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Natural Gas Futures - Nov 14 (NGX4)

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3.629 +0.006    (+0.18%)
24/10 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Energy
Unit: 1 Mmbtu

  • Prev. Close: 3.622
  • Open: 3.666
  • Day's Range: 3.560 - 3.666
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Natural Gas 3.629 ++0.006 (++0.18%)
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Natural Gas Contracts

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Natural Gas
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Latest Natural Gas Comments

Andy HD
Andy HD Oct 24, 2014 08:58PM GMT
sold and re-bought the short position via HND today for the 3.76 NG cost average. let's see if JB's seasonal bottom at 3.56 theory is true. my focus date is oct 28th, the options expiration date.... unless the bulls stage a run before that and i will need to sell my HND, i will keep it until then and will then reevaluate. definitely some buying pressure today.... still have not updated my model....
James Black
James Black Oct 24, 2014 09:08PM GMT
Am mixed feeling at the moment - things look soft going into Mon, stuck at the 3628 on prompt. Z4 looks a bit weaker, but.....your call Andy. I just like the fact that the Saudis and Ruskys are going to apply some oil pressure going into next year.....next week will be interesting jb
Andy HD
Andy HD Oct 24, 2014 09:39PM GMT
3.63 is definitely safe going into the winter, that's sure, so no reason to worry there.... the thing that folds me from flipping on the long side yet is the current option positions on the november contract, especially the european put/call volume and price distributions....... + of course the upcoming injections - we will likely have at least 2-3 weeks of robust 70-80+ injections... any surprise in high 90s during the next 102 weeks will send the price down. .... + extra capacity on the supply side that folks discussed here....
Andy HD
Andy HD Oct 24, 2014 09:47PM GMT
p.s.: putin's recent speech at valdai club was interesting.... basically americans & co were openly told to FO.
James Black
James Black Oct 24, 2014 09:57PM GMT
ever the diplomat old Putin........he's just waiting for the cold to arrive to screw the taps on Ukraine, which is vis Germany as it's backer....I'm sat sort the Dax. I think the gas will be turned down this winter. On NG, I think we have seen the bottom, but will be soft for the next few weeks. NOAA under estimating forward weather at the moment., but they would. Have a good w/e mate. Back Monday
Jim Beale
Jim Beale Oct 25, 2014 01:39AM GMT
Putin will do whatever he can to get the sanctions lifted, whether it is cogent from a logical point of view or not. The speech was/is a web of logical fallacies - and provides no justification for Russia's military action in Ukraine. So the sanctions must remain in place.

arthur Garfield
arthur Garfield Oct 24, 2014 08:22PM GMT
walking to sailboat for a few hours of cocktails and mellow gliding over L.I. Sound.. Be nice to each other and keep smiling over weekend.

Steve Butler
Steve Butler Oct 24, 2014 07:57PM GMT
for the past 11 years going back to the beginning of EIA's weekly surveys, injections have continued into November. EIA forecasts that total natural gas consumption will average 86.5 Bcf/d this winter. This is 4.5 Bcf/d lower than last winter's average consumption of 91.0 Bcf/d
arthur Garfield
arthur Garfield Oct 24, 2014 08:07PM GMT
Ok,so what's your point ??. That presuming higher winter temps-NG consumption will be down ?
Paul GasX
Paul GasX Oct 24, 2014 08:28PM GMT
Who cares about 4.5 lower. We are over 300 bcf lower than last years supply anyways. Should not mean you go bearish... Unless we do not have a winter which is not the case the price will go up in november and december and january. We will not drop below the price of last year because we are in a 5 year deficit.
Paul GasX
Paul GasX Oct 24, 2014 08:30PM GMT
Plus predictions are always wrong.
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