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US Soybeans Futures - Nov 16 (ZSX6)

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949.12 +3.72    +0.39%
15:16:56 GMT - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Bushel

  • Prev. Close: 945.40
  • Open: 948.00
  • Day's Range: 947.12 - 957.12
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US Soybeans 949.12 +3.72 +0.39%

US Soybeans Discussions

 
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All Comments (1188)
Terp Terp
Terp 2 hours ago
Is anyone in here from a soybean producing area?
HankRearden
HankRearden 56 minutes ago
Virginia, right above NC. Not sure what you're reasons are as I'm not involved with them in anyway lol...but geographically I'm above NC...
Terp
Terp 50 minutes ago
What's yield like out there?
HankRearden
HankRearden 40 minutes ago
Wish I could help man, but my knowledge/experience with beans is limited to trading and historical research on them in a technical sense. I can tell you we're being brutalized with rain. Suppose to be nasty all week....doubt that's in any way useful but oh well.
Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden 11 hours ago
Terp, yeh I was thinking that's what was meant by spot pricing. So I'm curious, what're you seeing in the industry? What are the implications behind that spot price having a greater gap than on average? You mean for this time, seasonally speaking, the gap is far off? Is that bullish or bearish by your estimate and why? Overall I'm very bullish on grains as a whole, specifically Soybeans and Corn. I fully understand all grains are on track to set all time record supply, but I think we're gonna get a big advance. As I stated though, my understanding of the fundamentals are pretty limited. I try to read those USDA reports but those numbers mean nothing to me, I don't really know how to reference them with my historical data I've logged as well as my cycle analysis, though I would love to be able to add that in...but I am very curious what that greater gap in spot prices is indicative of...I should've held those longs though, now I need to find a new entry, got a few sittin at 952
Terp
Terp 7 hours ago
I'm not even sure where to start, other than to say storage is full both on and off farm, with off farm being the hardest to gauge. Also beans are over the break even for a producer where corn isn't, so i think most of the bean crop will be sold right out of the field. Basis should widen (bearish) as time goes on. From a supply side there's going to be more crop than what the usda predicts and that should be reflected oct 12. I don't know what demand is going to do, I know SA was short crop but a good chunk of the world's beans still come from the US. Corn I am neutral and wheat I am starting to turn long term bullish on. What are your thoughts?
Terp
Terp 7 hours ago
Also, margins for farmers are tight right now, there's little reason to hold over soybeans to next year, especially when corn is as low as it is.
HankRearden
HankRearden 43 minutes ago
Yeh, so basically all the fundamental aspects of beans right now are terribly bearish where as all the technicals(at least for my style of analysis) is extremely bullish. Yeh, I understand USA is the primary influence of bean price with their heavy production of it. Corn, September going back to 1959 is the number one bottoming month for it where as with beans it's October. One of the primary things I look for is long term cycles that're being run out and repeated. Wheat I do not track so much, Corn and Beans I have done extensive historical logging of price/time movement. I have been interested to see you reference Oct. 12 since I've read your posts. For me it's an important date because of time and price cycles running out....very important actually. At the cost of me sounding stupid...what is released then? That's primary harvesting report? I didn't even do anything with beans today, I'm looking to short Oil by end of day. Thanks for the info though dude.
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 28, 2016 12:33AM GMT
Nope.. I did move stop to 955, didn't touch.. I'll move it down again later . 943 looks like it will hit tonight ..
Terp
Terp Sep 28, 2016 1:16PM GMT
