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All Comments (13953)
Guts Joestar
Guts Joestar Mar 07, 2025 1:54PM ET
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I believe in trump is gonna make nasdaq go powerful to a level we never saw, at least 24k by th eend o th eyear, this dump is necessary for now
danbalao danbalao
danbalao Mar 07, 2025 1:54PM ET
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are you sure ? herer ine Europe nobody wants a Tesla now and some investors are begining to think to get money back And these are not the fact of communists or us ennemies but from people pro us in normal time But we dont understand why our historical friend and allied suddenly coms against us
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 07, 2025 8:53AM ET
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We are overdue for a strong bounce over a week or more, and I expect the relief rally starts today. There's a ton of resistance that's built up by breaking through so many support levels so quickly, which now become potential resistance levels. I'm holding my longs beyond next weekend and not letting bears trick me out an overdue technical bounce. Once SPX touched its 200-DMA and NDX 20,000, the big money swoops in. They know history. They know stagflation fears, while clearly warranted, are not yet confirmed and thus premature to exit a bull market that MIGHT be able to recover in Q2 or Q3.
Fnk Mrls
Fnk Mrls Mar 07, 2025 8:53AM ET
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for now... it's urgent to wait.. :)
Dumb Money Sheep
DumbMoneySheep Mar 06, 2025 11:31AM ET
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Really? More panic shoves higher? 80 points in 45 seconds?
samir salomon
samir salomon Mar 06, 2025 11:31AM ET
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Thanks Trump for that
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 04, 2025 10:55AM ET
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1741103697_57453.jpg
I expected NDX to bottom between Thursday and Monday, probably closer to Friday open, but the algos have shifted since Trump's announcement yesterday on tariffs, and now the weakness projected to continue through Thursday, though I think the low is most likely tomorrow morning, possibly today, but with intraday redness the couple days following the low, due to strong selling pressure as the bottom forms. This so reminds me of 2018, an ugly year for risk assets.
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 04, 2025 10:55AM ET
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Sorry for the repeat post. This app has been a disappointment for years, not indicating whether something posted or is stuck, not handling percent and ampersand signs properly, and other technical limitations. But it's free, so their IT budget must be tight.
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 04, 2025 10:51AM ET
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1741103466_37412.jpg
I expected NDX to bottom between Thursday and Monday, probably closer to Friday open, but the algos have shifted since Trump's announcement yesterday on tariffs, and now the weakness projected to continue through Thursday, though I think the low is most likely tomorrow morning, possibly today, but with intraday redness the couple days following the low, due to strong selling pressure as the bottom forms. This so reminds me of 2018, an ugly year for risk assets. The result of this decline now suggests a lower high when the index relief rally tops later this month before moving back down. I'm staying long; I closed all shorts on last Thursday's close, except a TLT call, which tends to move inverse to stock market as a Treasury safe haven. (SHY is another option). So i'm suffering yesterday and today, and I may suffer through Thursday off and on, but I still expect the EOW close to generate a strong rally next week, which has always been my high level expectation. The daily movement details are going to depend more on what Trump says and does. And that's why this looks a lot like 2018 and explains why my projection tools shows the second half of this year looking worse than the first half, but the difference is next year looks even worse, so I expect his stagflationary policies of increasing unemployment claims and poverty while adding tariffs to the cost of consumer goods, raising the cost of blue collar labor through mass deportations to cause a recession, where the Fed must repeat 1982 to stop the inflation, resulting in millions of unemployed. Hoping that doesn't happen, but that's how it looks to me now, but in the meantime, like 2007-08, we have some sideways range and will move back up this month before we move back down.
