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Key Forex Market Forecasts For This Week

ByJay Hawk
Published 12/22/2014, 01:27 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Key Fundamental Forex Events and Forecasts for this Week

The following table lists the key economic data and other events that are due out during the week of December 22nd – December 26th, with release times displayed for the GMT time zone.

The list also includes the current market consensus forecast for each event and indicates what sort of deviation might affect the forex market valuation of the indicated currency positively.

Monday, December 22nd

  • 3:00pm USD Existing Home Sales (5.21M expected, > good for currency)
  • 9:45pm NZD Trade Balance (-550M expected, > good for currency)

Tuesday, December 23rd

  • All Day JPY Bank Holiday
  • 7:45am EUR French Consumer Spending (0.2% expected, > good for currency)
  • 9:30am GBP Current Account (-21.1B expected, > good for currency)
  • 9:30am GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals (37.3K expected, > good for currency)
  • 9:30am GBP Final GDP (0.7% expected, > good for currency)
  • 1:30pm CAD GDP (0.1% expected, > good for currency)
  • 1:30pm USD Core Durable Goods Orders (1.1% expected, > good for currency)
  • 1:30pm USD Final GDP (4.3% expected, > good for currency)
  • 1:30pm USD Durable Goods Orders (3.0% expected, > good for currency)
  • 2:55pm USD Revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey (93.5 expected, > good for currency)
  • 3:00pm USD New Home Sales (461K expected, > good for currency)
  • 3:00pm USD Core PCE Price Index (0.1% expected, > good for currency)
  • 3:00pm USD Personal Spending (0.5% expected, > good for currency)

Wednesday, December 24th

  • All Day EUR German Bank Holiday
  • 8:00am CHF KOF Economic Barometer (99.2 expected, > good for currency)
  • 1:30pm USD Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (291K expected,
  • 3:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories (-0.8M expected, > good for currency)
  • All Day NZD Bank Holiday
  • All Day AUD Bank Holiday
  • 11:50pm JPY Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (hawkish = good for currency)

Thursday, December 25th

  • 3:45am JPY BOJ Governor Kuroda speaks (hawkish = good for currency)
  • All Day CHF Bank Holiday
  • All Day EUR French Bank Holiday
  • All Day EUR German Bank Holiday
  • All Day EUR Italian Bank Holiday
  • All Day GBP Bank Holiday
  • All Day CAD Bank Holiday
  • All Day USD Bank Holiday
  • All Day NZD Bank Holiday
  • All Day AUD Bank Holiday
  • 11:30pm JPY Household Spending (-3.5% expected, > good for currency)
  • 11:30pm JPY Tokyo Core CPI (2.3% expected, > good for currency)
  • 11:50pm JPY Preliminary Industrial Production (1.0% expected, > good for currency)
  • 11:50pm JPY Retail Sales (1.2% expected, > good for currency)

Friday, December 26th

  • 1:30am JPY Average Cash Earnings (0.5% expected, > good for currency)
  • All Day CHF Bank Holiday
  • All Day EUR German Bank Holiday
  • All Day EUR Italian Bank Holiday
  • All Day GBP Bank Holiday
  • All Day CAD Bank Holiday

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Technical Forecast and Levels to Watch for the Majors This Week


EUR/USD: Lower
Resistance:
Initial: 1.2241/55, 1.2270, 1.2323/33, 1.2357/62, 1.2381/94, 1.2407/39, 1.2455, 1.2494/96, 1.2500/01, 1.2514/19, 1.2531, 1.2545, 1.2569/70, 1.2588/89, 1.2605, 1.2613, 1.2623/25, 1.2661/63, 1.2676, 1.2692/98, 1.2715, 1.2744/54. 1.2791/1.2805, 1.2815/21, 1.2834/79, 1.2900/04, 1.2919/21, 1.2978/98, 1.3000/03, 1.3047, 1.3059/66, 1.3077, 1.3093/1.3109, 1.3126, 1.3130, 1.3152/65, 1.3172/77, 1.3187/1.3206, 1.3220/42, 1.3294/99, 1.3305/08, 1.3318/24, 1.3332/35, 1.3344/53, 1.3366, 1.3376/89, 1.3398/1.3416, 1.3432/44, 1.3451, 1.3473/82, 1.3489/1.3524, 1.3538, 1.3546/88, 1.3597, 1.3602/15, 1.3621/31, 1.3639/50, 1.3663/76, 1.3682/86, 1.3685/1.3710, 1.3714/16, 1.3731/39, 1.3748, 1.3758/74, 1.3784/98, 1.3807, 1.3810/20, 1.3824, 1.3832/36, 1.3845/54, 1.3864, 1.3875/78, 1.3888/92, 1.3905/14, 1.3937, 1.3947 and 1.3966/69.
Above: 1.3993/1.4000, 1.4246, 1.4500/17, 1.4695 and 1.4939.
Support:
Initial: 1.2219, 1.2162, 1.2143 and 1.2133.
Below: 1.2041 and 1.1938.

