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The economy of 2015 started out “unexpectedly” weak before succumbing to “global turmoil.” It was the events of last summer that began to sow serious doubts about not just the...
The pinnacle of the global financial system is warning that conditions are right for a “full-blown banking crisis” in China. Since the last financial crisis, there has been a credit boom...
The consensus 3rd quarter GDP estimates show U.S. economic growth may accelerate just before election day.This prompted the Wall Street Journal to ponder the October Surprise? But how can stronger...
It was a day of contrast- some pairs worked well and others decided to do their own funky stuff. For the most part, we saw a relatively narrow range day as expected and this has allowed the 4-hour...
Fed And BoJ On This Week’s DocketThree key charts are trying to hold onto the “breakout followed by a retest” as described on September 14. Given that the market is bracing for a...
We were closely watching decisions and comments by many central bankers again last week: Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of Atlanta Dennis Lockhart, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel...
The analog to markets is the struggle over the last three years between corporate earnings fundamentals and interest rates for control of stock prices. Earnings have been at or near a peak since 2013...
Markets remain turbulentFriday’s inflation data out of the United States showed a slight upward pressure on prices, which quickly brought the possibility of an interest rate hike this year back...
EUR/SEK is trading too high while normal drivers suggest the pair is overbought.The Riksbank will shadow but not out-ease the ECB and is done cutting rates. The krona has underperformed with Swedish...
The greenback opens the week broadly lower as markets await FOMC meeting. The stronger than expected August CPI reading in US would possibly heat up the debate between hawks and doves. But after all,...
The Japanese Yen and Dollar ended last week as the strongest major currencies, ahead of BoJ and FOMC meeting. Dollar traded soft most of the week as pressured by receding expectation for September...
The US dollar, which finished last week on a firm note, is under pressure to start the new week that features Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve meetings. The slighter stronger August CPI reading...
GBP/CAD Today’s support: - 1.7134, 1.7113 and 1.7100 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.7078, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.7057. Break of the latter would...
Another weekend, another EU summitBratislava was the host city for the latest EU leaders summit, a summit that did not include UK PM Theresa May. Headlines from the meeting seem to be rather sparse...
Two months ago I posted a short article in which I discussed an example of how the change in an economic statistic was greatly exaggerated — in order to paint a misleading picture — by...