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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Monty Guild
Bond Funds: A Bigger Risk Than You Think?
By Monty Guild - May 10, 2015

Investors are so used to trading ETFs that they seldom ask themselves questions about how those ETFs are constructed. In the event of major market disruptions, though, that could prove problematic -- ...

Chris Kimble
If This Happens, Bond Decline Continues
By Chris Kimble - May 08, 2015 1

Are bonds scared of copper heading higher? Are bonds scared of crude oil heading higher? Are bonds scared of the employment stats getting stronger? Humbly, I don’t just don't know. I do know ...

Gary Tanashian
Bonds In Perspective
By Gary Tanashian - May 07, 2015

The world is getting hyped up about bond yields lately with bonds of all stripes declining, as if we are in the midst of a debt Armageddon (we are and have been in the midst of a decades-long and ...

Gregory W. Harmon
Is This The Big One In Treasury Bonds?
By Gregory W. Harmon - May 07, 2015

Bond prices have been falling for 7 days in a row. Yields are now knocking at 3% for the first time since December, when they were still falling. The yield has crossed its 200-day SMA for the first ...

Ed Yardeni
Why Are Bonds Taking a Dive?
By Ed Yardeni - May 07, 2015

US bond yields have jumped recently. The 10-Year Treasury is up from a recent low of 1.87% on April 17 to 2.26% yesterday. Everyone is blaming that development on the spike in Eurozone bond yields, ...

Chris Kimble
Interest Rates: Is The Fed Losing Control?
By Chris Kimble - May 06, 2015

Is the Fed losing control of interest rates? I always though that it was in control of them. If true, then does that mean that Janet is raising rates and not telling anyone? The table below looks at ...

Trader Moe
The 10-Year Just Reached Its Target
By Trader Moe  - May 05, 2015

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury bill Just Reached VWAP of its Bottoming Megaphone (Red) The 10-year just reached VWAP of its red bottoming megaphone. I expect it to form a bottoming megaphone across VWAP ...

Philip Baker
Is The U.S. Long Bond Rate Overshot?
By Philip Baker - May 05, 2015

Since 17 April, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury bond rate has increased 35bps from 2.51% to 2.86%. Given the volatility in the bond rate, this represents a 1.95 sigma increase, having a 2.5% probability ...