Friday’s development didn’t go wrong, it just went as expected - but more slowly than I had hoped. So, the expectation of an interesting end to the week has become an interesting mid-week. The Dollar has continued to make steady gains all round with the exception of GBPUSD. Today should see follow-through with further gains expected albeit still at quite a slumbering pace – and of course, with Asia providing the deep sleep in between the rally.
It is noticeable that the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds remain supporting the Dollar with more swings around the hourly Clouds that tends to point to either a temporary stalling point until the 4-hour Clouds hustle price in the same direction or yield to a break in the opposite direction. This mere observation tends to suggest another somnambulistic day.
The Aussie has been choppy in its decline – which is not too much of a surprise because it’s correcting a move from an earlier mini-correction. The outlook remains the same but does point to a more volatile outcome a little further down the road – and one that should be accompanied by the Europeans. The target support remains valid.
I had begun to get a little edgy with USDJPY, thinking that perhaps there was a mild risk of a minor new low but Friday saw that concern laid to rest with the steady gains it has made. This is very much in line with my preference and is helping EURJPY to remain afloat also while EURUSD drifts lower in a haze. I suspect this process will continue over today although we are quite close to some intermediate targets.
In summary: another generally slow but directional day with limited ranges.