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US Coffee C Futures - Sep 14 (KCU4)

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183.00 +2.55    (+1.41%)
30/07 - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 183.00
  • Open: 180.05
  • Day's Range: 179.93 - 183.13
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US Coffee C 183.00 ++2.55 (++1.41%)
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US Coffee C Technical Analysis

Summary:STRONG BUY
Moving Averages:Strong BuyBuy (12)Sell (0)
Technical Indicators:Strong BuyBuy (6)Sell (1)

Pivot PointsJul 30, 2014 05:30PM GMT

NameS3S2S1Pivot PointsR1R2R3
Classic180.31180.62181.01181.32181.71182.02182.41
Fibonacci180.62180.89181.05181.32181.59181.75182.02
Camarilla181.21181.27181.34181.32181.46181.53181.59
Woodie's180.36180.64181.06181.34181.75182.04182.45
DeMark's--180.81181.22181.51--

Technical IndicatorsJul 30, 2014 05:30PM GMT

Symbol Value Action
RSI(14) 64.342 Buy
STOCH(9,6) 51.751 Neutral
STOCHRSI(14) 100.000 Overbought
MACD(12,26) -4.720 Sell
ADX(14) 29.690 Buy
Williams %R -3.472 Overbought
CCI(14) 279.7189 Overbought
ATR(14) 1.2429 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 1.3821 Buy
Ultimate Oscillator 52.722 Buy
ROC 1.992 Buy
Bull/Bear Power(13) 1.8930 Buy

Buy: 6

Sell: 1

Neutral: 4


Summary: Strong Buy

Moving AveragesJul 30, 2014 05:30PM GMT

Period Simple Exponential
MA5181.57
Buy
181.77
Buy
MA10181.21
Buy
181.37
Buy
MA20180.95
Buy
180.96
Buy
MA50180.01
Buy
178.89
Buy
MA100174.22
Buy
176.04
Buy
MA200171.09
Buy
173.37
Buy

Buy: 12

Sell: 0


Summary: Strong Buy

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US Coffee C
 
 
 
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Latest US Coffee C Comments

Brian Ugwu
Brian Ugwu Jul 31, 2014 05:46AM GMT
Hello guys, please what do you think is the direction for the market today?

Aelzio Gave
Aelzio Gave Jul 30, 2014 11:12PM GMT
TerraForte Releases Third and Final Brazil Crop Estimate. . Coffee Network - Brazil-based TerraForte has released their third and final Brazil crop estimate. According to the report, April and May rainfall data was highly celebrated even though being months that total volume normally is fairly low. “Fact is from January/14 to June/14 accumulated rainfalls were the worst one we have seen so far.”. . Considering Terra Forte farms are amongst the most well treated farms, the company has detected 20% loss against our forecast done prior to the drought. However, TerraForte estimates 30% losses for the rest of South Minas and Zonan da Mata. Cerrado is by far the better one with 10% loss. The whole Mogiana region, around 15%, South of Minas and Zona da Mata region with an average of 30% loss.. . Therefore TerraForte’s 14/15 crop estimate has been revised to 28.344 million bags of Arabica and remains at 17.44 million bags of Conillon.. . First estimate prior to the drought: 53.7 million bags. . Second Estimate (February): 47.4 million bags. . Third and final estimate: 45.785 million bags. . BREAK DOWN BY REGIONS (in million bags). . 2014 Prior drought 2014 after drought. . SUL DE MINAS 13.900.000 9.730.000. . CERRADO 5.610.000 5.049.000. . ZONA DA MATA 6.100.000 4.575.000. . SÃO PAULO 5.100.000 4.335.000. . ESPIRITO SANTO. . (Arabica) 2.200.000 1.650.000. . (Robusta) 13.300.000 13.300.000. . PARANA 900.000 765.000. . BAHIA. . (Arabica) 1.600.000 1.440.000. . (Robusta) 1.800.000 1.800.000. . RIO DE JANEIRO. . (Arabica) 150.000 150.000. . (Robusta) 40.000 40.000. . RONDONIA 1.500.000 1.500.000. . MATO GROSSO 500.000 500.000. . GOIAS 500.000 450.000. . OTHER ARABICA 200.000 200.000. . OTHER CONILLON 800.000 800.000. . TOTAL 53.700.000 45.784.000. . ARABICA 36.260.000 28.344.000. . CONILON 17.440.000 17.440.000. . CARRY OVER STOCKS. . Crop 13/14: 53.290.000. . Carry 01/07/13: 9.840.928. . Beginning Stocks: 63.130.928. . Total exports: 33.971.000. . Internal Consumption: 21.000.000. . Carry 01/07/14: 8.159.928. . 2015 / 2016 PROSPECTS. . • Jan/Jun 2013 – accumulated rainfalls circa 1050 mm. . • Jan/Jun 2014 – accumulated rainfalls circa 470 mm. . • Right now, they are witnessing plantations which were fully loaded, simply falling apart and losing most of its leaves. On those, normally TerraForte would expect a downturn of maximum 25% due to cycle. The way things are going, we basically cannot count on them.. . • Pruned plantations which should make up for the loaded ones are showing a 20% loss in vegetative growth, depending on the region sometimes 40%.. . • Surprisingly they detected a higher incidence of leaf rust. It is unusual for this time of the year, especially because normally it occurs during the wet season. Maybe due to extreme stress plantations are going through.. . • TerraForte definitely won´t give any estimate on numbers for 15/16. Based on their track record, they forecast a very strong flowering due to the extreme stress of the plantations, which might mislead the market again when wonderful pictures of the flowering start circulating.. . • Considering all facts above, they believe in a huge percentage of abortion will take place.. . • What is clear is prospects aren´t good and we would need an extreme change in weather pattern to avoid further disruption.

