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US Coffee C Futures - Sep 14 (KCU4)

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183.00 +2.55    (+1.41%)
30/07 - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 183.00
  • Open: 180.05
  • Day's Range: 179.93 - 183.13
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US Coffee C 183.00 ++2.55 (++1.41%)
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US Coffee C Overview

Prev. Close183.00
MonthSep 14
Tick Size0.0005
Open180.05
Contract Size37,500 Lbs.
Tick Value18.75
Day's Range179.93 - 183.13
Settlement TypePhysical
Base SymbolKC
52 wk Range101.00 - 218.93
1-Year Return52.25%

US Coffee C News & Analysis

US Coffee C News


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Latest US Coffee C Comments

Aelzio Gave
Aelzio Gave Jul 30, 2014 11:12PM GMT
TerraForte Releases Third and Final Brazil Crop Estimate. . Coffee Network - Brazil-based TerraForte has released their third and final Brazil crop estimate. According to the report, April and May rainfall data was highly celebrated even though being months that total volume normally is fairly low. “Fact is from January/14 to June/14 accumulated rainfalls were the worst one we have seen so far.”. . Considering Terra Forte farms are amongst the most well treated farms, the company has detected 20% loss against our forecast done prior to the drought. However, TerraForte estimates 30% losses for the rest of South Minas and Zonan da Mata. Cerrado is by far the better one with 10% loss. The whole Mogiana region, around 15%, South of Minas and Zona da Mata region with an average of 30% loss.. . Therefore TerraForte’s 14/15 crop estimate has been revised to 28.344 million bags of Arabica and remains at 17.44 million bags of Conillon.. . First estimate prior to the drought: 53.7 million bags. . Second Estimate (February): 47.4 million bags. . Third and final estimate: 45.785 million bags. . BREAK DOWN BY REGIONS (in million bags). . 2014 Prior drought 2014 after drought. . SUL DE MINAS 13.900.000 9.730.000. . CERRADO 5.610.000 5.049.000. . ZONA DA MATA 6.100.000 4.575.000. . SÃO PAULO 5.100.000 4.335.000. . ESPIRITO SANTO. . (Arabica) 2.200.000 1.650.000. . (Robusta) 13.300.000 13.300.000. . PARANA 900.000 765.000. . BAHIA. . (Arabica) 1.600.000 1.440.000. . (Robusta) 1.800.000 1.800.000. . RIO DE JANEIRO. . (Arabica) 150.000 150.000. . (Robusta) 40.000 40.000. . RONDONIA 1.500.000 1.500.000. . MATO GROSSO 500.000 500.000. . GOIAS 500.000 450.000. . OTHER ARABICA 200.000 200.000. . OTHER CONILLON 800.000 800.000. . TOTAL 53.700.000 45.784.000. . ARABICA 36.260.000 28.344.000. . CONILON 17.440.000 17.440.000. . CARRY OVER STOCKS. . Crop 13/14: 53.290.000. . Carry 01/07/13: 9.840.928. . Beginning Stocks: 63.130.928. . Total exports: 33.971.000. . Internal Consumption: 21.000.000. . Carry 01/07/14: 8.159.928. . 2015 / 2016 PROSPECTS. . • Jan/Jun 2013 – accumulated rainfalls circa 1050 mm. . • Jan/Jun 2014 – accumulated rainfalls circa 470 mm. . • Right now, they are witnessing plantations which were fully loaded, simply falling apart and losing most of its leaves. On those, normally TerraForte would expect a downturn of maximum 25% due to cycle. The way things are going, we basically cannot count on them.. . • Pruned plantations which should make up for the loaded ones are showing a 20% loss in vegetative growth, depending on the region sometimes 40%.. . • Surprisingly they detected a higher incidence of leaf rust. It is unusual for this time of the year, especially because normally it occurs during the wet season. Maybe due to extreme stress plantations are going through.. . • TerraForte definitely won´t give any estimate on numbers for 15/16. Based on their track record, they forecast a very strong flowering due to the extreme stress of the plantations, which might mislead the market again when wonderful pictures of the flowering start circulating.. . • Considering all facts above, they believe in a huge percentage of abortion will take place.. . • What is clear is prospects aren´t good and we would need an extreme change in weather pattern to avoid further disruption.

Abdelsalam Alhassoun
Abdelsalam Alhassoun Jul 30, 2014 06:20PM GMT
Coffee production at Cooxupe, Brazil's biggest coffee cooperative, will be about 30% less than it had initially forecast this year because of the country's drought, the group's president said.. . Cooxupe will produce about 4.1 million 132-pound bags of coffee this year, President Carlos Paulino da Costa said, compared with the six million bags the cooperative had predicted before Brazil's worst drought in decades started in January. Cooxupe has nearly 12,000 members.. . The forecast is also down from Cooxupe's production of 4.2 million bags last year, as the severe dry weather knocks Brazil off of its traditional coffee-growing cycle. Brazil, the world's biggest coffee producer and exporter, has a two-year cycle in which production in even-numbered years is larger than in odd-numbered years. This year, Cooxupe, Cooparaiso and other coffee cooperatives are instead predicting a decline in output.. . Cooxupe's members, who are located in the south and west of Minas Gerais state, have finished close to two-thirds of the harvest, Mr. da Costa said. He said the drought's effects can be seen in the beans.. . "The appearance of the beans is worse, they're deformed, and smaller and lighter," Mr. da Costa said. "So far that's not affecting the quality of the drink, though. It still tastes good.". . At this point in the harvest it would normally take about 400 liters of beans to reach the standard 132-pounds in a bag, and now growers need about 540 liters, he said.. . Brazilian crop agency Conab forecast a coffee crop of about 45 million bags for the entire country this year, though some analysts expect it to be closer to 50 million bags. Production in 2012 was 50.8 million bags, and in 2013 it was 49.2 million bags, the smallest difference ever in the two-year cycle.
billy batts
billy batts Jul 30, 2014 08:41PM GMT
wow 28 million bag of arabica !! last reports forecasted 32-35 !! close the shorts, let's get started
Stanislav Sindov
Stanislav Sindov Jul 30, 2014 08:53PM GMT
Dont listen to this guy , he had 240 as forecast in May and keeps posting a made up number every month .

Jakub Barej
Jakub Barej Jul 30, 2014 01:12PM GMT
Is there any chance that coffe go to 178 today?
Artur Movsisyan
Artur Movsisyan Jul 30, 2014 02:08PM GMT
it is technically possible ... but much depends on the news.
Jakub Barej
Jakub Barej Jul 30, 2014 02:37PM GMT
Are we expecting any news? Who will deliver it and where we should find it? I remember speculation news that drew the price of natural gas to the sky. The news was just about stock of gas smaller than expected. After a while the price dropped (and you can see where it is now). So I understand that so called infomation of poor crops (rain etc.) is only produced to manipulate the price. Shame.
Artur Movsisyan
Artur Movsisyan Jul 30, 2014 03:09PM GMT
Unfortunately (or not) I do not get the latest news. In the general case market is driven not the news, only their perception of players. The recently published news from Brazil, apparently decided that the players need to open longs that pushes the price up. In my understanding of the situation is not critical right now.
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