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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Bobl: Selling Opportunity At 125.30/31
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 - Apr 03, 2014

Bobl opened below 125.31/33 to hit our lower target of 125.05/02 and bottomed exactly here. We meet resistance at 125.19 with a high for the day possible but above here a selling opportunity at ...

 
Schatz : Support Now At 110.38
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 - Apr 03, 2014

Schatz hit support at 110.35/34 and bottomed exactly here. Immediate resistance at 110.38 then a selling opportunity at 110.42/43.Support at 110.35/34 could hold the downside again today but below ...

 
Index-Linked Report: Tap Auction In SGBi3107‏  
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 - Apr 03, 2014

The tap auction in the June 2017 bond takes place this week (SGBi3107). We were a bit surprised that the Debt Office decided to tap this bond, as the volume in the new 10Y bond (June 2025) is still ...

 
Gilts: Opened Below 109.23 Low
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 - Apr 02, 2014

Gilts opened lower but above Monday's low of 109.23 to beat 109.48 and reach resistance at 109.63/65. We topped exactly here but if we continue higher today, look for 109.75/76 and the 200 day moving...

 
Bund: Hit Buying Opportunity
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 - Apr 02, 2014

Bund hit our buying opportunity at 143.12/09 and bottomed exactly here but a break of this week's low at 143.02 keeps the market under pressure for the next buying opportunity at 142.88/85.If we can ...

 
CGB: May Continue Higher
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 - Apr 02, 2014

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond held Monday's range after a directionless March. 200 day moving average and 38.2% Fibonacci resistance at 129.91/96 should be a tough challenge, but above 130.05 ...

 
Muni Bounce Helps Q1
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 - Apr 01, 2014

The tax-free municipal bond market had a very good first quarter of the year as many intermediate- and longer-term bonds rallied back from their beat-up levels of 2013. Part of this rally was ...

 
Schatz Could Target Last Week's High
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 - Apr 01, 2014

Schatz failed to beat 110.46 on the open and collapsed to our buying opportunity at 110.41/40 but continued lower to 110.38. Immediate resistance at 110.43 today then 110.46 but above 110.47 can ...

 
Gilts: Appears Unchanged
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 - Apr 01, 2014

Gilts headed lower than expected to 109.23 but closed almost unchanged. Immediate resistance at 109.63/65 then 109.75/76 and the 200 day moving average at 109.85/88. We should struggle here but if we...

 
Euribor: Support Levels
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 - Apr 01, 2014

June 14 resistance at 9969, 9972/73, 9976(March Highs), contract highs at 9979/80. Support at 9966/65(January low), 9964 (December low), 9959/58 (October low).Sept 14 resistance at 9969, 9971/72 ...

 
CGB: Heading Lower
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 - Apr 01, 2014

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond opened below 129.90 unexpectedly heading lower than expected to bottom at 129.52. Immediate resistance at 129.95/130.00 should be a tough challenge, but above here ...

 
Bund: Slightly Over Running
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 - Apr 01, 2014

Bund broke 143.61/60 sinking all the way to our buying opportunity at 143.12/09 but over running a little to 143.02. This trade worked perfectly as we rocketed then to Friday's low at 143.42 and if ...

 
Bobl: Resistance At 125.53/55
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 - Apr 01, 2014

Bobl held immediate resistance at 125.53/55 but then collapsed unexpectedly through 125.32/29 to 125.20. The bounce took us back to the short term Fibonacci level at 125.41/40. If we continue higher ...

 
CGB: Second Selling Opportunity
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 - Mar 31, 2014

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond retested strong resistance at 130.40/43 for a second selling opportunity and topped exactly here. Again this trade worked perfectly as we sold off towards support ...

 
10 Year Treasuries: Traders Increase Bearish Bets
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 - Mar 31, 2014

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report Large Speculators bearish positions rise to a total of -61,765 contracts 10 Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders slightly increased their overall bearish ...

 
Poaching The Bond Cycle…..3.25.14
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 - Mar 28, 2014

Here’s the last word on iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treasury (ARCA:TLT) vs. ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (ARCA:TBT) (20 year treasuries vs its ultra inverse).  Despite all the news dynamics and ...

 
What Does Bond Pattern Mean?
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 - Mar 27, 2014

2013 wasn't kind to the bond market -- one of the worst years in a long, long time. The decline in bond prices drove iShares Barclays 20+ Yr. Treasury (ARCA:TLT) down to its 38% Fibonacci retracement...