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The global art market returned to growth last year, although the recovery remained uneven. Sales rose 4 per cent to an estimated $59.6bn in 2025, according to the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report 2026, with public auction turnover up 9 per cent to $20.7bn while the dealer sector grew 2 per cent to $34.8bn. Growth was concentrated at the top of the auction market, where sales of works above $10m rose 30 per cent. The middle market, which has been losing share since the early 2010s, lost further share in 2025.
That gap is the setting for what Aurum Fox did in London on Saturday 19 September, when the brokerage appeared as official art partner of This Is Icon (NASDAQ:ICLR), an on-schedule London Fashion Week runway show and gala at The Brewery in EC1. The firm brought work by the one artist it represents into a room of guests drawn from fashion, media and entertainment rather than from the art trade. According to Aurum Fox, Deda’s paintings were exhibited throughout the evening, with two works translated from canvas into dresses for the runway, and an original abstract sold during the gala’s live auction. The sale took place at a private event rather than in a published auction-house sale, so it sits apart from the public results below.
What the firm is actually selling
Aurum Fox is a Chelsea brokerage deliberately built around a single name, the Toronto-based Canadian painter Greg Deda. Its gallery at 154 Fulham Road shows no one else. Every work is an original, in oil or mixed media, and the firm issues no prints and no editions, which keeps the supply of his work to originals alone and avoids the over-saturation that print runs can bring. Founder and director Kazi Hoque dealt original secondary-market works by major modern and contemporary artists for a decade before building the business around Deda. George Baker heads sales and purchasing.
Viewed through a market lens, the model is concentrated, with limited liquidity, no secondary listing and no daily price. According to Aurum Fox, the firm controls the release of new work to avoid saturating the market, keeps a waiting list rather than lifting output to clear it, takes a long-term view of Deda's career over short-term volume, and advises holding periods longer than most of its clients have so far used.
The public prices an outsider can check
For a living artist at this stage of a career there is no index and no long run of public sales. There are now two open-market results. On 18 September 2025, Abstract Awakening II, a unique mixed media canvas of 152.5cm by 122cm, was offered at Tate Ward's Urban and Contemporary Art auction in London against an estimate of £40,000 to £60,000. Aurum Fox says the work made £50,000, above other notable prints in the same sale. The second came from a different house. On 12 August 2026, Afternoon Tea, a 2012 oil on canvas of 66cm by 66cm, sold at Lyon & Turnbull for £35,480 including buyer's premium, against an estimate of £2,000 to £3,000.
Two results are not a trend, and two lots of such different sizes and estimates do not yet make a price series. They are notable because in both rooms the bidders were unconnected to the seller, which is the single thing a private sales record cannot demonstrate, and because they came from two separate auction houses. The Lyon & Turnbull canvas finished at more than ten times its upper estimate, indicating strong demand for that lot on the day rather than establishing a settled market level for Deda’s work.
Why a fashion audience is a distribution channel
The fashion week booking can be viewed as a customer-acquisition opportunity rather than simply a marketing expense. For some dealers in this market, attracting buyers may be a greater constraint than inventory. Dealers reported an average of 57 individual buyers in 2025, down again, with the steepest decline among businesses turning over less than $250,000. Buying has moved back into physical rooms. Art fairs took 35 per cent of dealer turnover, the highest share since 2022, while online sales fell to $9.2bn, or 15 per cent of the market, the weakest reading since 2019. The United Kingdom held its share at 18 per cent, worth about $10.5bn.
A gala with an auction, a red carpet and a guest list of people who already spend on objects can put a single-artist inventory in front of several hundred potential buyers at a cost that may be below a fair booth, and without a competing stand in sight. The work sold at the event represents a single private result. Whether that converts into repeat collectors is the open question, and the answer may show up in primary sales over the following quarter.
The numbers the firm puts forward, and their limits
Aurum Fox reports a growing client base, with some clients realizing profits within a relatively short period after acquisition. "There's been a lot of people that have bought on the primary market and sold on the secondary market, and they've made quite a big profit," the firm says. Its stated counsel favours longer holds, and it describes the faster exits as a function of demand rather than of advice.
The limits are worth stating plainly. The figures are in-house and unaudited, they carry no measurement date, and on a primary sale the same party sets the price on the way in. Past results in this or any market are not a guide to future ones.
The risks to price in
Everything about the model is concentrated. One artist, one brokerage, one gallery, and counterparty risk that sits with the same firm setting the price. There is also no bid. Exit means finding a private buyer or consigning to auction, where a lot can pass, as happens routinely across the sector, and where the buyer's premium, seller's commission, insurance, storage, shipping and condition reporting all sit between the purchase price and any realised gain. Between sales there is nothing to mark against, since a single living artist at this stage has no index and only a short published auction record, and an insurance valuation is not an exit price.
The regulatory position matters as much as the market one. Art is not a regulated investment product in the United Kingdom, so buyers generally have no Financial Services Compensation Scheme cover and no route to the Financial Ombudsman Service for the artwork itself, while gains on disposal may be subject to capital gains tax. Set against that, much of the sector's growth in 2025 came from the top of the market, including lots above $10m. The price band Deda's work sits in is one that has been losing share for over a decade.
The takeaway
The next public consignment may be the important one, because a third open-room result would begin to turn two data points into a record. After that, primary pricing relative to volume may offer another signal. A higher primary price with no increase in the number of works released could indicate that the controlled-release approach is holding, while more works at the same price could suggest the approach is being relaxed. Conversion from the fashion week room itself may show up in the firm's placements over the next two quarters rather than in any announcement.