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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

Real-time capital.com
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
KCDerivedUSD
KCc1ICEUSD
KCc2ICEUSD
KCc3ICEUSD
KCc4ICEUSD
KCc5ICEUSD
KCc6ICEUSD
KCc7ICEUSD
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
223.28
-4.82(-2.11%)
Closed

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

DXY slump helping commodities bulls but i guess it will be a matter of few days ready to sell 212
I had traveled with Judy Ganes for thousands of miles in Brazil to show her the real situation of our farms and crops and warehouse.
We have two main catalysts for possible spike trade: 1) supply problem, recognized; 2) new disaster of some sort. Re disaster nobody knows, but re supply it is all simple: all is good - ICE stocks go up, will continue to go down - not all is good and it will be noticed. We need to wait a month or so for that...
US and EU imports were always going up during spike years and then cooling down. Importers were doing what they always do: bring more product to secure nearest sales, etc. The market regulates itself, etc. Import of green beans of A into US within last decade shows that there is a demand and shift to more quality drinks :) (Import of R was going down at the same time). Blends are always taking in more R while the A price is too high, but it is sofisticated issue for quality brands: too much R and at first consumers will drop you. It is not that simple for "die tasse" market.
For espresso (cortado) markets it is much easier transition, but for "die tasse" market it is not so.
wen 20 dollars up
the crops have not recovered from the severe droughts and frosts, we are suffering with the weather, I don't know what happens to you there, but if anyone wants to come to Brazil to visit our farms and shed, feel free
Crops with climatic stress produce flowers but do not produce fruits. 2021 crops produced flowers and fruits fell due to climatic stress. that's why we produced little this year, coffee arabica 30 million bags
yes lots of people think 2022 was just fine and now try to convince people that 2023 is great with the flowers and the rain. Thanks for posting the truth your not this first i have heard this from. The market will eventually reflect this.
Mr avarege
I am Brazilian and I work with coffee, we are facing a big crop failure in front of the 2020 crop, exports seem normal because of contract deliveries. but in the coming months they tend to have a strong fall. We don't have coffee in warehouses, little production in 2022. stay tuned, the cooperatives here don't pass the news because of the contracts. the drop here is very big... in the next few months you will be able to see the expressive drop.
Soon they will face a shortage of the product, the warehouses are already empty.
Soon they will face a shortage of the product, the warehouses are already empty.
agreed 👍
GCA -71.6k bags
*me = m/m
BM&F? What is this?
Commodities & Futures Exchange in Brazil
All is relative. Current export is in line with previous year, but it is way below (up to now) of 2020. As 2022 is ON cycle crop, and if the export of 2022 will come out being the same as of 2021 OFF cycle, hardly it can be called a good export if to compare it with 2020 ON cycle crop. Well, on the other hand it can be explained by the reduced demand due to higher price, etc. It can also be explained some other wa, like not enough supply, etc. :) There are always few ways to explain. :) The fact is, that crop of 34mb (as example), gives the possibility to export 33mb without a problem in simple math terminolgy. But if, at the same time, the stocks are very low, any next problem, if and when it will occure, will create the move of a different scale. But for that move the catalyst is needed and right now it is not in. If real harvest was perfect and the stocks are plentiful, we will see ICE stocks going up with a speed of light. But if we'll not - that means not all is good in Copenhagen... :)
lol its easy to be bullish coffee. Even with exports solid. For those who understand why exports are solid. Made 80k first time. Average price 205 going to add to that.
Be careful cafe has a life of its own
Maja is not always bullish :), she thinks for years that it is undervalued in relation to the labor and costs of average small farmer :). What is very true, a specially for specific origins, but has little common with the market. :).
Ice stock still down 398k (-2.4k today)
Very small change
yes but still not increasing and very low amount waiting for grading!!
better look GCA today .... After the support test, a rebound on KC is expected.
Nice test of support we rally from here imo. Ice continues to dwindle and that is not going to go away. Some talk that exports are up from last year. Very true and they are marginaly up as they should be as the crop was marginaly better. The supply issue is not going away. Great great but here. Been buying all morning
ICE basically without change. Do not confirm big diffs to theory.
its down from friday. The trend continues. Nice try on the spin though lol
still havent answeref the question. Or do you like just to try and spin exports too. Cover your shorts
its really bad
Gap 184 calling quick lol
lol
No one buys Brazilian tales of bad harvests anymore.
With the last rains and flowers, some say the best is yet to come on 23/24
sell185
waiting that point to average my long lol
170 soon
Lateral movement, seems no direction
Anyway expecting a recovery up to over 200
expect in one hand and ____ in the other
forecast ??
much lower in medium term but gas got too much decay better to trade coffee lol
ok sure buddy 👍🏼 lol
you are wrong..i watched maks mars analyses and predicitions many many many times 90% he was right...he is really good trader
finaly pamp day lets goo
Do you think it will go up again on Monday? Or will it stay under 200?
Have any idea about that… i hope will go up
ICE down again, 400k today
Last time such 1D RSI leveles where in 2020 when coffee was below 1$, nice!
Just before the big climb to 260?
Any reason for that? Export will collapse? Maybe you know something about future weather? For now I do not see any reasons for such rally
time set for commodities flush apart deadcat bounces lol
please anyone can tell me what are the reasons of kc down?its enough😴😴
There have been weather reports from Vietnam, that forecast heavy rains due to fall over the Central Highlands in the week to come. This as the world’s largest Robusta coffee producer has begun their new October 2022 to September 2023 coffee crop harvest. This forecasted rainfall follows a spout of heavy rain brought about by Typhoon Noru which passed through the country during the latter stages of September this year. Traditionally one would look to the cessation of the rains around this time to assist producers to begin their harvest. The relative persistence of the coming rains will be monitored over the coming days, as a prolonged continuation of rainfall may potentially delay the on-going coffee harvest.
Potential continuation may potentially do some damage. So scary. Omg.
-10% this week, +10% next week,
sorry to say commodity flush just starting
KC???
Contango soon. It will be more safe to be short. Again.
200 far away
ship is sinking towards 170
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