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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 15 (KCN5)

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137.23 -4.55    (-3.21%)
27/04 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 137.23
  • Open: 141.78
  • Day's Range: 134.65 - 142.18
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US Coffee C 137.23 -4.55 (-3.21%)
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US Coffee C Technical Analysis

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Summary:STRONG SELL
Moving Averages:SELLBuy (2)Sell (10)
Technical Indicators:Strong SellBuy (1)Sell (10)

Pivot PointsApr 27, 2015 08:19PM GMT

NameS3S2S1Pivot PointsR1R2R3
Classic133.56134.36135.79136.58138.01138.81140.24
Fibonacci134.36135.20135.73136.58137.43137.96138.81
Camarilla136.61136.82137.02136.58137.43137.63137.84
Woodie's133.88134.52136.11136.74138.33138.97140.56
DeMark's--136.19136.78138.41--

Technical IndicatorsApr 27, 2015 08:19PM GMT

Name Value Action
RSI(14) 36.969 Sell
STOCH(9,6) 22.066 Sell
STOCHRSI(14) 56.654 Buy
MACD(12,26) -1.720 Sell
ADX(14) 45.892 Sell
Williams %R -67.405 Sell
CCI(14) -63.7183 Sell
ATR(14) 1.2304 High Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) -1.3429 Sell
Ultimate Oscillator 32.296 Sell
ROC -3.566 Sell
Bull/Bear Power(13) -2.0940 Sell

Buy: 1

Sell: 10

Neutral: 0


Summary: Strong Sell

Moving AveragesApr 27, 2015 08:19PM GMT

Period Simple Exponential
MA5136.23
Buy
137.04
Buy
MA10137.90
Sell
137.81
Sell
MA20139.96
Sell
139.33
Sell
MA50141.91
Sell
140.56
Sell
MA100140.54
Sell
140.46
Sell
MA200138.89
Sell
139.50
Sell

Buy: 2

Sell: 10


Summary: SELL

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Latest US Coffee C Comments

Gabu  Max
Gabu Max Apr 27, 2015 06:22PM GMT
Alberto, can you tell us your source of info?.

Alberto Ferracuti
Alberto Ferracuti Apr 27, 2015 05:41PM GMT
Apparently Mercon came out with a report predicting 50 million upcoming crop in Brazil, and available stocks at July beginning of season 11 million, putting total coffee available from Brazil at 61 million bags for 15-16 season.

Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Apr 27, 2015 02:12PM GMT
I was out of the farm for a couple of week for the SCAA event. I must admit that I am a bit disappointed upon my return. From hearing all the big traders, I half expected to find more coffee on the trees when I got back, but I didn't! So, the physiology of the coffee tree hasn't change and it is still impossible for rains rains in February and March to "create" new coffee that wasn't on the trees in December... There is no way the 2015 harvest will be bigger than the 2014. We're expecting a 10% reduction in productivity, and we have drip irrigation... Just wanted to put it out there...
Gabu  Max
Gabu Max Apr 27, 2015 02:38PM GMT
Paulo, the market is not even looking to what we´re going to produce this year. Market moves looking to future events and the future is promising. 2016 could be a record high in terms of production and funds take advantage of those possibilities smashing prices down. Same thing when we had the worse drought, market did react promptly moving prices above U$2/lb. Now, the worse is over and it is time to play with good production. That´s why fundamentals are quite frustrating...what we see is too obvious...is over, belong to the past. Market is always looking for what future brings.
Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Apr 27, 2015 02:59PM GMT
Gabu, we still have a long way to go to 2016 and, by many accounts, not enough coffee to get there. If we had a deficit close of 5-9mm bags this year, which basically wiped out the stocks, next year will be worse, without the leftovers from 2012 and 2013 to cover the gap. Also, many agronomists say that 2016 has been affected by the drought. It has the potential to be a good harvest, but I wouldn't say a record one. Researchers found a reduction in the number of growth nodes, which directly impact productive potential, of 15-25%. We experienced this at the farm, though not as pronounced because of the irrigation.. It's frustrating, but I have spent my time on the other side. The market sees what it chooses to see.
Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Apr 27, 2015 03:00PM GMT
And, let's not forget that GCA US stocks reached a record last July, but have since lost about 1mm bags while Brazil's exports were setting record after record. Go ahead and check GCA historical data to see when was that last time that stocks fell three months in a row from Jan-Mar. Again, during a period of record world exports. What will happen if - I say when - they start to slow down?
Alberto Ferracuti
Alberto Ferracuti Apr 27, 2015 04:10PM GMT
Paulo, be careful with market movement opposite the bullish scenario. Brazil had tons of stocks--more than anyone imagine or knew about. It was sold to market to supply the deficit caused by the production shortfall. How much more is there ? I am not going to anticipate a shortage until there is evidence of one. I have been bullish also but I will be done if we break down below 133
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