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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Tim Knight
Are We looking At A Bond Rally? By Tim Knight - Oct 19, 2016

If there’s one clear downtrend out there, it’s interest rates -- despite the blather about “normalization”, which is not going to happen. Here’s the TNX, with the ...

Doug Short
Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective By Doug Short - Oct 16, 2016

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range ...

James Picerno
Rate-Hike Expectations Are Bubbling…Again By James Picerno - Oct 13, 2016 2

The prospect for a rate hike is resonating in the Treasury market. Is this another head fake? Or is the Federal Reserve truly ready to embrace another round of policy tightening? No one knows for sure...

Gregory W. Harmon
A Technical Take On Treasuries By Gregory W. Harmon - Oct 12, 2016

The past twelve months have been an interesting time for US Treasury Bond investors. During that time there, has been an overhanging view that the Federal Reserve will raise rates as a next policy ...

Chris Kimble
10-Year Rates Flirt With 2x Bottom By Chris Kimble - Oct 11, 2016

Interest rates over the past 10 years have bounced and created a series of lower highs. Is that trend of lower highs about to end? Below looks at the yield on the 10 year note over the past ...

Chris Kimble
U.S. Treasuries Face Important Test By Chris Kimble - Oct 05, 2016

Below looks at the government bond ETF TLT over the past 10 years. For the first seven months of this year, TLT rallied strongly. That rally took it to the top of its 10-year rising channel at (1), ...

An Interest-Rate Hike Would Be Ugly For Bonds By ValueWalk - Oct 05, 2016

I’ve taken plenty of bond math classes. The best of them was in the summer of 2001 at Lehman Brothers. Lehman Brothers wasn’t going to teach a bad bond math class, not at the firm that ...