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Banks May Be Sending S&P 500 A Spooky Message

Published 10/31/2019, 04:10 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
US500
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BKX
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Weekly KBW Bank Index

How Banks perform in the long-term has historically been important to the S&P 500.

The question is, are the banks sending a spooky message to the S&P 500 this week?

It's possible.

This chart looks at the Bank Index (BKX) over the past 8 years. Since the lows in 2011, the index has created a series of higher lows and higher highs inside of rising channel (1).

The index hit the top of the channel in January of last year. After hitting resistance, the index has created a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a channel (2).

The index hit dual support around Christmas of last year and the rally that followed has the index kissing the top of the falling channel at (3).

While kissing the top of this falling channel, the index could be creating a bearish reversal pattern, highlighted in the box above.

Are The Banks Creating A Topping Pattern This Week?

If the bank index happens to run out of upside momentum at the top of this channel, it would send a “spooky message” indeed to this sector and the broad market as well.

Latest comments

It’s in a triangle which will break out to the upside. It will continue to follow long term rising trend so long as Feds manage to reflate interest rates and yields, which they will under both Trump or Warren. They are planning to print another trillion in 2020 which will reflate the economy and dot plot is expecting a rise in yields in 2021
It's time we see some serious correction
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