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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
Crude Oil Slips Below $50 A Barrel By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 10, 2017

For the first time since December, a barrel of WTI is below 50 USD, after losing close to 5.7% in trading yesterday. U.S. inventories are up sharply, which appears to have been the trigger for the...

Tensions Mounting In Korea By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 08, 2017

China is seeking a compromise further to the Americans’ deployment of their THAAD anti-missile system to South Korea, significantly upsetting Chinese authorities. Pyongyang, whose sole ally is...

Oil-Impacting Headlines By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 07, 2017

Crude oil in USD continues to fluctuate within the range established since December. While this zone has held for several months, a technical breakout is becoming more and more likely. Some of the...

OECD Says It Is Concerned By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 07, 2017

A recent report from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) notes that the global economy may not be robust enough to handle an increase in protectionism (tariff barriers),...

Yellen Opens The Door To A Rate Hike By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 06, 2017

At a business luncheon on Friday, U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Janet Yellen confirmed that if economic conditions continued to match the Fed’s expectations, the rate normalization process...

Fed Turns Hawkish   By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 03, 2017

After a difficult start to the year, the U.S. dollar seems to be regaining traction. Hawkish signals from several Fed Governors, including Chair Janet Yellen, prompted investors to adjust their...

Vote Of Confidence In The U.S. Economy By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 03, 2017

Much like stock markets around the world, the U.S. dollar continued to climb yesterday, further to a vote of confidence in the U.S. economy from several members of the Federal Reserve and the...

U.S. Dollar Takes Flight By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 01, 2017

Three members of the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) spoke on Wednesday and all of them indicated that a rate hike could be in the cards in the short term, although they remained vague as to the...

Possible March Rate Hike In The United States By The National Bank of Canada - Mar 01, 2017

It appears that investors are growing more convinced that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise its key rate when it next meets in mid-March. The implied probability on bond markets has shot up...

An Eventful Week In Canada By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 27, 2017

The Canadian dollar was bolstered Friday by inflation data that outstripped economists’ expectations as the introduction of a carbon tax in Alberta and Ontario drove gasoline and natural gas...

Weekly Economic Watch   By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 26, 2017

CANADA: Retail sales unexpectedly fell by 0.5% in December, with 9 of the 11 major subsectors registering declines, including a 0.9% drop for automobiles. Excluding autos, sales retreated 0.3% as a...

Retail Sales Down By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 23, 2017

After the publication of Canadian retail sales figures for December, the Canadian dollar appeared to be headed for a day down against the U.S. dollar. While the economists surveyed expected them to...

Markets Bullish, Once Again By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 22, 2017

Nothing seems to be able to stop stock markets with most of the international indices ending their session up once again. The U.S stock market continues to trade at levels never seen before. The...

Greenback Returns With A Vengeance By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 21, 2017

Yesterday was particularly calm on financial markets, with holidays in the United States and certain Canadian provinces. U.S. stock markets and the Toronto Stock Exchange were closed. European...

Weekly Market Update By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 21, 2017

Last week was remarkably calm on the currency front, particularly with regard to the USD/CAD pair. Despite a number of surprising developments, the rate did not stray beyond a range of only 100...

Weekly Economic   By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 21, 2017

CANADA: The Teranet–National Bank Composite House Price IndexTM rose 0.5% in the first month of the year, matching the largest January increase in the 18-year history of the index. Prices were...

Weekly Energy By The National Bank of Canada - Feb 21, 2017

Last week, crude oil closed down slightly for the first time in a month. Some of the news impacting crude oil prices:The OPEC agreement to reduce output levels, which is respected at 90%, is affecting...

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