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Lordi Twardogóra
7 hours ago
Tomorrow another -5% any opinion ?
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🤯 Perficient is up a mind-blowing 53%. Our ProPicks AI saw the buying opportunity in March. Read full update
US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)
Real-time capital.com
| Symbol | Exchange | Currency | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | Derived | USD | Real-time | |
| KCc1 | ICE | USD | Delayed | |
| KCc2 | ICE | USD | Delayed | |
| KCc3 | ICE | USD | Delayed | |
| KCc4 | ICE | USD | Delayed | |
| KCc5 | ICE | USD | Delayed | |
| KCc6 | ICE | USD | Delayed | |
| KCc7 | ICE | USD | Delayed |
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195.17
-10.93
-5.30%
Type:
Commodity
Group:
Agriculture
Unit:
1 Pound
- Prev. Close: 195.17
- Open: 199.45
- Day's Range: 194.75 - 201.47
US Coffee C
195.17
-10.93
-5.30%
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US Coffee C Futures Contracts
In the table below you'll find the last, change, open, high, low and previous close for each US Coffee C Futures future contract. Click on the links column icons (Q C O) for quotes, charts, options and historical market data for each future contract - as well as the US Coffee C Futures Cash. (Price quotes for US Coffee C Futures are delayed by at least 10 minutes, as per exchange requirements).
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| © 2016 Market data provided and hosted by Barchart Market Data Solutions. Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar and Zacks Investment Research. Information is provided 'as-is' and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice, and is delayed. To see all exchange delays and terms of use please see disclaimer. |
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Comment Guidelines
ShortDude
8 hours ago
Viriato, SL may unfortunately be needed tomorrow.
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Viriato Magalhaes
6 hours ago
I am fearful and always have SL in place. I got stopped out of my 1/4 with a minor loss and rebuilt at 195. I was fine on the way up but closed the balance around at 230 as stoch produced a signal (for me:)) so, I just observed the drop, the drop was obvious as the attempt to retest 200 level. It may go lower for sure - nobody knows... On 1h stoch is gonna make 4th :) buy signal and on daily it is really really oversold. In the end of today's session some real volume was trading but produced little move. My zone currently is 190 - 195. Reversal or bounce - remains to be seen, but even bounce can surprise !!!
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Viriato Magalhaes
6 hours ago
The fact that Vietnam got rains will unlikely provide increase in production. While dealing with the drought it is normal, that real damage can be evaluated post harvest so, we have to pay attention to the reports and see if any increase will be shown. In current situation NO increase is not as bad as reduction for sure, but it is still bad. 50% of the market are specs so, it's fine that they liquidate when indicators say doing that. For myself, I assume that if I see it correctly (can be wrong) they will buy back with the same speed or even faster.
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Sam Houston
10 hours ago
who got burnt past 3 weeks? be honest. the forum was all bulls and cheerleaders (i.e. farmers)
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ShortDude
9 hours ago
It falls almost like ADA from 0,8$
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Sam Houston
9 hours ago
ada is much worst unfortunately.. the saving grace is no leverage in ada.. bit futures are leveraged
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ShortDude
9 hours ago
The project appears to be dead.
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Sam Houston
7 hours ago
dead I'm terms of price chart. but very alive in terms of development. they have the technology, the community, need users to start climbing now
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Sam Houston
10 hours ago
who.got rekt in past 2 or 3 weeks? be honest. forum was all bulls and cheerleaders (ie. farmers)
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sharp madoff
14 hours ago
mission accomplished, loading
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Viriato Magalhaes
12 hours ago
It seems that even toughest ones left at the end :) !
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Viriato Magalhaes
12 hours ago
If nothing changed, India is 5th R producer globally, no increase but some (not necessarily big) reduction expected. Remaining 4 from top 5: Uganda, No. 4 - some areas suffered floods recently (together with Kenya and Tanzania), Indonesia, No. 3 - was not optimistic, ES(BRL) - No.2 - nobody knows, not 30% but 5-10% of reduction was in the cards for months as I got from the coverage, Vietnam - also suffered a bit, thought got some rains back :). All reports are out in May, BRL may be around June 10th or also in May. First Frost Fear usually starts around June 10th. May be this year it's gonna be different as warm weather is still hanging around...
