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US Coffee C Futures - May 15 (KCK5)

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137.30 +2.77    (+2.06%)
16:02:15 GMT - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 134.53
  • Open: 135.25
  • Day's Range: 133.20 - 138.00
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US Coffee C 137.30 ++2.77 (++2.06%)
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US Coffee C Historical Data

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Time Frame:
02/04/2015 - 03/06/2015
 
Date Last Open High Low Vol. Change %
Mar 06, 2015 137.20 135.25 138.00 133.20 - 1.59%
Mar 05, 2015 135.05 137.50 137.55 133.30 - -1.82%
Mar 04, 2015 137.55 131.00 138.55 130.20 23.55K 6.01%
Mar 03, 2015 129.75 139.00 139.20 128.80 23.48K -6.22%
Mar 02, 2015 138.35 141.30 142.40 137.95 15.21K -1.53%
Feb 27, 2015 140.50 141.05 143.80 140.15 21.53K -0.04%
Feb 26, 2015 140.55 143.50 144.80 140.30 15.67K -2.02%
Feb 25, 2015 143.45 149.10 151.80 142.35 22.20K -3.66%
Feb 24, 2015 148.90 148.15 149.70 147.75 11.27K 0.44%
Feb 23, 2015 148.25 152.00 153.85 147.90 16.49K -3.04%
Feb 20, 2015 152.90 153.20 155.00 150.85 16.64K 0.16%
Feb 19, 2015 152.65 156.70 157.50 152.45 17.24K -2.74%
Feb 18, 2015 156.95 160.25 161.00 156.25 23.69K -1.20%
Feb 17, 2015 158.85 167.00 169.00 157.60 40.58K -4.59%
Feb 13, 2015 166.50 167.65 168.75 165.05 23.83K -0.57%
Feb 12, 2015 167.45 162.85 167.85 162.15 28.86K 3.17%
Feb 11, 2015 162.30 163.25 164.20 161.80 22.72K 0.03%
Feb 10, 2015 162.25 169.55 172.00 161.60 22.22K -4.78%
Feb 09, 2015 170.40 169.25 170.85 166.60 12.91K 0.47%
Feb 06, 2015 169.60 168.00 172.50 167.85 18.14K 1.22%
Highest: 172.50 Lowest: 128.80 Difference: 43.70 Average: 150.97 Change %: -19.10

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US Coffee C
 
 
 
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Latest US Coffee C Comments

Mar 05, 2015 09:32AM GMT
will it go today above 140 ?
Bryan Tarr
Bryan Tarr Mar 05, 2015 03:53PM GMT
140 doesn't look likely. Suspect it will test the recent low.

Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Mar 04, 2015 01:16PM GMT
Guys, as I said before I won't risk any prediction on where markets are going, especially since I never thought they get so low with such adverse conditions for production... I am long a few contracts to cover for the bags I had to sell to pay the bills some time ago. I don't have to say that it didn't turn out so well, hehe... But let me state a few facts: 1) we had good rains in Feb, but January and February combine still don't account for more than 2/3 of January 2013's rains; 2) with the rains, the plantation does look great, all leafy and green, but there wasn't that much coffee to begin with... No amount of rain can put more cherries on the trees. 3) the same big exporters/importers who keep putting out inflated crop forecasts are paying some of the best differentials I have seen when they want coffee.
Alberto Ferracuti
Alberto Ferracuti Mar 04, 2015 01:36PM GMT
Thank You Paulo for this feedback. Are you in South Minas or Cerrado ? How much rain do you need in March and April for good cherry maturation ?
Gabu  Max
Gabu Max Mar 04, 2015 04:43PM GMT
Paulo...I´m based in South of Minas and I agree with you. HOWEVER...market is not looking to the upcoming crop any longer. Market is looking to what could happen in 2016 if all gets back to normality. Please remember...market is discounting the premium added because of negative effects of drought. As 2016 could be a potential record crop...market is anticipating...discounting quite fast. We are 2 months away from new crop...nothing can move coffee up if no tragedy expected. Corrections could be expected and in my opinion a good opportunity to sell.
Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Mar 04, 2015 05:53PM GMT
Alberto, I'm in the southern Cerrado. We are 100% irrigated, so, as long as we have a little rain to keep our reservoirs from drying out, we should be OK for this harvest. That is, no more damage than what has already been done (10 to 20% reduction in productivity compared to last year). But we need above average rains so that we don't run out of water by August or September.
Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Mar 04, 2015 06:10PM GMT
Gabu, the market sees what it chooses to see... It can go on being irrational for extended periods of time... But it's my opinion that they are working with inflated crop estimates for 2015. Stocks have been falling even with record exports from Brazil. These exports were old stocks being dumped in the market, and these stocks are not there anymore. In fact, February exports have already shown a decrease compared to last year and to January. And, while maintaining that it is too soon to make any sensible predictions regarding 2016, let's remember that the drought extended until January, and reduced the vegetative growth that will become 2016's production. So, while 2016 might still be a good crop, I wouldn't count on any record settings... Just my humble opinion.
Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Mar 04, 2015 06:17PM GMT
An opinion which, by the way, has cost me a lot of money so far :)
Show more replies (8)

Get  ReaL
Get ReaL Mar 04, 2015 12:10PM GMT
No doubt a oversold pop, look for the fill on gap @ 129.30 to be filled. if takes out yesterdays low we will see 125.
Alberto Ferracuti
Alberto Ferracuti Mar 04, 2015 12:18PM GMT
Get Real, what do you think of Call option buy right here ? Seems good to me. Sooner or later true fundamentals will take hold, not the hogwash we have been listening to łately.
Get  ReaL
Get ReaL Mar 04, 2015 06:20PM GMT
I like the Sept. 170-c closed yesterday @ 5.24 = $1965. Has 162 days left to exp.
Alberto Ferracuti
Alberto Ferracuti Mar 04, 2015 07:03PM GMT
Excellent my sentiments exactly, thanks.
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