Slade Wilson
Slade Wilson Mar 04, 2025 10:19AM ET
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the hell is wrong with this
Jamal Gold
Jamal Gold Mar 04, 2025 7:39AM ET
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make america great again
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 04, 2025 7:39AM ET
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Impossible before 2029
젤렌 스키
젤렌 스키 Mar 04, 2025 6:34AM ET
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Woooow
젤렌 스키
젤렌 스키 Mar 04, 2025 6:33AM ET
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Woow
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 03, 2025 3:58PM ET
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Kudos to Musk/Trump/Vance for making American more affordable again. We haven't seen these prices in the stock market since last fall or summer! If only food and agriculture prices were falling too, but who cares about the little people, as long as we're able to profit from his policies to help the investor class. If you remember 2018 under Trump, this was his game all year, ending the year with 20-30 percent losses, before a one year recovery happened until the next crises with COVID crash that resulted in all the unemployment, money supply explosion and inflation to follow. We'll see another crash in this administration most likely, but Trump won't install tariffs if his Wall Street billionaire backers aren't happy, so I'm not concerned at this time.
Ian Kid
Ian Kid Mar 03, 2025 11:08AM ET
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We will retest Friday's low this week, PE's remain at historically high levels
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 03, 2025 9:57AM ET
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Today is the next best day to exit shorts after the bottom formed between last Thursday's last hour and Friday's first hour. The 'V' bottom formation is in place, and today is the next best day to exit shorts and enter longs. The relief rally builds steam this week with higher lows and higher highs, and is projected by WaveTech to steepen next week via FOMO. Yes, Trump could alter that projection by worsening the situation, but WaveTech's been very profitable the last several weeks for those who looked ahead at daily and weekly chart projections of price pressure momentum (PPM) and 10-period moving averages using regression analysis, calculus and probabilities based on 150-period lookback on data. So I base my bets on probabilities of an uptick, given how far below 10-day MA we are, Thursday's confirmed VIX broad market Buy signal, and the fact that some people still think Trump/Vance know what they're doing. That'll be proved wrong in the coming months as the market rolls over, but these topping patterns take months. You see the signs of it on weekly charts going back to fall, with bullish momentum fading in the months before and after the election, but there's definitely upside now from here. I bought TQQQ and SPY calls left and right over that bottoming period I just specified. My tool says today's low is the low of the week, just as it advised me two weeks ago that the low of the Feb. downtrend would be near/at month-end.
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Mar 03, 2025 9:57AM ET
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I was able to add around 1:30 pm additional contracts. If we see a lower low than Friday's, I'll add more. One thing that's changed is that Friday was projected all last couple weeks to be the low of short term price pressure momentum wave, called PPM-1, on NDX daily chart, and PPM-2, an intermediate term wave, had bottomed earlier last week. But now it show PPM-1 bottoming today, and PPM-2 hitting a double bottom today, maybe a tad higher but essentially same in momentum, while PPM-3, the longer term wave, bottomed on Thursday and is moving up since Friday. So, we could hit a lower low in price today, but it's still a buying opportunity, assuming Trump doesn't do something new that causes more price destruction through sentiment destruction. Of course, Wall Street billionaires and the market makers make lots of money on these volatility swings while the masses buy and sell at the wrong times.
Haris Aslam
Haris Aslam Mar 03, 2025 3:18AM ET
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Buy
Ian Kid
Ian Kid Mar 01, 2025 3:46PM ET
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Friday's rally seems to be a dead cat bounce, Friday's move looks to be short covering, institutions remain short, indexes have had less damage than individual names in the broader markets. Bottom line the consumer the primary driver in the economy is losing momentum. Trumps policies will have positive effects on the economy long term 2-3 years out but in the near term is going to hit the economy. Look to stick to the game plan and sell the rips
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 28, 2025 10:09AM ET
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As I wrote here on Jan. 31 and Feb. 16, only an untrained momentum chaser would buy this index in the second half of January, that the time to buy this index is late February, and this is even better than I expected a month ago. You gotta have the right tools, training and experience to look under the hood at what's going on. I was bearish since the week of the inauguration b/c I knew destruction was imminent. But we'll get a breather over next couple weeks or so in a relief rally b/c the index is too far below its 10-DMA, and that plus other factors tells Wall Street to begin acquisition phase and fade the liquidation.
