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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Cam Hui
Irrational Exuberance, Or Creativity In Banking?
By Cam Hui - Jun 15, 2014

Most recently, we saw headlines indicating that the Federal Reserve was fretting about low volatility, according to this Reuters report: In the Fed's eyes, a lot of uncertainty surrounds forecasts for...

Danske Markets
Tap Auction In SGBi3108‏     
By Danske Markets - Jun 12, 2014

Last auction before the summer break: the last chance to pick up a sizeable amount of long-dated linkers.There are some tentative signs of inflation in the US. If this is the case, it could very ...

Tim Knight
Are Interest Rates About To Tumble?
By Tim Knight - Jun 12, 2014

Judging from the shape of this pattern, I’d say bond (TNX) bulls are going to be celebrating in the weeks ahead, as interest rates are poised to push lower (against everyone’s expectations).

David Merkel
On Corporate Bond Risks In The Short Run
By David Merkel - Jun 08, 2014

From a letter from a reader: Hi David, I’ve been following your blog for the last few months and the articles are extremely insightful. I’ve been working with fixed income credit trading the last few...

Brian Gilmartin
10-Year Treasury Poised At Critical Level
By Brian Gilmartin - Jun 05, 2014

With the U.S. 10-Year Treasury poised at a key technical level, just two days in front of the May ’14 employment report which is due out Friday morning at 7:30 AM central, we continue to be fascinated...

Tim Knight
Watch That Interest-Rate Gap
By Tim Knight - Jun 03, 2014

Interest rates have been zooming higher the past four days. I think an important level to watch is the gap on 10-year yield (TNX) at 26.11 -- that is, a rate of 2.611%. If it stalls there and starts ...

Chris Ciovacco
How Worried Should Bond Investors Be?
By Chris Ciovacco - May 30, 2014

While numerous bearish calls have been made for stocks based on the recent strength in bonds, history says stocks and bonds can rise in unison for extended periods. We found five periods 2004-2013 ...

Gregory W. Harmon
Did Long Rates Bottom Thursday?
By Gregory W. Harmon - May 30, 2014

It has become fashionable to buy bonds again over the last month. What had been talked about as the end of the long term bull market in bonds was ending as of last fall and it was in favor to sell ...

Jason Sen
SCHATZ: Struggling At Resistance
By Jason Sen - May 30, 2014

The SCHATZ has struggled at strong resistance from the January/February/March highs at 110.66 all week as expected and as stated every day since Monday that a high for the week is possibly in place. ...

Jason Sen
Gilts: Support At 110.75/80
By Jason Sen - May 30, 2014

September Gilt has support at 110.80/75 but a break below here adds pressure for 110.58 then 110.42/41 which could hold the downside. If we continue lower, look for a buying opportunity at ...

Jason Sen
Euribor: June '14 Resistance At 9976
By Jason Sen - May 30, 2014

Euribor June 14 resistance at 9976 (March Highs), contract highs at 9979/80, 9982, 9984. Support at 9974, 9972, 9970, 9966/65 (January low), 9964 (December low), 9959/58 (October low).Sept 14 ...

Jason Sen
CGB: Difficult To Predict
By Jason Sen - May 30, 2014

The September Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond is almost impossible to chart with only 2 weeks of data so to be honest it is a guess until we have at least a couple more weeks of data for me to ...