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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Chris Kimble
If This Happens, Bonds Could Be In Trouble
By Chris Kimble - Jun 05, 2015

Bond troubles could just be starting. This chart looks at the 10-year and 30-year yields. Each could be making Head & Shoulders bottoming patterns. If this pattern read is correct, each are ...

Dean Popplewell
Greek Yields Jump
By Dean Popplewell - Jun 05, 2015

Yields on Greek and low-rated euro zone bonds rose on Friday after Greece’s economy minister rejected its creditors’ proposals for a reforms-for-cash deal that the country needs to avoid ...

iMarket Signals
The Forward Rate Ratio
By iMarket Signals  - Jun 05, 2015

Prior to recession, the yield curve becomes inverted, as indicated by the Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) being less than 1.00. The FRR2-10 has ...

Chris Kimble
Bond Players: Beware What Happens Here
By Chris Kimble - Jun 03, 2015

It's easy to find talk these days about the Fed moving interest rates higher. Humbly, I don’t know what Janet will do next. Could it be more important what billions of free-thinking people do ...

Mike Paulenoff
What’s With The 10-Year?
By Mike Paulenoff - Jun 03, 2015

Since my last post discussing YIELD into last Friday's low at 2.09% -- when I also commented that, "if I was refinancing my mortgage, I would give the benefit of the doubt to waiting a while longer ...

Tommy Humphreys
Is This The Trade Of The Year?
By Tommy Humphreys - Jun 02, 2015

As John Maynard Keynes famously stated “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, Sir?”. I am very close to changing my mind on the direction of long-term interest rates. ...

Gary Christenson
Bikers, Bonds And Black Swans
By Gary Christenson - Jun 01, 2015

A “black swan” event occurred at a gathering of outlaw bikers on Sunday, May 17 in Waco, Texas. According to news stories a fight broke out between several motorcycle gangs at the Twin ...

Investment U
Pension Bonds: A Dangerous Trend?
By Investment U - May 31, 2015

It is a fascinating trend -- something every investor must be aware of. It’s yet another reason interest rates are likely to stay lower for far longer than most folks ever expected. If rates ...

Mike Paulenoff
10-Year Treasury Yield Points Lower
By Mike Paulenoff - May 31, 2015

This past week, the U.S. 10-Year yield broke and sustained below key support at 2.18% - 2.15%, and continued lower Friday in reaction to deteriorating economic data.The break of key support signaled ...

James Picerno
T-Bill Trends And MAs
By James Picerno - May 29, 2015

The recent stumble in US economic data raises new questions about the timing of the Fed’s plans for raising interest rates. The earliest forecast for the first round of tightening monetary ...

Jay Kaeppel
Good News Bonds, Bad News Bonds
By Jay Kaeppel - May 27, 2015

First the (potential) good news. The (potential) good news is that one trend in bonds that I wrote about a while back here and here may finally (potentially) be playing out the “right ...