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US Soybeans Futures - Sep 16 (ZSU6)

 
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991.25 +5.87    +0.60%
01:48:43 GMT - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Bushel

  • Prev. Close: 985.38
  • Open: 984.38
  • Day's Range: 983.38 - 991.50
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US Soybeans 991.25 +5.87 +0.60%
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US Soybeans Discussions

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All Comments (1076)
Manh Vu
Manh Vu 13 hours ago
Buy US Soybeans 965
Terp
Terp 12 hours ago
You mean 985?
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 26, 2016 1:15AM GMT
Buy the beans here with a potential break out from downward sloping channel. A break above 1060 would imply an advance past former highs. Call me crazy but correction time is up IMO....CC
Terp
Terp 11 hours ago
good call, looks like it might make a go
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck 11 hours ago
Should chop around versus going straight up. Better that way. Creates more doubt for Bulls and makes bears feel like they are still right...cc
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 25, 2016 12:19AM GMT
buy US Soybeans 993, SL 982.15, TP 1022.50
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 25, 2016 2:05PM GMT
I think beans could bounce here.
Terp
Terp Jul 25, 2016 2:09PM GMT
GL, I have a sell order at 990 that isn't filled
Terp
Terp Jul 25, 2016 2:42PM GMT
moved to 993...
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 25, 2016 2:43PM GMT
Buy with Stops below this mornings lows (977) is my guess. C
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 25, 2016 2:48PM GMT
closed at 1000.75 lost steam going up. In the sidelines... maybe the rest of thee week.
Show more replies (10)
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 23, 2016 4:40PM GMT
Terp...Nat gas could pose a nice short opportunity next week. If previous high not taken out with heat wave like conditions in mid west over the weekend and into next week then I think this could be a nice short opportunity despite breaking my rule never short a bull market. Nat gas needs to still flush out weak longs IMO...CC
Terp
Terp Jul 23, 2016 6:11PM GMT
If it closes above 2.80 I might short.... Ng is tricky
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 23, 2016 6:54PM GMT
If it closes there it's like to test previous high. That's where I'd short and cover if it closes above. Should get a 20 cent run with heat dome. But my reasoning is if this heat dome were forecast to last we should be trading already above former highs. More correction time still needed after this relief rally IMO. But will go long on a close above $3. CC
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 23, 2016 6:56PM GMT
If it closes there it's like to test previous high. That's where I'd short and cover if it closes above. Could get a 20 cent run with heat dome. But my reasoning is if this heat dome were forecast to last we should be trading already above former highs. More correction time still needed after this relief rally IMO. But will go long on a close above $3. CC
Jon Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 23, 2016 6:10AM GMT
Technical’s read like this for next week. For November beans support is down at 9.46, and with a close under 9.04 is next. Resistance is up at 10.50 and then 11.12. For December corn support comes in first at 3.28 and then 3.15 Resistance comes in at 3.59 and then 3.77. For December wheat support comes in at 4.34 and then 4.19 Resistance is up at 4.60 and then 471.0.
Terp
Terp Jul 23, 2016 6:10PM GMT
Thank you lord commander
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 24, 2016 6:27AM GMT
you are welcome bro.
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 24, 2016 6:34AM GMT
;)
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 22, 2016 8:36PM GMT
Its usually when the obvious trade becomes short that you see it start running the other way; generally how market makers make money. Have a good weekend all
climate east
climate east Jul 22, 2016 10:10PM GMT
You too
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 11:29PM GMT
Cheers everybody
climate east
climate east Jul 23, 2016 3:13AM GMT
Cheers
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 23, 2016 5:15AM GMT
Cheers
Terp Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 6:50PM GMT
That strong upswing at the end makes me think green when this opens imo... I have no position in soybeans right now
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 7:28PM GMT
Corn put in a subtle reversal today. I have to agree with you. Any slight downgrade in rain forecast could spark some type of recovery rally. Also bounced nicely off 990 support line. We'll see what Monday brings.
climate east
climate east Jul 22, 2016 8:24PM GMT
I don't think there is much upside left IMO
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 23, 2016 4:47PM GMT
Couldn't buy beans into close. Still too much optimism in beans and that last hour upswing proves it. May get another spike early in the weak to go short fueled by heat wave news...just my take..I think 930's are possible for old crop. CC
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 4:09PM GMT
Corn might have put in a key reversal today. Currently well off its recent low printed this am. CC
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 4:16PM GMT
The downside risk is pretty low right now... If it touches 3.30 I might... 3.20 I am in
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 4:23PM GMT
I agree. Still too early to go long the grains. Even though beans are trading ar an important support level I still think they go lower into an important bottom. CC
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 4:27PM GMT
But still contemplating going long if beans close near low of day for a nice bounce next week. Maybe test1050 area???
