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US Coffee C Futures - Dec 16 (KCZ6)

 
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145.30 +0.92    +0.64%
26/08 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 144.38
  • Open: 144.15
  • Day's Range: 143.32 - 147.62
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US Coffee C 145.30 +0.92 +0.64%
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US Coffee C Discussions

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All Comments (2890)
Alberto Ferracuti
ALF1 Aug 26, 2016 3:22PM GMT
Supplies of Arabica are not ample. They are tight after Brazil harvested a much lower than expected 16/17 crop. Quality issues with Arabica. A big Arabica exporter is a big buyer of CONAB auctioned coffee. Why ?
ALF1
ALF1 Aug 26, 2016 3:24PM GMT
What I mean to say is why the need to auction old government stocks if the crop was good, and more importantly, why is a huge Arabica exporter buying it ?
Angelica Vilchez
Angelica Vilchez Aug 26, 2016 4:01PM GMT
If there is a shortage, then why wood the auction? Trying to understand where this market is headed.????
bidhan patel
bidhan patel Aug 26, 2016 2:57PM GMT
Anyone sort yet
Ricardo Cabeza
Ricardo Cabeza Aug 25, 2016 4:28PM GMT
Consolidation or retest? Hmmm
Oktay KARADENİZ
Oktay KARADENİZ Aug 25, 2016 4:27PM GMT
every movement in coffee is illusion.
MH MH
MH MH Aug 24, 2016 4:31PM GMT
i was suppose to short the minute i saw the week opening, even i lowered my shorts to 149.74 but that's what happen then you try to play it very safe. all newsletter talks about ample supply of arabica and targets round 135 ,
Abhi
Abhi Aug 24, 2016 5:26PM GMT
All news letter talk 135, so probably not printing IMHO, this has huge IHS with target of 160, also we were at 135 only few days back, this bottoming process has taken 6-12 months it would not just lie and die.
MH MH
MH MH Aug 24, 2016 8:15PM GMT
what's bottoming has to do with future prices , since you bottomed you rallied 40% and this 40% is coming from robusta but arabica has ample supply, i always believe every month has to make it's own bottom,
Abhi
Abhi Aug 25, 2016 10:01AM GMT
What has available ample supply do with price, there are hundreds of people exclusively with sizeable resources both in terms supply info and capital devoted to task which these "snake oil" newsletter claim to do, one can safely assume those sort of info has been already been priced: If one wants to be dismissive. In short run what matters is positioning and inventory of players, rest all is noise. When you are coming off multiyear lows in commodities 40% is not enough, NG rallied about 70-80% crude approx 100%.
MH MH
MH MH Aug 25, 2016 10:31AM GMT
what are you talking about fake claims, this is rabobank and commerze bank , rabobank moves markets with his newsletter, don't compare energy with agriculture and why wheat , corn are going down because record supplies, plus the numbers are not out but it has been pointing up fro way back....maybe in november , or december but don't think you will see anything now...
Preety Kaur
Preety Kaur Aug 24, 2016 10:25AM GMT
Go short or stay on buy? Confused
Alberto Ferracuti
ALF1 Aug 23, 2016 12:59PM GMT
I know there is a lot of lack of trust in coffee rallies and buying but I have to say technically I see a strong market--nothing wrong pointing down.
MH MH
MH MH Aug 24, 2016 6:30AM GMT
charts pointing up , rabbank just talked again about Arabica coffee, cpmmerznank target 135 , so my guess this rally will die at the previous highs, i always count round 18 points from the lows which means our lows were 135 add 18 points that's 153 , were i have my shorts waiting. go through the charts and check average highs and lows , you will find it ranges 18 points at these price levels , if we go lower i use 14 points., this time rabobank left no target, which really he is the one i trust out of everybody.
MH MH
MH MH Aug 23, 2016 5:39AM GMT
alberto why would i short between the pop of the new contract and the freeze but i am ready to short ,just waiting to see signs of retreat and maybe i will short by the close today, so i don't tryst scott, but agrimony did not comment on the freeze, i believe the pop is a mix of freeze news and new contract.
MH MH
MH MH Aug 23, 2016 6:25AM GMT
i entered a shoot from the hip short order at 152.85
ALF1
ALF1 Aug 23, 2016 6:37PM GMT
Amazing how traders just became complacent with the easy money shorting this market. One of these days there will be no room for shorts.
Angelica Vilchez
Angelica Vilchez Aug 22, 2016 11:00PM GMT
Wish I could understand the language
Alberto Ferracuti
ALF1 Aug 22, 2016 6:00PM GMT
A lot of bears have gone silent here. It is always good to hear when they switch to bullish are we there yet ?
Rajesh Shahi
Rajesh Shahi Aug 22, 2016 2:56PM GMT
What's the best option to do for now???? For short term???
Rohail Butt
Rohail Butt Aug 22, 2016 3:36PM GMT
Never bet against a trend to be safe. Short term even best option is to long. So if a fall does occur you can still recover.
Alberto Ferracuti
ALF1 Aug 22, 2016 1:51PM GMT
I am wondering Stian, if your master does not get 124 where does he throw the towel ?