USD/JPY: Mildly Higher
Resistance:
Initial: 119.62, 121.38, 121.62, and 121.80/84.
Above: 124.14, 125.67/75, 126.17, 126.41, 126.90 and 135.19.
Support:
Initial: 118.97, 117.94, 117.43, 117.23, 116.82, 116.10, 115.56/58, 114.65, 112.98, 111.78, 111.60, 110.39/47, 110.08, 109.90, 109.53, 109.45, 108.98, 108.42, 108.24, 108.00, 107.38/39, 107.18, 107.05, 106.80, 106.24, 105.70, 105.41/43, 105.30/33, 105.18, 104.83/91, 104.63/68, 104.36, 104.07/26, 103.91, 103.82, 103.73/75, 103.37/43, 103.30, 102.92/103.08, 102.57/82, 102.49/52, 102.33/40, 102.26, 102.13/14, 101.90/102.04, 101.60/83, 101.50/56, 101.42/43, 101.30/32, 101.08/27, 100.82/86, 100.75, 100.60/65, 100.38/48, 100.22 and 100.00.
Below: 99.94, 99.66, 99.40, 99.25, 99.13/14, 99.00, 98.84/92, 98.63/72, 98.48/53, 98.28, 98.20, 98.08, 97.75/83, 97.49/63, 96.90/97.05, 96.81, 96.65/70, 96.55/56, 96.05, 95.79/80, 95.44, 94.90/95.07, 94.87, 94.55, 94.19, 94.05, 93.76, 93.78 93.68, 93.50, 93.17, 92.77/95, 92.14/30, 91.19, 90.85, 90.20/32, 89.40/66, 88.05, 87.95/99 and 87.79.

GBP/USD: Lower
Resistance:
Initial: 1.5624/27, 1.5656, 1.5673, 1.5683/92, 1.5714/17, 1.5750, 1.5763, 1.5775/89, 1.5803/07, 1.5825, 1.5844, 1.5853, 1.5874/77, 1.5886/93, 1.5900/27, 1.5948/51, 1.5956/61, 1.5975/94, 1.6001/08, 1.6051/66, 1.6071/83, 1.6096/98, 1.6109/21, 1.6130/36, 1.6155, 1.6161, 1.6177/83, 1.6195/98, 1.6204/15, 1.6215/16, 1.6222/26, 1.6237/46, 1.6251/62, 1.6280/86, 1.6290, 1.6298/1.6309, 1.6336, 1.6348, 1.6357, 1.6376, 1.6380/83, 1.6394, 1.6400, 1.6415/18, 1.6441/44, 1.6458/65, 1.6484, 1.6496, 1.6516, 1.6524, 1.6534, 1.6548, 1.6576/86, 1.6592, 1.6611/17, 1.6624, 1.6640/56, 1.6665/67, 1.6683, 1.6692/98, 1.6716/24, 1.6730/37, 1.6745, 1.6755, 1.6765/68, 1.6777, 1.6785, 1.6800/02, 1.6812, 1.6819/22, 1.6831/44, 1.6874/87, 1.6902/09, 1.6919/20, 1.6951, 1.6960, and 1.6995.
Above: 1.7000, 1.7010, 1.7035, 1.7042/51, 1.7058/62, 1.7084, 1.7094/99, 1.7107, 1.7130, 1.7167, 1.7176/78, 1.7190 and 1.7440.
Support:
Initial: 1.5601/18, 1.5584/92, 1.5561/68, 1.5538/45 and 1.5514/16.
Below: 1.5498/99, 1.5476/79, 1.5458, 1.5434, 1.5427, 1.5403/21, 1.5313/92, 1.5304, 1.5293, 1.5260/62, 1.5237/39, 1.5208/23, 1.5198, 1.5173/87, 1.5164, 1.5152/57, 1.5130, 1.5123, 1.5101, 1.5092, 1.5081, 1.5072/75, 1.5026/32, 1.5013, 1.5007, 1.4985, 1.4966/67, 1.4884, 1.4872, 1.4856, 1.4830, 1.4812 and 1.4785, 1.4345 and 1.4232.