Looking for that 943 today, at least it's trending in a direction
HankRearden
HankRearden Sep 28, 2016 2:42PM GMT
I ended up buying...I'm averaged at 945.25, Moved stops cost to cost though. Looking for a two day reaction out of this, may tp tomorrow...just depends. Oil is solid short into next week I believe. Happy trading you guys.
Terp
Terp Sep 28, 2016 3:01PM GMT
Thank you Francisco
HankRearden
HankRearden 22 hours ago
crazy day.
Terp
Terp 22 hours ago
Heck of a battle going on. For kicks and gigs I looked up the spot price where I am. 8.74-8.85. Which is a little more gap than usual...
Show more replies (3)
Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden Sep 27, 2016 5:08PM GMT
lol...
Terp
Terp Sep 27, 2016 5:39PM GMT
Yep, tricky beans
HankRearden
HankRearden Sep 27, 2016 6:16PM GMT
For me, it's all about that closing price...looks like it's a buy tomorrow. If this HOD holds, looking like the entry will be 946-944.75. Take it easy dude. I'm glad I was patient though. Anyone going to short this tomorrow?
Glenn Dutton
Glenn Dutton Sep 27, 2016 7:23PM GMT
I will at 9.60
Glenn Dutton
Glenn Dutton Sep 27, 2016 7:23PM GMT
I will at 9.60
HankRearden
HankRearden Sep 27, 2016 11:48PM GMT
Happy Trading to you Glenn. As Steve pointed out, watching other grains Corn popped off it's 50% Range with Wheat also finding support at a key level...Beans did make a new low but closed so strong after making bottom at it's 240' measurement from 994 top and 25% of Nov. Range. It's a neat set up, we'll see how it turns out. Steve, did you cover or just lower stops?
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 27, 2016 12:40PM GMT
Final leg of head shoulders?. continuation of double top?. . Or triple bottom?. Volume levels have been up, But cancelled price run. Still look at corn to be front runner with signs you only see every 6 months.. Any way, we are(1/2) week away from run
Terp
Terp Sep 27, 2016 2:03PM GMT
If this scoots below 943 and stays I might get back in with a tight sl
Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden Sep 27, 2016 12:20AM GMT
Can it close firmly below 943...will be interesting.
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 26, 2016 4:43PM GMT
I agree. oct 12 should say something as nov 9.. runs normally happen after Harvest.
Terp
Terp Sep 26, 2016 5:45PM GMT
I'm out of position waiting for the bump
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 26, 2016 3:16PM GMT
Hank.. sold at 970, moved stop to 960.. early this morning showed this. High % should be 900, 890 mark.. If we head higher, will consider moving stop lower. watch as always will be that 940 .
HankRearden
HankRearden Sep 26, 2016 3:27PM GMT
Nice dude, I missed this last leg down...previously I was short averaged at 969.75 into 949.75, then I bought 945.75 into 975.75...I was trying to buy Friday, got stopped so I had to walk away and reorganize my thoughts. Hindsight it was a clear short but I had top coming in at 998 and because I had that fixed price, psychologically i screwed up. GL on your shorts dude. Beans usually hang around their bottoms anyways, doubt it springs up today. Happy trading man.
Terp
Terp Sep 26, 2016 4:00PM GMT
If there's a bit of a pop I still think it's worth a short before oct 12th
Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden Sep 26, 2016 2:59PM GMT
If we can't close below 946, let alone even get there...if 948 holds with a close there or above, looking like it's a buy tomorrow at open. Volume seems good for this hour as well,...anyone actually holding shorts here, or have you covered yet and waiting for a break/firm close to re-enter?
Kamal Thapa
Kamal Thapa Sep 26, 2016 7:27AM GMT
any fact news about soya??????
Terp
Terp Sep 26, 2016 12:26PM GMT
Google it
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 26, 2016 12:15AM GMT
Quick thought.. main watch next 7 to 10 days will be (corn). normally beans is front runner. corn, should be watched. . beans has double top/ possible head-shoulder. Until 40 area is broken, never take for . granted. 60 line in sand.
Terp
Terp Sep 26, 2016 12:27AM GMT
I'm waiting for corn to go lower... Sub 3.15 or even 3... Then I'm game. Might not happen
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 23, 2016 8:10PM GMT
