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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

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223.28 -4.82    -2.11%
26/04 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 228.10
  • Open: 225.95
  • Day's Range: 221.42 - 226.95
US Coffee C 223.28 -4.82 -2.11%

US Coffee C Futures User Rankings

 
Ranking of users according to the performance of their sentiments for the US Coffee C Futures.
RankUsernameTotalClosedWinningWin %Chg. %
1Romel Miranda Ribeiro37036932788.62+115.36%
2Abhishek Mysore Ramachandra66664568.18+94.62%
3CELIO ANTONIO V.BAILONI89189080590.45+67.65%
4Vijay Boda23232086.96+62.4%
5Ekaterina Kutnyak87571.43+56.03%
6Riquelmer Cruz1171177765.81+52.12%
7Julian Palacio99666.67+50.93%
8Arunas Balciunas15141178.57+49.94%
9Hich Hich99666.67+49.2%
10Juancho Miranda20201680+45.91%
11CRISTIAN BRAVO1110770+41.78%
12R o m i l do66466.67+41.27%
13Pedro Ginjaume66466.67+41.1%
14Artur Movsisyan98987677.55+40.26%
15Berti Abuaf333100+40.18%
16Steve Roberts1212975+39.95%
17Jakub Barej44375+38.5%
18Prabhakar Bs55480+38.49%
19John Cruise99888.89+37.69%
20Dirk Bolkaerts55480+37.65%
21pedro primeiro91916874.73+37.41%
22Coccolino Alex23221568.18+37.15%
23Adin Emerito Manueles Benitez1010660+36.1%
24Moravid Ecks19191052.63+35.7%
25Debsi66466.67+33.86%
26YOGESH KUMAR19191684.21+33.77%
27Big Cov333100+33.7%
28Luca Brunelli333100+33.15%
29Giuliano Zanlucchi1111981.82+32.75%
30syed rafay alrafai 299777.78+32.7%
31Duygu Akaytar76583.33+32.68%
32David Garbuzov222100+32.01%
33DocGreenmore15815714793.63+31.65%
34Jacopo Bussadori1010660+31.53%
35Ruben Reyes211100+31.5%
36Victor Portillo49482858.33+31.23%
37Lucas Garcia766100+31.08%
38Mas Mas44375+30.91%
39Michael Wagner333100+30.67%
40Josemar Moreira333100+30.39%
41Alberto Zoppis333100+30.36%
42bill billsson222100+30.22%
43Ramon Fiallos44250+30.06%
44сергей тарасов29282071.43+30.02%
45Fabiano Dutkievicz Nakayama88675+30.01%
46Geoffrey Loots98562.5+29.79%
47Kostas Jj222100+29.67%
48BigPG23232295.65+29.1%
49Agustin Gutierrez1616956.25+29.05%
50Tabrez Munavar Hussain444100+28.76%
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Damian Dziku
Damian Dziku 9 hours ago
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What can we expect on Monday in that case?
Damian Dziku
Damian Dziku 9 hours ago
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Is road to 300 possible? What do you think?
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 15 hours ago
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JG posted this morning from Dak Lak: You either have some water left in your well or you do not. Some farmers have irrigated 7X (times ? :)) already but don't have water for an 8th round. If it doesn't rain soon, the crop will pass the point of no return. All farmers expect a further decline in 2024/25. And a happy farmer, irrigating the trees at the pic.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 15 hours ago
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Dak Lak produces about 9mb annually. As JG is professional analyst and provides detailed information on subscription basis, it would be naive to expect some evaluations/conclusions in her twitter :). But what the one could get from the tweet and between the lines ? As example: 1) no disaster of scale mentioned (the one likes it or not); 2) some farmers are out of irrigation power already (what correlates with the history for Dak Lak during strong El Nino); 3) some damage has been done; 4) general mood is 24/25 yield will be affected to downside; 5) Point of no return is more figure of speech :) :) :).
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 15 hours ago
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Conservative application of this would (or could :)) be: 1) Vietnam's prediction of 24.5-25mb for 23/24 has reasonable ground; 2) 24.5/25mb for 23/24 would be :) 3 - 2.5mb lower vs USDA's 27.5mb and would move previously expected R balance - compensate :) Brazilian extra production of R, as example 24mb - 21.5mb = 2.5mb roughly; 3) until further notice, 24/25 can be reasonably expected as 28mb; 4) 28mb as operative figure doesn't help R for 24/25; 5) Some other origins suffered similar weather issues, so reduction may be thought for those origins too without much of a hesitation.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 15 hours ago
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As MGom said, rains are expected shortly in Vietnam and all can change to some extent. But it worth of attention, that there are rains and rains as 10mm not equal 50mm, etc. May seems to be super important month as in May: 1) Conab - will it admit some potential quality loss, etc or not for A ?; 2) USDA will publish Vietnam, Indonesia, India, Mexico, Guatemala, etc reports; 3) By some w-guys now, La Nina will not come before September, hot water :), etc - El Nino effect may (!) last till August in some areas...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 14 hours ago
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Currently: high temps in Vietnam, Thailand, Manila, India, Laos, etc.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 14 hours ago
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Climate anomalies like now haven't been seen for over 300 years (open sources). GSM progresses the way it should - next stage should be cooling (if to believe history :)). Main question is how smooth the transition will start ? :) :) :)
Damian Dziku
Damian Dziku 21 hours ago
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Hi guys, what can we expect in the next week? Do you have any ideas?
MGom MGom
MGom Apr 26, 2024 1:49PM ET
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Rains and Flowers are arriving in Vietnam in next days
Damian Dziku
Damian Dziku Apr 26, 2024 1:49PM ET
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What does it mean - is it bullish news?
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Apr 26, 2024 1:49PM ET
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Yes, there will be plenty of beautiful flowers to sell!
Coffee Arabica
Coffee Arabica Apr 26, 2024 1:49PM ET
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K A  Nafees Ahmed
