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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Martin Goersch
Is The Bund Future Long Again? By Martin Goersch - Jul 18, 2016

In the last trading week, the Bund future formed a clean downward trend. This downward trend is easily visible in the hourly chart, and one can also see that on Friday evening, the Bund began a bottom...

Sober Look
The Looming Shortage In Government Bonds By Sober Look - Jul 17, 2016

Ever since the 2008 financial crisis, there has been a persistent shortage of high-quality government debt. More than just a safe haven in times of financial stress—the so-called 'flight to ...

Bob Hoye
Markets Charge Back From Brexit Panic By Bob Hoye - Jul 17, 2016

Markets Charge Back from Brexit Panic - Central Bank Interference U.S. Interest Rates Until around the 1930s, sterling was the senior currency. During this period, US interest rates were off of the ...

Lance Roberts
Bond Bull Ain’t Dead, Just Resting By Lance Roberts - Jul 14, 2016

This past Monday, as the markets broke out to new all-time highs, I increased net equity exposure in portfolios. However, I also took one other action -- I shorted interest rates to hedge the bond ...

Jay Kaeppel
Junk Bonds And Seasonal Bias By Jay Kaeppel - Jul 12, 2016

Personally I love junk bonds. Yields greater than typical bonds and a high correlation to the stock market is not a bad combination – typically. In fact, this combination can generate some ...

Gareth Soloway
Yields Reverse And Pop By Gareth Soloway - Jul 11, 2016

Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report was insanely strong, yet yields (interest rates) didn't move. Good economic news usually spikes yields because it means the Federal Reserve is more likely to raise ...

James Picerno
U.S. Junk Bonds Lead Markets Higher By James Picerno - Jul 11, 2016

The SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (NYSE:JNK) posted a solid 1.5% total return for the shortened four-day trading week through July 8—the best performance among the major asset classes, based on ...

Doug Short
Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective By Doug Short - Jul 10, 2016

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range ...

Jesse Felder
More Thoughts On The Long Bond Blowoff By Jesse Felder - Jul 10, 2016

Right after I posted “Long Bonds Enter The Blowoff Stage,” Jeff Gundlach expressed some similar concerns to those I shared in that post: I think one thing he might be looking at, beyond ...