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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Sober Look
10-Year JGB Yields Near 0.5%
By Sober Look - Aug 18, 2014

The 10-Year government bond yield in Japan is now around 0.5%, following an almost linear decline that started in 2006. The only way to rationalize buying 10-yr JGBs at 0.5% is believing that Japan ...

Erik Swarts
Yields: A Scheduled Departure
By Erik Swarts - Aug 17, 2014

Although we would never dispute that markets often pivot on external catalysts, as we noted recently (see here) - they often are just instigators of larger forces at play. For every time that it's ...

Danske Markets
Long Bond Yields Bottoming Out‏   
By Danske Markets - Aug 15, 2014

Review The trend for lower long bond yields has continued among rising geopolitical tensions and the view of lower terminal rates from central banks. In the meantime, short-end rates in the US and ...

Chris Kimble
Yields, Yields, Yields: What's Next?
By Chris Kimble - Aug 14, 2014

The no- brainer, can't-miss trade coming into the first of this year was that interest rates were going to rise. 90 Days ago I said that bond prices were breaking out. I shared with members numerous ...

Jason Sen
Bund: Immediate Support Of 149.10/05
By Jason Sen - Aug 14, 2014

Bund bottomed exactly at immediate support of 149.10/05 as expected and rocketed to retest Friday's all time high at 149.84. We topped almost exactly here and of course if this level holds today we ...

Jason Sen
Gilts: Rockets Through 112.21/26
By Jason Sen - Aug 14, 2014

Gilts hit the 111.66 target and rocketed through 112.21/26 to our target of 112.46/51. A break above 112.60/62 today could then lead to a retest of Friday's high and resistance at 112.80/85 which is ...

Jason Sen
CGB Looking Overbought
By Jason Sen - Aug 14, 2014

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond bottomed just above the next downside target of 137.30 and shot straight back up to 138.05/10 resistance for a selling opportunity with stops above 138.20. So far ...

Jason Sen
CGB: Good Support At 137.57/54
By Jason Sen - Aug 13, 2014

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond topped exactly at 138.05/10 resistance to hit good support at 137.57/54 for a buying opportunity, with stops below 137.40. So far we have bottomed at 137.44 but ...

Jason Sen
Bund: Resistance At 149.50/55
By Jason Sen - Aug 13, 2014

Bund resistance at 149.50/55 held perfectly again yesterday. Below 149.40/35 adds pressure today and risks a slide to immediate support at 149.10/05. This could hold the downside but below here today...

Jason Sen
Bobl: Overbought Short Term
By Jason Sen - Aug 13, 2014

Bobl still overbought short term now with negative divergence on the daily chart but held the 128.69/67 held the downside. A break lower today targets support at 128.60. Failure here today see ...

Jason Sen
Gilts: Further Downside Pressure
By Jason Sen - Aug 13, 2014

Gilts held 111.85 support and failure to quite fill the gap at 112.24/26 signals further downside pressure this week. Immediate support is 111.85 but a break lower is more negative. Go with the break...

Simit Patel
Six Reasons To Buy US Treasuries In 1 Chart
By Simit Patel - Aug 12, 2014

Ten-year bond yields in six euro-area nations ended at a record low on Friday as geopolitical tensions fueled demand for the safest fixed-income securities (before everything was ruled 'fixed' later ...