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 4:33PM GMT
With NG and corn having put in key reversals I think I will be going long the beans into the close.
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 5:07PM GMT
GL with that. I just feel uneasy going long beans at this trend. I'll wait for a high place to short
Show more replies (5)
Syed Ali
Syed Ali Jul 22, 2016 2:10PM GMT
My sixth sense says good amount of short covering in last hours today and then many grains ,cattles, hogs close green
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 2:15PM GMT
Then I would not be a buyer if this were to occur. Would rather see exhaustion selling into the close for a good buy opportunity. CC
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 2:22PM GMT
What CC says
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 2:31PM GMT
Also notice NAT GAS may have bottomed yesterday. More heat coming soon in the east??? That may be supportive for gains starting next week. But as I sais, if grains open lower Monday I will be stopped out as picking bottoms is dangerous if your original reason for entering proved wrong. CC
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 2:45PM GMT
I had a nat gas short that I got out of with a no loss S/L and just about pulled the trigger.... I should have... kicking myself right now
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 2:53PM GMT
Another rule I have is never short a bull market, even during a pull back/correction phase. Many lessons learned the hard way but usually the only way. At least your out, some a likely shorting today's rise which I think is dangerous. CC
Show more replies (6)
Terp Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 2:02PM GMT
excited to see what happens at $10.. thats a good psych level
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 22, 2016 2:19PM GMT
Glad for u, i missed :(
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 22, 2016 2:26PM GMT
I never sell short on down days and never buy on up days. Just a rule I learned for on the late GH Gann. May work today for beans if you got in early like terp but need to be out by day's end as market usually takes back your profit and then scares you out of your position. CC
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 2:47PM GMT
I am not going to lie, I am well up for the week and only took the short with a S/L for what I thought would be another 10 cent drop max.... and its too hot to walk in fields today
Jon Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 22, 2016 6:45AM GMT
hi guys, any call on beans for today,
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 11:49AM GMT
I just put in a sell order at 1010 S/L 1022.... Just to test the waters
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 12:09PM GMT
sept beans
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 12:38PM GMT
went to 1005 to get in...
Terp
Terp Jul 22, 2016 1:24PM GMT
Look at the weekly chart. solid down trend... I guess it depends on how long you feel like holding
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 22, 2016 1:25PM GMT
you are right, Good luck, when you think will be up trend or retrace?
Show more replies (5)
Terp Terp
Terp Jul 21, 2016 6:59PM GMT
CE/WW- what about vxx16? futures contract for the election? you know that month is gonna have to have some volatility?
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 7:39PM GMT
VXX could work- its lower risk too. depends on your confidence interval for the trade but election time is going to be volatile i might buy some options on the vix
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 5:12PM GMT
lithium stocks pulling back today... finally
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 4:33PM GMT
TERP consider taking TVIX gains at 1.45; can load up later
Terp
Terp Jul 21, 2016 4:38PM GMT
Get outta my head!
Terp
Terp Jul 21, 2016 4:45PM GMT
Out with over 7%. I might have to check out any vix stuff more often
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 4:55PM GMT
nice one- i did the same today. lets see where it sits end of today; tomorrow might be a bit of a sell off in the SnP
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 2:17AM GMT
Don't trade beans it's in range bound mode.
climate east
climate east Jul 21, 2016 2:06PM GMT
Just looked at chart. Not a good idea. Like oil. You can get stuck in a bad position. Go sell calls on the equity market
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 2:50PM GMT
im staying out of both- shorting stocks today daytrade
Terp
Terp Jul 21, 2016 3:08PM GMT
so slow....