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Viriato Magalhaes
12 hours ago
If to consider global consumption being about 170mb in 2020 and to consider annual growth of 1.5%, then 2021+22+23+24 roughly 2.5mb/y x 4y = 10mb :). By USDA, in 2020/21 (BRL last record crop) world consumption was roughly 165mb, production - 175mb. And from WM&T report at the time, reflecting drought impact on A in Brazil: Brazil production is forecast down 13.6 million bags to 56.3 million compared to the previous year. Arabica output is forecast to drop 14.7 million bags to 35.0 million due to lower yields from the off‐year, drought, and high temperatures. The Robusta harvest is forecast to continue expanding to reach a record 21.3 million bags, up 1.1 million. Despite lower output, consumption is expected to continue
rising to a record 23.7 million bags.
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Viriato Magalhaes
11 hours ago
Make the OFF responsible for 15/20 percent and remaining 10/15 percent falls on drought and high temps. Just to underline, that 5-10% reduction, based on real drought and high temps is nothing out of the range... And note, already in 20/21 domestic consumption in Brazil was projected almost reaching 24mb ! Thus, 23 - 24mb number for Brazil for a current/next year should not be viewed as a shocking. Unlikely people stopped drinking coffee in Brazil :)...
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ShortDude
9 hours ago
A lot of new bags on ICE, backwardation will disappear.
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Hemanth Hem
16 hours ago
please answer me arebica price increase in this month....??
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Coffee Arabica
14 hours ago
Hemanth Hem yesterday
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Hemanth Hem
14 hours ago
what
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Fudbal Fudbalko
14 hours ago
change diler
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Coffee Arabica
13 hours ago
Ok
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Hovik Odabashyan
13 hours ago
Ok
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Viriato Magalhaes
17 hours ago
USDA posted India annual report. No drop/increase for 24/25 MY projected, roughly, R = 4.6mb vs 4.6mb MY23/24, A = 1.4 vs 1.4mb MY23/24. USDA projected rise in consumption roughly 2% :) and admitted that R yield is expected to drop about 2% and A yield - about 3%, R area to increase 1%. USDA: With the severity of high temperatures and absence of blossom showers, coffee output and yield during the next crop year is likely to be negatively affected. The blossom showers and backing
rains are the most critical aspects that govern flowering and productivity in coffee.
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Viriato Magalhaes
16 hours ago
Simple take of the report: 1) No increase on rising consumption; 2) real weather issues admitted; 3) assuming India domestic roughly 1.5mb, 2% increase is 30kb; 4) Currently projected reduction in production - 135mb; 5) -135 - 30 = -165mb. Also: 1) as it was seen when Brazil had drought 20/21, it is hard to give meaningful figures before the harvest, as not just quantity but size of the beans matters; 2) Before the harvest nobody projected for Brazil the drop it suffered (was stated:)) because of the last drought, being of the size, that was finally considered post harvest :); 3) from 2% to 5 - 10% the distance is not big, 5% of 6mb = 300kb, 10% - 600kb. To summarize: USDA currently projects that it's gonna be no bigger production vs previous MY and some reduction is expected. Is it positive for R ? :) (A is in decline in India for years...)
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Shashi Belame
16 hours ago
AA
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Alex Cataldo
14 hours ago
I don't believe superficial reports on consumption increasing when the two biggest dogs in the yard, starbucks and lavazza, have already stated per cup consumption is down considerably. Segafredo who is also a big player is also selling and is looking to finalize that sale by the end of the year.
That right there is pointing to a consumption decline. Big companies don't just come out and say things like this unless there are actual problems.
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sharp madoff
18 hours ago
buying some, mainly just to have it in a wallet
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Simone Marzaroli
18 hours ago
kenya flooding havest destroyed KC under attack
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Ian Ngonda
17 hours ago
yeah, im in kenya, major harvest destruction
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Rodrigo Faria
15 hours ago
A large rice-growing area in southern Brazil also suffers from heavy rains. State of public calamity.