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 28, 2025 10:00AM ET
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Very excited about today, folks. Those who buy long today are gonna be happy they did a week from now, as anyone with savvy technical analysis skills and tools is aware by the terms positive divergence, VIX broad market Buy signal, and technically oversold on the daily chart. I don't know whether the intraday low is today or early next week, but I do know the bottom formation phase begins today, as PPM-1 on NDX and SPX on daily charts bottoms today, while PPM-2 and -3 move up just as much as PPM-1 drops today. That means some weakness but overall selling momentum begins to fade, as PPM-2 and -3 already bottomed this week. Now semiconductors have more weakness ahead, so that's a drag that means serious resistance as we head next week toward 10-day MA. But that will dissipate the following week, when the FOMO relief rally strengthens greatly. Buy long, whether today or early next week, having cash to buy at different price.
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 28, 2025 10:00AM ET
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BTW there could be a drop this morning toward the London close. As some of you know, the inflection point on intraday charts is often late morning around London close. I'm scaling in at different price points, so I don't worry much about timing, but you have to have sufficient cash to scale into and average down purchase price, as well as anticipate extreme scenarios.
Mark Spencer
Mark Spencer Feb 28, 2025 10:00AM ET
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so on the up side, what target are you looking at
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 28, 2025 10:00AM ET
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Mark, I see the 10-day simple moving avg (10-DMA) peaking near 22,000 even, although that will probably change some as time progresses. My tool doesn't yet have an upside daily close or intraday projection, but I suspect I'll have one system generated next week sometime, probably by midweek, and they do update periodically based on pattern changes. I would assume intraday price can move 1-3% above a 10-DMA, sometimes more, so that you could calculate as a temporary approximation. My weekly chart, which is more reliable looking a month out, indicates a mid March reversal for now, then lower into last full or partial week of March. Hope that helps some.
Mark Spencer
Mark Spencer Feb 28, 2025 10:00AM ET
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Thank you for your response.
An De
Ande Feb 28, 2025 9:51AM ET
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Weekly. it can go down 2k to 18450
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 27, 2025 2:44PM ET
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This is why I only sold enough SMH puts on Tues. to cover cost of entire trade, so when I sell remaining contracts, it's pure profit, no risk of loss. No telling what Trump said this time to spook markets and stir chaos, uncertainty, fear and distrust. Notice since his inauguration, stocks have moved lower while Treasuries up, indicating distrust of the administration's ability to govern effectively. But what else should we expect from Wall Street tycoons who've cozied up to Trump so they can profit from the volatility and get a heads up on what's coming next, so they trade ahead of the inflection points.
Aravind Tallam
LiveKingSize Feb 26, 2025 3:38PM ET
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If NVIDIA results are not good then we will see a blood bath ...also due to Traiffs
Dumb Money Sheep
DumbMoneySheep Feb 26, 2025 11:06AM ET
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S&P back to 6000 like MAGIC
Shakir Pti
Shakir Pti Feb 26, 2025 6:10AM ET
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21650tp
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 25, 2025 3:48PM ET
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Having sold my TQQQ March $82-strike puts at over 200% gain, and selling enough of my SMH puts at 40% gain to cover cost of trade, since I'm expecting a bounce tomorrow before moving down again, it's time to start scaling long on NDX/TQQQ for a technically oversold rally that should begin in earnest next week, and my guess with some bounce tomorrow. Careful to spread cash over a few days, as you don't plunge this steeply without low resistance levels being respected. I think we have a week or so of choppy up and down days in a sideways trading range before the support level is confirmed and the rally steepens over the 2nd week of March. And Trump could knock the market over yet again with one of his characteristic blunders of belligerence.
Brion Neary
JamieDimon2 Feb 24, 2025 8:33PM ET
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Short 21446 tp 19K
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 24, 2025 2:37PM ET
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There's still more downside ahead. These little bounces are just lower highs leading to lower lows. Consumer confidence has fallen substantially.
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 24, 2025 2:37PM ET
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And of course I was proven right. Index dropped another 1.3% or so today before a modest recovery.
Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Feb 24, 2025 2:37PM ET
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And more downside today, currently another -2.1%
Donald John Trump
Donald John Trump Feb 24, 2025 10:14AM ET
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Niice
 
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