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 3:56PM GMT
range bound mode is the worst... makes ppl impatient and they either throw in the towel or jack up their risk appetite and then it hitss. Stay away today man; im resisting temptation
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 21, 2016 6:35PM GMT
Range bound? Looks like it's in a down trend to me. New lows being made. Look for a bounce around 990 area. C
Terp Terp
Terp Jul 21, 2016 1:39AM GMT
Thx guys. I'll see how it goes
Terp
Terp Jul 21, 2016 1:40AM GMT
That's for ce and ww on tvix. In at 1.35...
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 21, 2016 2:16AM GMT
Very nice entey
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 21, 2016 3:33AM GMT
just watching, let me know if there is any call
climate east
climate east Jul 21, 2016 2:07PM GMT
@Terp Terp -be careful. Tvix can split. Won't hurt you much but still can loose. Only buy tvix if you really feel that the bloated p i g SPY is going down.
climate east
climate east Jul 21, 2016 2:12PM GMT
And indicators don't work on tvix
Show more replies (1)
Terp Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 5:50PM GMT
I'm out of this. See if it rebounds and MAYBE short before Report
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 20, 2016 6:01PM GMT
it will not go above 1050, if weather is wet, will keep going down
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 6:13PM GMT
That's supply side and I agree, but I'm curious what demand there is out there. I also have a full time job and busy this time of year
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 20, 2016 6:28PM GMT
it's really hard to predict direction. any small event can change the trend. like last time i lost almost $20k just because of dry weather. half recovered and for other half waiting for confirmed trend. i had a chance to recover from 1055 to 1026 but missed.
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 7:05PM GMT
TERP wait... im watching it
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 7:05PM GMT
Oh I never worried about you coming back to life mr Jon snow;). Seriously tho, I'm still trying to get back to where I was... Lesson learned, Sl is needed always. Take the small loss right away
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 4:19PM GMT
TERP... look into VIX trade; try to understand it. I reckon there are big trades coming up on it soon- MEGA OSCAR TRADES (=RED FERRARI). Cheers
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 4:53PM GMT
From what I understand the vix is a movement in SP500 options either positive or negative and therefore the implied volatility of the SP itself over a roughly 30 day period....?
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 4:57PM GMT
apparently I do not have clearance to do that on my trading site yet...
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 5:06PM GMT
VIX is pretty much put/call ratio which shows the level of negativity on the markets. There are different ways to trade VIX- ETFs and options. If you look at last fall VIX went from 13 to 51. Anything under 12-13 in the VIX is a good indicator of impending correction and i reckon it might start mid-late august. Dont want to over pump it with potential % gains but you can understand im talking big money here.
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 5:08PM GMT
I like what your saying. I would throw some $ at it. What etf do you recommend?
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 5:09PM GMT
Is there a Ugaz or Dgaz equivalent?
Show more replies (10)
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 20, 2016 3:22PM GMT
Jon...I suggest you go back and review Steve Zielinski's comment made July 7th. Beans are now trading below his support level which if I recall was 1050 area. This puts downside potential in perspective. Not saying we get all the way there but who knows?? CC
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 20, 2016 3:31PM GMT
you are right, it's not going above 1050 and will remain below, i will keep eye on trend and trade accordingly. keep posting you comments are important for me.
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 20, 2016 3:36PM GMT
I suspect tonights overnight market will trade above 1050 area at which time I will go short. My stops will be on a CLOSE above the 1050 level.....but this is just a hunch....trend is still down IMO....CC
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 20, 2016 3:43PM GMT
Like to see beans close just below 1050 support level today. I would then suspect overnight market would touch 1060 area which would provide a nice short opportunity. As I said before just a hunch as going shirt today at any price should be profitable IMO as long as prices remain below 1050 on a close....CC
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 3:45PM GMT
CC you should get better entry for short postion; Id wait at least till new data is out
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 20, 2016 3:45PM GMT
absolutely right, it might bounce back again to 1060 and then drop below 1044
Show more replies (4)
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 2:39PM GMT
dont trade beans
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 2:59PM GMT
I wish I could take you on a crop tour
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 3:03PM GMT
July and August are always variable months. in the past 5 years July has been on avg a down month. USDA always overpredicts or underpredicts based on how the growing season has been. historically the low in beans is Oct 10-15th and Feb 10-15th for the year. BTW, things in my area look GREAT for crops realtively speaking. If you want to hear what actual farmers think go to http://talk.newagtalk.com/forums/forum-view.asp?fid=7
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 20, 2016 3:07PM GMT
Recent price action action also confirming good crops. CC
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 3:33PM GMT
TERP that move to 1200 on poor weather conditions/forecasts was overdone but at these levels short is no good and no catalyst to make it move up like crazy so will wait till data. IMO there are better trades today- as much as I want to trade beans cant force a trade.