Abdelsalam Alhassoun
Abdelsalam Alhassoun Jul 30, 2014 06:20PM GMT
Coffee production at Cooxupe, Brazil's biggest coffee cooperative, will be about 30% less than it had initially forecast this year because of the country's drought, the group's president said.. . Cooxupe will produce about 4.1 million 132-pound bags of coffee this year, President Carlos Paulino da Costa said, compared with the six million bags the cooperative had predicted before Brazil's worst drought in decades started in January. Cooxupe has nearly 12,000 members.. . The forecast is also down from Cooxupe's production of 4.2 million bags last year, as the severe dry weather knocks Brazil off of its traditional coffee-growing cycle. Brazil, the world's biggest coffee producer and exporter, has a two-year cycle in which production in even-numbered years is larger than in odd-numbered years. This year, Cooxupe, Cooparaiso and other coffee cooperatives are instead predicting a decline in output.. . Cooxupe's members, who are located in the south and west of Minas Gerais state, have finished close to two-thirds of the harvest, Mr. da Costa said. He said the drought's effects can be seen in the beans.. . "The appearance of the beans is worse, they're deformed, and smaller and lighter," Mr. da Costa said. "So far that's not affecting the quality of the drink, though. It still tastes good.". . At this point in the harvest it would normally take about 400 liters of beans to reach the standard 132-pounds in a bag, and now growers need about 540 liters, he said.. . Brazilian crop agency Conab forecast a coffee crop of about 45 million bags for the entire country this year, though some analysts expect it to be closer to 50 million bags. Production in 2012 was 50.8 million bags, and in 2013 it was 49.2 million bags, the smallest difference ever in the two-year cycle.
billy batts
billy batts Jul 30, 2014 08:41PM GMT
wow 28 million bag of arabica !! last reports forecasted 32-35 !! close the shorts, let's get started
Stanislav Sindov
Stanislav Sindov Jul 30, 2014 08:53PM GMT
Dont listen to this guy , he had 240 as forecast in May and keeps posting a made up number every month .
Rajendra Kumar
Rajendra Kumar Jul 31, 2014 04:58AM GMT
This is an article published elsewhere Stanislav. I am surprised at your comment!
Trader Gas
Trader Gas Jul 31, 2014 06:47AM GMT
Stanislav - so far i find most of your analysis makes sense to me atleast therefore want to see your opinion if are you still on short for this week as my analysis giving me indication for short as well but one of my source is giving me clear indication to go long for remaining days in this week and then go short next week - what's your opinion keeping in consideration all the news as well ?
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