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Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC

Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC, including current material.
Payrolls And The 2014 Problem By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Aug 06, 2017 1

If the economy this year is like it was in 2014, the latest payroll report is moving in that direction. As has been the case since that time, the Establishment Survey will typically estimate two good...

Betting Against The Short: Not Really Wrong On Bonds By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Aug 03, 2017 2

It is often said that the market for US Treasuries is the deepest and most liquid in the world. While that’s true, we have to be careful about what it is we are talking about. There is no single...

Fourth Order ‘Rising Dollar’ Effects Hit 2017 By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Aug 03, 2017

Total construction spending fell considerably in June 2017, according to Census Bureau estimates released yesterday. Seasonally-adjusted, layouts for new construction declined by 1.3% from May....

Non-Cycle Auto Paralysis By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Aug 02, 2017

In December 2015, automakers were still riding high. Auto sales that year were to be another record, both in terms of units as well as dollars. Americans had spent about $437 billion on new vehicles...

Procter & Gamble: Going Back To Growth By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Aug 01, 2017

Activist hedge fund manager Bill Ackman succeeded in 2013 in ousting Procter & Gamble's (NYSE:PG) CEO Bob McDonald. It was noteworthy at the time because the company issued a strange memo...

GDP (And Revisions) Confirms Market Rebound Is Weaker Than 2014 By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 30, 2017

Real Gross Domestic Product expanded by 2.54% in Q2 2017, below most estimates including the final one from the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model. That latter method was close once again in its final...

Inflation Is Not About Consumer Prices By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 27, 2017

I suspect President Trump has been told that markets don’t like radical changes. If there is one thing that any elected official is afraid of, it’s the internet flooded with reports of...

TIC: Dollars In May: Consistently Inconsistent By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 27, 2017

The TIC data for May was inconsistent. It has been that way for several months, and importantly describes what I think is the operative “dollar” condition. Though the data is several...

China’s Banks Deliver RMB In June By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 26, 2017

Updated statistics from the People’s Bank of China shed some light on changing money conditions in RMB. The Big 4 State-owned banks have been the primary liquidity conduit for all policies and...

Why Reflation Will Continue By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 25, 2017

Part of “reflation” was always going to be banks making more money in money. These days that is called FICC – Fixed Income, Currency, Commodities. There’s a bunch of activities...

Why Hong Kong Is Still Interesting By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 20, 2017

When the People’s Republic of China (PROC) was granted full UN status in 1971, everything was then set in motion. The successor to Chaing Kai-shek’s nationalist government in the Republic...

Questions: How Much Further Can The Dollar Fall? By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 19, 2017

Why is inflation ex-food and energy considered core? Isn’t food and gas about as core as it gets for most people? Why do economists think it is important to stabilize the price of luxuries but...

Global Asset Allocation Update: Not Yet By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 18, 2017

There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are no changes to the portfolio this...

Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Attention Shoppers By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Jul 17, 2017

The majority of the economic reports over the last two weeks have been disappointing, less than the consensus expectations. The minor rebound in activity we’ve been tracking since last summer...

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