Stian Nørsterud
Stian Nørsterud Aug 23, 2016 9:21AM GMT
Nope. we will stick to the end. No towels thrown here. Just waiting.
Alberto Ferracuti
ALF1 Aug 22, 2016 1:49PM GMT
See chart below. Rain will induce premature flowering in Minas Gerais and rest of coffee belt--too soon. Trees are in bad shape defoliated, lower 17/18 crop. No stocks left in brazil. market is turning bullish me thinks.
Sunil Bhopal
Sunil Bhopal Aug 22, 2016 12:58PM GMT
why is it so high?
bidhan patel
bidhan patel Aug 22, 2016 12:25PM GMT
Coffee has to come down ........
Shiva Shiva
Shankar Aug 22, 2016 7:19AM GMT
Simply trade is taking place without any market analysis or inputs
MH MH MH MH
MHMH Aug 20, 2016 7:43AM GMT
what i believe coffee is doing, we are going through long term consolidation similar to the one that last it 6 month at the 120 but of course it won't last 6 month because back than was reverse of trend but don't believe we are heading up yet, 145 will be the top of the consolidation and for the bottom, it's normal that we rebound from touching 135 but that does not mean it's the bottom, i believe the base base to last a bit longer before we rally again and we just began consolidating around the base, right now coffee is not on my radar because i feel we are not at the point to start another leg up, this will happen in december contracts after it makes it's own bottom...but i will short the first 144 i run to.
ALF1
ALF1 Aug 22, 2016 2:59PM GMT
did you short 144 like you said?
Estvon Revo
Estvon Revo Aug 19, 2016 8:14PM GMT
EXPECT RIM
Alberto Ferracuti
ALF1 Aug 18, 2016 4:45PM GMT
Market turning around. Exhausted oversold MACD sell signal.
Alberto Ferracuti
ALF1 Aug 18, 2016 2:43PM GMT
We have a cold air mass moving into coffee areas. Very cold unseasonal temperatures below 5 Celcius are expected with maybe patchy frost.
Brian Tedjakesuma
Brian Tedjakesuma Aug 18, 2016 11:31PM GMT
Thanks, FYI
delta wing
delta wing Aug 18, 2016 1:50PM GMT
@Stian: Nothing moves up in a straight line, but I still stand by my target for wave 3, which is 170+.
ALF1
ALF1 Aug 18, 2016 1:54PM GMT
Ditto that DW
Stian Nørsterud
Stian Nørsterud Aug 18, 2016 2:20PM GMT
Well its easy then, i will sell my shorts and go all in with all of my money on at bull trade. Easy way to be Rich when u all are so sure.
ALF1
ALF1 Aug 18, 2016 2:40PM GMT
Stian I would never dream of riding a short all the way up to over 150 on coffee like you did. Be careful man, this mkt can break you. Now we are 20 cents lower in a correction.
Stian Nørsterud
Stian Nørsterud Aug 18, 2016 2:49PM GMT
Thats why i say: sell the shorts with 50% loss and go all in bull when everyone is som sure that we are going up now. The guy Im following Think that we are going down to 124 before going up again.
delta wing
delta wing Aug 18, 2016 3:53PM GMT
Trading is about discipline and reason, emotions only cause turmoil and doubt. The more you can be like a machine when trading and the more you can shut out that little voice in your head, the more succesful you will be as a trader. Let the charts do the talking and stick to your SL's. That's the theory and it's all truth. That being said... I can't count the times in all those years of trading that I failed miserably at executing this theory. It gets easier with practice and experience and still sometimes.... BUT I know one thing: I recognize emotions and rash actions when I see them. .
Show more replies (10)
delta wing
delta wing Aug 18, 2016 1:49PM GMT
Coffee looks done to me technically. If 134,9ish is all we got, it really is bullish.. Todays candle (if it closes around the level of 136,52) could mean 2 things IMO:. . - Or coffee is done and we get an inside key reversal today, MUST follow through to the upside tomorrow and close above 137,45 at the least, probably a lot higher.. . - Or coffee is forming a subwave 4 triangle with a triangle trust ending pattern in the coming days which moves below 134,9 as a final subwave 5 and the end of wave 2.. . Those are the possibilities IMO. We'll see what happens.. But anyway, we're close to moving up.
Stian Nørsterud
Stian Nørsterud Aug 17, 2016 5:28PM GMT
Tommy in exile, my friend you are so darn quite these days
Nikola Srbinovski
Nikola Srbinovski Aug 18, 2016 6:50AM GMT
:-) :-) :-)
Futures options
Futures options Aug 16, 2016 2:27PM GMT
My sentiment analysis tells me to keep short on coffee until new change in sentiment for this commodity will come up.
ConorTK
ConorTK Aug 17, 2016 5:28PM GMT
I believe from here we will have a short-term buy
ConorTK
ConorTK Aug 17, 2016 5:34PM GMT
We have reached a "buy-zone" on the daily chart and most likely will be heading up for the next number of days
Semper Augustus
Semper Augustus Aug 17, 2016 7:16PM GMT
What is this "buy-zone" exactly?
Stian Nørsterud
Stian Nørsterud Aug 17, 2016 8:13PM GMT
We see 124 before going up again
ALF1
ALF1 Aug 17, 2016 9:19PM GMT
This is your grand chance to bail out of your bad position with minimal loss. Coffee will rally substantially soon.
Show more replies (5)
Preety Kaur
Preety Kaur Aug 16, 2016 9:14AM GMT
Any forecast on coffee?
 
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