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Cumberland Advisors Cumberland Advisors

Cumberland Advisors's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Cumberland Advisors, including current material.
The Real Puerto Rico Story By Cumberland Advisors - Jul 09, 2015

Headlines have been swirling around the recent sell-off in Puerto Rico uninsured bonds after comments made last Sunday by Puerto Rico Governor Alejandro Garcia Padilla about the serviceability of the...

Tactical Trend Review: 2Q, 2015 By Cumberland Advisors - Jul 08, 2015

The Tactical Trend Allocation strategy seeks to identify favorable investment opportunities among six primary asset classes. Capital is rotated to the specific markets that our portfolio managers...

We Like The International Markets By David Kotok - Jul 07, 2015

In the second quarter of 2015 the outperformance of the broad international markets versus US markets has continued. As of this writing, the MSCI All Country World ex-US Index (non-US international)...

American Productivity By David Kotok - Jul 05, 2015

Gad Levanon, Ph.D., Managing Director for Economic Outlook & Labor Markets at The Conference Board, was a guest of our June 2015 assemblage at Leen’s Lodge in Maine. Gad subsequently posted...

France Isn't Greece By Bill Witherell - Jul 02, 2015

Having lived in France (where I was OECD’s Director for Financial and Enterprise Affairs in Paris) for some 28 years, I try to touch base there once a year. I have recently returned from three...

Balance Of 2015 Looks Good For Munis By John Mousseau - Jul 01, 2015

The muni bond market was buffeted by a number of headwinds in the first half of the year.Extremely Heavy Supply Through May 2015 total supply in the muni market was approximately $179 billion. The...

Barry Bannister On Greece By David Kotok - Jun 29, 2015

A sharp note this morning by Barry Bannister (STIFEL) is worth sharing. We thank Barry for giving us permission.Despite all this posturing over Greece and “Grexit” risk, I doubt Greece...

Governor Powell And Greece By David Kotok - Jun 28, 2015

Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell is widely quoted in the press. He spoke this past week about the timing of the Fed’s intended increases in interest rates: “My own forecast calls for...

Second Quarter Stock Market Review By David Kotok - Jun 28, 2015

Uncertainty is the watchword for 2Q2015 performance in stock markets worldwide. One driver of uncertainty is the revelation of dispersion among various global central banks. There is also uncertainty...

Greece: Moral Hazard By David Kotok - Jun 23, 2015

Greece has set the new high price of “moral hazard.” Emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) from the European Central Bank now is estimated to exceed €100 billion. It continues to...

Circularity By David Kotok - Jun 22, 2015

Greece gets money from the IMF and uses it to pay the IMF. Result: a circle. Another option: Greece is refused money by the IMF and therefore fails to repay the IMF. Result: a circle. The only...

The June FOMC Outcome By Bob Eisenbeis - Jun 18, 2015

The Fed continued its zero interest rate policy and provided few, if any, other than vague clues in either Chair Yellen’s press conference or in the statement itself about the exact timing for...

The Fed, Interest Rates And The US Dollar By David Kotok - Jun 15, 2015

Immediately following its interest rate cut, New Zealand’s central bank provided guidance suggesting that there may be more cuts in the future. The New Zealand dollar, nicknamed the Kiwi, is now...

China: Bubble Or Bull Market With Legs? By Bill Witherell - May 29, 2015

On May 26, when global markets tumbled, the Shanghai Stock Exchange managed to add a 2% gain to the seven-year high it reached last Friday. On the 28, however, the Chinese markets reversed...

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