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 3:38PM GMT
Seasonality wise it should head down this time of the year
Show more replies (3)
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 20, 2016 1:37PM GMT
An up day finish in beans today would provide a short entry point. Sub 10 here we come IMO...CC
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 1:45PM GMT
sell sept soy 1044, S/L 1052. TP 1015
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 20, 2016 1:49PM GMT
are you sure, its going down.
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 20, 2016 1:52PM GMT
what's weather conditions
Crazy Canuck
Crazy Canuck Jul 20, 2016 1:53PM GMT
Nothing's for sure Jon. But break of 1050 (August) not a good sign yesterday. More weakness into August and then perhaps another meaningful rally to the 1200 area??? CC
Jon_Snow
Jon_Snow Jul 20, 2016 1:55PM GMT
i just closed my longs, but it's going up i guess
Show more replies (11)
climate east
climate east Jul 19, 2016 11:38PM GMT
Looks like beans are getting ready to take off
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 11:45PM GMT
CE if this shoots off. Big money to be made- don't like to get people excited since there's always chance of it going other direction however this is as low as we have seen in a while and bad weather can send it past 1200 in no time- one good monthly report.
climate east
climate east Jul 20, 2016 12:47AM GMT
I haven't looked at beans lately since oil has been such an easy short. Unfortunately I am stuck in a large long that I'm trying to get the most out of. Where do you see this going
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 12:58AM GMT
I think EIA might surprise us and it goes higher- I would not drop the bag now.
climate east
climate east Jul 20, 2016 1:09AM GMT
@Wayne Wright -I am holding til then. Who knows. Looks like it's following last years pattern tho. Might jump in beans soon. Thx
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 1:17AM GMT
I'm long oil. CE- are you shorting beans?
Show more replies (2)
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 11:30PM GMT
Terp what do you think of Monsanto's bid rejection- you think they figure they will get 130-135 and hence strong arming BAYN. Bayer is desperate their stock is beat up and only way they can grow is by acquisition of a food company- Monsanto being a great choice.i have the 125 calls from 103.80 and up a lil bit and thinking of adding 130 calls to make it an Oscar trade.
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 2:03AM GMT
In the industry it's being talked about that it WILL go through
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 20, 2016 2:47AM GMT
great!!!
Terp
Terp Jul 20, 2016 3:07AM GMT
Word on the street is that BAYN has money to throw at it to make it happen... I have heard they would go as high as 80B-90B. The seed industry is hurting right now and one way to dig yourself out and look profitable is though aquisition....also gives them a sizeable protion of the tech traits and if monsanto were to be sued, like they might be.... its nice to have corporate be overseas...
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 3:41PM GMT
Weak hands FOLD. Strong Hands PERSEVERE
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 6:16PM GMT
call running...
Terp
Terp Jul 19, 2016 8:46PM GMT
@Wayne Wright -GL, I think there's a chance
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 8:58PM GMT
willing to take the risk at these levels but oil going down not going to help... API was a 2M build.
Terp
Terp Jul 19, 2016 9:08PM GMT
I'm really hoping that was wrong and the eia shows a draw...it's happened before
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 9:19PM GMT
Yes it has many times but ive been on the wrong end of some options trades this earnings season- bummed me out enuf to not risk too much and get more disciplined with my stop losses. All the analyst estimates have been way off- almost seems like they are setting us up. Anyways ill be monitoring soy closely tonight as i drown my sorrows in Mr. Lagavulin.
Show more replies (2)
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 2:17PM GMT
added on that dip for intraday trade (1052.75). TP 1071.88
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Jul 19, 2016 2:39PM GMT
pls use tight SL for hourly/daily trades
 
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