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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Chris Kimble
If This Breaks, Yields Could Fall 20%
By Chris Kimble - Jun 27, 2014

The yield on the U.S. 10-year note and U.S. 30-Year bell weather bond look to be creating head-&-shoulders tops. The 30-year yield (right chart) looks to have broken its neckline and continues to ...

Jason Sen
CGB: Expected Moves Higher
By Jason Sen - Jun 26, 2014

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond did continue higher as expected for our target of 135.95 before topping at 136.03. The sell off hit short term Fibonacci support at 135.56 and this could be retest ...

Jason Sen
Bund: Continuing Higher
By Jason Sen - Jun 26, 2014

Bund continued higher as predicted for a move towards 146.84/86 and topped just above here at 146.92. Severely overbought short term so perhaps the topside is more limited today, but picking tops in ...

David Merkel
A Few Notes On Bonds
By David Merkel - Jun 25, 2014

My comments this evening stem from a Bloomberg.com article entitled Bond Market Has $900 Billion Mom-and-Pop Problem When Rates Rise.  A few excerpts with my comments: It’s never been easier for ...

Steve Miley
US 10-Year Corrective Bias Above 124-23/24
By Steve Miley - Jun 25, 2014

U.S. 10-Year Corrective Bias above 124-23/24, but Firm Barrier at 124-31/ 125-00US 10yr future rebound riskA slightly positive tone on Tuesday, but still viewed as a digestion phase to start the week ...

Erik Swarts
Bonds: Bubble Bubble Toils And Troubles
By Erik Swarts - Jun 24, 2014

A funny thing happened on the way to inflation... Long-term Treasury yields failed to rise as well. And although the shadow of the markets reaction is short relative to the daylight provided, the ...

Ted Kavadas
The Bond Bubble
By Ted Kavadas - Jun 24, 2014

In previous posts I have discussed the Bond Bubble and its many facets, as my analyses indicates that the overall bond market is an exceedingly large asset bubble with immensely large and wide-ranging...

Peter Schiff
The Bond Trap
By Peter Schiff - Jun 23, 2014

The Bond Trap  The American financial establishment has an incredible ability to celebrate the inconsequential while ignoring the vital. Last week, while The Wall Street Journal pondered how the Fed ...

David Kotok
Taxable Fixed Income, Q2 Review
By David Kotok - Jun 23, 2014

After a positive first quarter, taxable fixed-income markets enjoyed an encore favorable performance for the second quarter. U.S. and global economic data, geopolitical unrest between Russia and the ...

Sober Look
Monetizing QE bonds
By Sober Look - Jun 20, 2014

Congratulations go to the Bank of Japan who is now the largest holder of the nation’s government bonds. But no worries. This week Lord Turner of Ecchinswell, a former chairman of the UK’s Financial ...

Simon Lack
Why The Fed Likes Bonds A Little More
By Simon Lack - Jun 20, 2014

The chart above doesn’t look like much, but it represents a snapshot of the thinking of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on interest rates. Their communication has come a long way since the ...

David Kotok
Muni Market 2014 Halftime Show
By David Kotok - Jun 18, 2014

The municipal bond market continued to roar ahead in the second quarter with long tax-free yields continuing their decline in April and May before rising slightly in June. Many of the same factors ...