Investing.com -- Crude futures bounced off near two-month lows amid heavy short covering on Thursday, even as investors expressed significant concerns on a global oil and gasoline supply glut in the wake of a bearish U.S. stockpile report from the previous session.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, WTI crude for August delivery traded between $44.96 and $45.80 a barrel before closing at $45.53, up $0.77 or 1.72% on the session. On the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), brent crude for September delivery wavered between $46.34 and $47.47 a barrel, before settling at $47.22, up 0.96 and 2.08% on the day. Crude futures recovered somewhat one day after plummeting 4%, following a lower than expected supply draw in the U.S. last week.
While crude inventories in the U.S. fell by 2.5 million barrels over the first week of July, market players focused more intently on a considerable 4.1 million build in distillate fuel inventories, the largest weekly amount in six months. Even as travel throughout the U.S. remains high during the key summer driving season, demand in gasoline has not been strong enough to offset vast supply builds. At the Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts 1 (PADD 1) region in the East Coast, distillate fuel inventories rose by 1.172 million last week, representing nearly one-third of the overall gains. The sizable build prompted analysts from Energy Aspects to issue predictions of further declines in oil prices, due to the "epic gasoline surplus."
Investors continued to digest a bullish monthly report from OPEC earlier in the week after the world's largest oil cartel said it expects world demand to increase by 1.2 million barrels per day in 2017, climbing at a faster pace than current supply estimates. For the time being, however, energy traders focused on reports of swelling supply levels among top OPEC producers such as Saudi Arabia and Iran. In June, the Saudi kingdom pumped an additional 66,500 bpd in comparison with its output in May, as production rose to 10.308 million bpd. As a result, OPEC output for the month averaged 32.86 million bpd, up 264,000 from the previous report. Notably, the measure included the return of Gabon to the group, adding an additional 214,000 to the monthly total.
As U.S. output continues to level off from 44-year highs last summer, producers in the Middle East have seized market share. Following the latest supply gains from OPEC, the influential International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that producers in the Middle East now control their largest share of the overall global energy market since the late 1970s.
The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, fell more than 0.30% to an intra-session low of 95.84. The index has fallen by more than 3% since early-December.
Dollar denominated commodities such as crude become more expensive for foreign purchasers when the dollar appreciates.