Yes.. WE had 3 breaks/close below 60 line which is major .. next move should be pullback from here then drop. 40 is line for head shoulders..
Terp
Terp Sep 23, 2016 8:44PM GMT
I know this has to start dropping here soon. Timing it is the trick
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 23, 2016 5:34PM GMT
should end around 60 mark, today.. close around 40, might see free fall.
Terp
Terp Sep 23, 2016 6:50PM GMT
On Monday?
HankRearden
HankRearden Sep 23, 2016 7:54PM GMT
I'm watching 946-948 on Monday, that, coupled with the closing price and volume. I'm anticipating another signal day...
Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden Sep 23, 2016 1:52PM GMT
Terp, good call on the reaction. I was dreaming it'd come in the next day at 998/999, would've been a fun short. I actually had that area peppered with limit orders LOL. In hindsight the 4 Market day 6 Calendar day move at 53.50 points has been a very standard form as of lately. Add to that the big volume on top yet not able to close above 990. What's really interesting is the volume on this move down in comparison, is very different. Then the Form reading is switching over as well. Some fun stuff going on with beans right now. Take care, nice weekend, trade well.
Terp
Terp Sep 23, 2016 2:45PM GMT
I'm not really sure what you translated there... But should be a lot of selling going on
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 22, 2016 6:59PM GMT
Gl.. I think your too close to 46 line. Unless it closes above 46.40, I'de wait. . thanks for info... made good chunk today.
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Sep 22, 2016 6:34PM GMT
Buy Crude Oil 46.17, SL 45.47, TP TBD
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Sep 23, 2016 8:56AM GMT
Moved SL to 45.30. Last attempt
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 21, 2016 7:48PM GMT
ww.. 45.60 might be stop. if it does continue look at 46.40 to be tp
Terp
Terp Sep 22, 2016 1:19PM GMT
It looks like its getting pretty hard to push past 940... I think 950 is doable within a week. The soybeans are really going to start coming out of the field here in the next week to week and a half.
Terp
Terp Sep 22, 2016 1:21PM GMT
weather and exports might bump it up today tho
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Sep 22, 2016 3:29PM GMT
c1losed 2/3 of my bet for oil now... cheers guys
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Sep 21, 2016 7:19PM GMT
Buy Crude Oil 45.33, SL 44.68, TP TBD
Terp
Terp Sep 22, 2016 2:11PM GMT
Dude, your spot af on that
Wayne Wright
Wayne Wright Sep 22, 2016 4:25PM GMT
if you are in it, might be wise to take some profits
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 21, 2016 5:44PM GMT
wow.. Got out at 80, but you might be right terp.. we may see 50 today.
Terp
Terp Sep 21, 2016 11:30PM GMT
No today but by the end of the month maybe. Depends on weather
Camel Lite
Camel Lite Sep 22, 2016 12:55AM GMT
Up 20 points
Terp
Terp Sep 22, 2016 2:56AM GMT
Ce- you in this?
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 21, 2016 10:25AM GMT
pullback?. If we do, have stops in already.. I'm basically waiting on dollar. Doesn't want to break down .. (price) will have a lot to say for import/export.
Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden Sep 20, 2016 4:18PM GMT
999 tomorrow looks pretty interesting.
Terp
Terp Sep 21, 2016 8:30AM GMT
Bet we hit 9.50 before 10...
HankRearden
HankRearden Sep 21, 2016 10:32AM GMT
Gotta touch 998-999 first though ;)
Terp
Terp Sep 21, 2016 2:24PM GMT
Ok, I bet we hit 9.50 before 998
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 20, 2016 3:45PM GMT
Great. I know it'll come back. Just keep putting in stops.
Steve Zielinski
Steve Zielinski Sep 20, 2016 1:35PM GMT
nah , bought at 60 holding..
Terp
Terp Sep 20, 2016 2:35PM GMT
I bought at 50 and holding. Not buying this hike
Terp Terp
Terp Sep 20, 2016 12:54PM GMT
Just FYI, yield reports so far are trending above avg... well above... record above on beans, just well above on corn.
Kenny Ken
Kenny Ken Sep 20, 2016 12:46PM GMT
Helo im junior ,bro can you teach me what factor that may soybeans poin stonger?
 
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