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Daily Forecast For USD/CHF: December 10, 2012

Published 12/10/2012, 05:16 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
USD/CHF
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BIAS:

We now need a break below 0.9340-50 and 0.9326 to see losses extend to 0.9280-99 - but then care is required.

Resistance: 0.9369 0.9382-86 0.9422 0.9448
Support: 0.9340-50 0.9320-26 0.9299 0.9280

MAIN ANALYSIS: We saw the push into the 0.9368-0.9400 range and while there is a small risk of a blip to 0.9386 I cautiously prefer the downside to resume. Initially we need to see a break below the 0.9340-50 area and once seen should then extend losses through to 0.9280-99. I suspect this area should support for a modest correction higher but probably holding below 0.9320-40 before further losses are seen that should extend back to the 0.9241 low - possibly 0.9214.

COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only above 0.9400 would imply deeper retracement areas at 0.9448 and 0.9472… At this point I don't see any break above 0.9512.

MEDIUM-TERM ANALYSIS:
7th December: Very clearly we had been witnessing a problem on the downside and this recovery should shake out the cobwebs and ideally the 0.9360-00 area should now cap to allow the downside to finally develop. A break below the 0.9214 low will provide the final confirmation although until further development is seen it is difficult to generate any targets.

Only a break above 0.9448 and really 0.9512 would shake this up and cause problems.

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