs will stay in place for now but likely to be phased out, not removed completely at one. Currently these curbs help reduce house price pressure, with an increase in interest rates helping ease these pressure whist the curbs are phased out. Earliest curbs would likely be removed late in the year. He also added that slowdown in China growth would have significant impact on the economy.
  • China's central bank have requested major lenders to prioritise 1st time buyers to reduce concerns over a slower property market 
  • AUS200 looks set to close up for the day but just below 5494 resistance. The Index, whilst continuing to create higher high/lows is also forming a suspect bearish wedge formation on D1


UP NEXT: 

Economic Events

Lots of UK data could be pivotal for GBP crosses, particularly GBP/JPY and GBP/USD as we have employment data with inflation report. GBPJPY sits within a suspected bullish triangle. Cable sits at 2-week lows but IK expect to see new highs over coming weeks due to COTS positioning in GBP favour and a cycle low on USD Index not due for another 2-3 months.

 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: 

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .
  • With AUD pairs looking very strong in the closing hours of Asia, be aware that whilst intraday charts look very appealing on AUD/CHF and AUD/CAD, they are approaching resistance levels so may be due a retracement. 
  • AUDUSD is on track for the 0.945 target and ideal for H4 and H1 swing trades above levels of support. 


EUR/USD: Targeting lower trendline for intraday short positions

EUR/USD

Not a trade to 'outstay your welcome on' but we have rejected the 1.70 support level (and yesterday's 2nd target) and retraced toward s a string confluence of resistance. H1 has already produced a Rikshaw Man Doji to warn of pending weakness, and ideally we will lcose the latest H1 candle with a reversal to support this weakness view. 

If you look at D1 and H4 you will see how momentum is clearly bearish, so we are looking for another leg lower. However keep in mind the trenline which may well act as support again, so my preference is to target 1.70 (again) for 'one last hoorah'. 

If we break below the trendline then next target becomes 1.3673.

A break above the resistance zone invalidates the analysis.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.