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USD/CHF Collapses, Avoid Trading GBP/USD Until It Clears 1.5385

Published 10/12/2015, 05:06 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY remains trapped within a tight range inside the triangle pattern as seen on the provided daily chart, but we believe that these price actions could be a preparation for a strong move.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

As far as trading continues between 120.60 and 119.60, we will be on the sidelines.

We see inappropriate risk versus reward ratio and we will be patient until the USD/JPY pair breaches through one of those lines to take a position.

Technical indicators are showing signs of continuous hesitation, while prices are trapped between SMA20 and SMA50.

Support: 119-60-119.35-118.80

Resistance: 120.60-121.05-121.30

Direction: Bearish below 119.60-119.40 and bullish above 120.60, preferable 120.85.

USD/CHF

The USD/CHF has collapsed sharply last week, achieving a strong negative closing below 61.8% Fibonacci and below moving averages as seen on the provided daily chart.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

These declines have assisted bears to form a long black candle on the weekly chart, but prices are close to 50% Fibonacci.

We need a sustained breakout below this level and preferably below 0.9585 to affirm the negativity appearing over most time frames.

Support: 0.9600-0.9530-0.9500

Resistance: 0.9685-0.9725-0.9780

Direction: Bearish below 0.9585

EUR/USD

Very weak movements are currently witnessed on EUR/USD along with weakness on ADX, while RSI stabilized below 70.00 levels, as the pair is close to 1.1385 resistance.

EUR/USD 4 Hour Chart

We prefer to be neutral to see what the pair will do around 1.1385 and 1.1420; noting that failure to clear 1.1420 will end the bullish move.

Support: 1.1320 – 1.1280 – 1.1240

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Resistance: 1.1385 –1.1420 – 1.1460

Direction: Sideways, but bullish above 1.1420

GBP/USD

GBP/USD attempts to incline once again alongside bullish crossover on ADX. Trading above moving averages is a positive signal, encouraging us to be bullish, but we will avoid trading the pair until it clears 1.5385.

GBP/USD 4 Hour Chart

A break above this level is required to prove the strength of the bullishness and to fix the sign on RSI, which could turn into a negative divergence.

On the downside, coming below 1.5315 will negate the bullish attempts.

Support: 1.5315 – 1.5270 – 1.5235

Resistance: 1.5385 – 1.5450 – 1.5540

Direction: We will avoid trading until the pair clears 1.5385

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