Natural gas seems to be struggling between conflicting announcements of weather and continuous declining inventory. The recent fall in natural gas futures price was unexpected but the announcement of declines in inventory seemed to create an immediate and impulsive reversal in natural gas futures price from this level. On analysis of natural gas futures price in different time frames (monthly, weekly, daily, 5 hr. and 1 hr.), I find the level of $3.247 to $3.288 seems to be more supportive and ensures a technical bounce back from there.
Seasonally, natural gas demand tends to see an increase during this time. I expect a good upward reversal in natural gas futures price from here and its expected entry into its possible seasonal peak “B” on or before January 16th, 2017 as I predicted in my analysis.
I find natural gas futures price to move upward within a fixed upward trading zone from January 9th - 26th, 2016.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely based on the technical observations. I do not have any position in natural gas. One can create position in natural gas at his/her own risk.