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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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David Kotok
LIBOR’s Message By David Kotok - 20 hours ago

Early every morning at Cumberland an email is sent around to all folks in the firm who touch portfolios. LIBOR rates are part of the dataset. An estimated $150 trillion worldwide is US-dollar-based ...

Gary Tanashian
Bond Vigilantes Just A Myth By Gary Tanashian - Dec 08, 2016

90% (my low-balled estimate) of you, the investing public, are herding when it comes to the bond market. You may not know it because the overwhelming psychological atmosphere is to reaffirm, not ...

Tim Knight
Bonds: 90% Of You Are Herding By Tim Knight - Dec 07, 2016

90% (my low-balled estimate) of you, the investing public, are herding when it comes to the bond market. You may not know it because the overwhelming psychological atmosphere is to reaffirm, not ...

Doug Short
Treasury Snapshot: Yields Rally Continues By Doug Short - Dec 07, 2016

Note: We've update this commentary with data through yesterday's market close. Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries in recent weeks. The yield on the 10-year note ended yesterday at 2.39% and the...

Chris Kimble
Hyperactive Interest Rates By Chris Kimble - Dec 06, 2016

Interest rates have shot up since July. But have they “stretched too far too fast?” One way to measure if an asset has made a rare/extreme short-term move is too see how far above or ...

Gary Savage
Chart Of The Day: Bond Bubble About To Burst? By Gary Savage - Dec 05, 2016 1

Is the bubble in the bond market about to burst? Even a move back to the 38% retracement level over the next several weeks would cause chaos in the global financial markets. Below, U.S. 30-Year annual...

Chris Kimble
Here's Where Interest Rates Could Peak By Chris Kimble - Dec 02, 2016

Talk over the past couple of months has been focused on the fact that interest rates are rising and the Fed will raise rates very soon. A big test is in play before one can say the “rate trend ...

Taki Tsaklanos
Markets Outlook For 2017 By Taki Tsaklanos - Nov 22, 2016 1

We have discussed at length different forecasts for 2017. All our calls, so far, seem to be spot-on. Think of our bullish call for financial stocks in 2017 and bearish gold price forecast 2017. In ...