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Viriato Magalhaes
May 04, 2024 10:03AM ET
WE long read: Vietnam. MY Oct23/Oct24, USDA Nov 23 report. Total area roughly 600k ha, Dak Lak and Gia Lai combined about 300k ha. Highlights: 1) 22/23 was lowered to 27.2mb R+A, R of 26.3mb, A of 0.9mb, due to unfavorable weather, resulting in lower cherry survival rates; 2) 23/24 was lowered to 27.5mb of R+A, R of 26.2mb, A of 1.3mb; 3) USDA admitted crop shifting and intercropping as also a factor, lowering production; 4)USDA admitted ON/OFF :) cycle for Vietnam production; 5) average yield roughly 45b/ha (Stone X stated roughly 58b/ha for R ES for 23/24). ....... Open sources, last couple of months: 1) Drought/temps issues recorded widely, Dak Lak/Gia Lai; 2) Mealybug infestation of quite higher level; 3) Irrigation problems, related to drought/high temps; 4) Statements about possible reduction in 23/24 for additional 10 - 20%; 5) Possible 24/25 lower production without indication of a percentage. ... Judy Ganes: 1) Drought/High temps real, up to 37 - 38C at noon; 2) irrigation problems for many farms; 3) much higher mealybug infestation rate than normal, critical for some farms; 4) some farmers say, yield reduction expected, as example 22/23 7mt/ha, 23/24 can be 4.5mt/ha; 24/25 can be 2.5mt/ha, same farm; 5) vegetative looks to be affected and as the result - 25/26 (!) production (for affected farms (!)).
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Viriato Magalhaes
May 04, 2024 10:03AM ET
From comments, made re JG comments about current Vietnam situation: Similar issues were in place in ES in 2014-2016 :) :) :). At the moment it is impossible to say what will be exact outcome for Vietnam 23/24 production. But no devastation is needed... In fact, 1 - 2mb of further reduction vs USDA projection of 27.5mb 23/24 will be 3 times more than enough for a ... deep frustration. 1mb/2mb reduction vs estimate of 27.5mb would be 3.6 - 7.3 %, even below 10% rate. To be simple, 5% of reduction would be 1.4mb, nothing crazy, assuming real weather issues and their coverage. Now, what is unique in my very personal view: 1) problems have been present/covered in almost all the origins, of different importance, but combined effect would be a percentage of total production in all of them; 2) facts of droughts (where applicable, Karnataka, CD'I, etc) were well covered, temps recorded by stations and used by respected w-services; 3) as soon as and IF first report for important origin will confirm the issue, the risk is real that it will be extrapolated to reasonable extent to all other origins, that suffered (documented) the same weather issues; 4) but besides 3) for 23/24, some adjustments may also be automatically made towards 24/25, etc - why not ? For instance, IF ( big if) it will be (may be not) considered being correct for Vietnam, then why shouldn't it be applied accordingly to India, etc ? 5) if 4) will take place, the effect may be expected higher as 25 is OFF (still ? :)) in Brazil; 5) USDA reductions for R in ES for last/post strong El Nino years are open numbers, anybody can see. Percentage wise it was huge, if this season will show reduction, it may be smaller, why not ? But 30% this time are not indeed needed, as the scale of the problem was very wide internationally... As example, 10% of reduction for just R for ES will be 1.6mb vs estimated 16mb. Thus to collect my virtual possible reduction of 5mb, 1.4mb Vietnam + 1.6mb ES already make 3mb, all other origins, IF problem is true !, will add more than 2mb for sure, etc... Those are all BIG paper IFs currently, but all on the very reasonable ground and historic precedents... Now, when all this may start happening, if it will be considered being kinda true ? Believe it or not, but in ... the beginning of the paper :) frost season :) :) :). All may be found false and conspiracy, farmers - greedy, hoarding - twice the harvest, etc - nobody knows :) :) :). But the chance also is that might be not :).
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Viriato Magalhaes
May 04, 2024 10:03AM ET
Stoch on daily is at the level that correlates with the reversal/bounce around the corner. As Sam and Short Dude said, it may drop to 190, 195, etc... But assuming that 62FIB was defeated and the importance of 200 - 213 (or wider 190 - 213:)) support cluster, the chance is real that frost season will be officially met at the over 200 level. Not agitating anybody to do anything !!! Just my very personal view...
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ShortDude
May 04, 2024 10:03AM ET
👌
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