AUD/USD: Mildly Lower
Resistance:
Initial: 0.8203/13, 0.8223, 0.8307, 0.8375, 0.8416, 0.8473/84, 0.8512, 0.8541, 0.8578, 0.8590, 0.8641, 0.8651/62, 0.8693, 0.8702, 0.8729, 0.8747/54, 0.8760/73, 0.8784, 0.8812, 0.8819/25, 0.8842/52, 0.8857/61, 0.8869, 0.8887/97, 0.8906/12, 0.8918/20, 0.8923/36, 0.8951/57, 0.8967/69, 0.8981/87, 0.8994/0.9010, 0.9035, 0.9041, 0.9042/48, 0.9054/57, 0.9061/66, 0.9072/79, 0.9102, 0.9110/19, 0.9127/37, 0.9147, 0.9162/67, 0.9179/89, 0.9200/08, 0.9214/26, 0.9232/74, 0.9286/94, 0.9304, 0.9311, 0.9328/34, 0.9343/53, 0.9359, 0.9386/0.9410, 0.9420/24, 0.9428/33, 0.9440/47, 0.9455/57, 0.9469 and 0.9483/86.
Above: 0.9500, 0.9524/27, 0.9536/42, 0.9571, 0.9585, 0.9592, 0.9620, 0.9640, 0.9664, 0.9676, 0.9689/96, 0.9710, 0.9732, 0.9757, 0.9791/94, 0.9841/96, 0.9900, 0.9925/83, 1.0000/18, 1.0052, 1.0099/1.0100, 1.0114/17, 1.0148/51, 1.0165/77 and 1.0181/82.
Support:
Initial: 0.8138, 0.8121, 0.8106, 0.8066/81, 0.8008, 0.7988 and 0.7950.
Below: 0.7792 and 0.7674.

USD/CAD: Mildly Higher
Resistance:
Initial: 1.1670/72 and 1.1723.
Above: 1.2985, 1.3007/14 and 1.3062.
Support:
Initial: 1.1590, 1.1475, 1.1457/65, 1.1443/47, 1.1391/92, 1.1384, 1.1331/39, 1.1310/12, 1.1289/95, 1.1263/77, 1.1254, 1.1221/29, 1.1190/94, 1.1168/73, 1.1158, 1.1152, 1.1141, 1.1116/32, 1.1102/09, 1.1097/99, 1.1081/89, 1.1069/70, 1.1030/53, 1.0982/1.1001, 1.0962/66, 1.0954/59, 1.0941/45, 1.0934, 1.0925/28, 1.0915, 1.0903/09, 1.0894,1.0873/86, 0852/59, 1.0849, 1.0839/40, 1.0820/27, 1.0813, 1.0793/96, 1.0742/85, 1.0736, 1.0726, 1.0717, 1.0702/09, 1.0693, 1.0668/79, 1.0646/60, 1.0619/29, 1.0608,1.0580/87, 1.0567/71, 1.0558/59, 1.0546, 1.0519/22, 1.0506, 1.0496/1.0502, 1.0471/87, 1.0459, 1.0441/44, 1.0414/18, 1.0401/04, 1.0390/92, 1.0379, 1.0355/68, 1.0333, 1.0324, 1.0309/12, 1.0283/1.0305, 1.0270/76, 1.0262, 1.0244/55, 1.0233/35, 1.0199/1.0226, 1.0172/82, 1.0165, 1.0151/56, 1.0148, 1.0128/42, 1.0103/05, 1.0081/99, 1.0050/56, 1.0029/34, 1.0018 and 1.0012.
Below: 0.9993/98, 0.9984, 0.9969, 0.9945/60, 0.9931, 0.9922, 0.9902/07, 0.9899, 0.9858, 0.9814/26, 0.9724/99, 0.9686, 0.9645, 0.9631, 0.9525, 0.9445 and 0.9405.

NZD/USD: Lower
Resistance:
Initial: 0.7751/58, 0.7760/64, 0.7763, 0.7783, 0.7791/95, 0.7804, 0.7819/29, 0.7838/47, 0.7856/57, 0.7869/78, 0.7888, 0.7903/06, 0.7925/37, 0.7967, 0.7989/0.8013, 0.8030, 0.8040, 0.8049/60, 0.8075/82, 0.8100/09, 0.8114/37, 0.8147/53, 0.8160/76, 0.8186, 0.8195/97, 0.8204/14, 0.8221/41, 0.8250/55, 0.8263, 0.8268/71, 0.8280, 0.8285/87, 0.8291/95, 0.8302/16, 0.8322/66, 0.8376, 0.8389, 0.8406, 0.8413, 0.8421/61, 0.8472/79, 0.8487/89 and 0.8499.
Above: 0.8504/18, 0.8523/37, 0.8542/53, 0.8560/61, 0.8571/78, 0.8584/90, 0.8602/05, 0.8633/41, 0.8647/53, 0.8660/67, 0.8671/74, 0.8693/0.8700, 0.8712/18, 0.8734, 0.8744, 0.8764/77, 0.8789, 0.8792, 0.8821, 0.8834 and 0.8840.
Support:
Initial: 0.7705/35, 0.7697, 0.7681/86, and 0.7605/79.
Below: 0.7500/85, 0.7467, 0.7455/59 and 0.7368

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