K A Nafees Ahmed Apr 26, 2024 11:51AM ET
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Stay calm , hold your position at least for a week
Damian Dziku
Damian Dziku Apr 26, 2024 9:01AM ET
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Do you know why it goes down so much? I'm thinking about closing the position with a loss :(
Damian Dziku
Damian Dziku Apr 26, 2024 9:01AM ET
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Any advices?
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Apr 26, 2024 9:01AM ET
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Add money to your depo and buy dips ;)
Alpha Centauri
Alpha Centauri Apr 26, 2024 9:01AM ET
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Don't drink&drive
BIG John
BIG John Apr 26, 2024 9:01AM ET
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Stay cam - and hold your position.
K A  Nafees Ahmed
K A Nafees Ahmed Apr 26, 2024 9:01AM ET
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Yes stay calm & hold your post at least foe a week
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Apr 26, 2024 4:48AM ET
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Drought monitor shows that soil in Brazil is already more dry than normal. Weather forecast is without any rain for next 45 days. Both Arabica and Robusta regions. Some say this is good for harvest, maybe...
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 26, 2024 4:48AM ET
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Also, look at CECAFE A April figures vs May: April certs for Apr 25th were 3.028mb vs 2.532mb on March 25th, R 613kb on Apr 25th vs 740kb on March 25th. A goes full speed !!!
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 26, 2024 4:48AM ET
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***** Sorry, April vs March :)
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Apr 26, 2024 4:48AM ET
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Brazil is exporting beans pulled from the deepest warehouses.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 26, 2024 4:48AM ET
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Another good example of growing consumption in Asia: Cambodia, in 2014 consumed about 100kb, in 2022 - about 160kb (open sources). Thus, it's not just Vietnam, it's a trend. Laos growth rate is about 2percent on average annual basis, etc... More income, more western culture :), more population - more consumption... Of course, the rate is lower when it comes to Korea and Japan...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 26, 2024 4:48AM ET
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To cover 44mb of export and 23mb of domestic, Brazil needs 67mb. USDA saw production of roughly 66mb for 23/24 + ending stocks of roughly 4mb for 22/23 --> 70mb. All inline with current development :).
To Mas
To Mas Apr 25, 2024 9:19AM ET
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cofffee wants ath and destroy leverage sellers
Ryan DeLoach
Ryan DeLoach Apr 25, 2024 9:19AM ET
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Nah, really doesn’t. Arabica is trash and will drag overall complex down. Top is in
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 24, 2024 11:38AM ET
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May R crossed 4500.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 24, 2024 11:38AM ET
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All, what is needed for a real panic, suddenly to see that additional reduction plus annual consumption growth is about ECF stocks. Hypothetical (!!!) reduction :) of additional 5 mb based on 30 origins would be ... 167mb per origin....
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 24, 2024 11:38AM ET
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***** 167KB - sorry !!!
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 24, 2024 11:38AM ET
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Thailand was on the news about record temps. Ryan Delany posted that its sugar production is seen now roughly 20% below previous season production. Sugar is not at all coffee, but the fact confirms that high temps were real, etc. Could coffee be affected also ? Who knows ? :) - is honest answer but probability/risk wise it would be more correct to suppose that yes :) vs no ...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Apr 24, 2024 11:38AM ET
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This is from Jim Roemer, Best Weather Spider, on April 22: Vietnam faces worst coffee drought in decades... Jim is in this business for over 30 years, specializes in weather/commodities researches, weather guy by definition... So, Jim witnessed weather issues in Vietnam not just once and Jim is never perma-something: he is based strictly on what he's seeing ahead teleconnections/history wise, etc. His comment kinda also explains why JG left to inspect Vietnam...
Mathew Abraham
Mathew Abraham Apr 24, 2024 11:38AM ET
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Hi Viriato , your spot on with your observations! I'm from India. The primary coffee growing regions Chikmagalur, Coorg and Wayanad were reeling under drought like conditions with record daytime temperatures !! Coffee here even though shade grown took a bit of a beating . In fact we just received " blossom showers" now which was due FEB- MARCH.
Sam Houston
Sam Houston Apr 24, 2024 6:50AM ET
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hiii ❤️
Roberto Tavelli
Roberto Tavelli Apr 24, 2024 6:50AM ET
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Good, are you waiting? I think 213/210 it will be possible. Have you any idea?
Sam Houston
Sam Houston Apr 24, 2024 6:50AM ET
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Roberto Tavelli yes something like that 209 210
Bruno O Souza
Bruno O Souza Apr 24, 2024 6:50AM ET
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Sam Houston i did not understand 213/210? What that means
Roberto Tavelli
Roberto Tavelli Apr 24, 2024 6:50AM ET
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Chart
Bruno O Souza
Bruno O Souza Apr 24, 2024 6:50AM ET
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213/210?
 
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