🚀 AI-picked stocks soar in May. PRFT is +55%—in just 16 days! Don’t miss June’s top picks.Unlock full list

Bulls Fluff Their Lines

Published 09/05/2022, 03:48 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
US500
-
US2000
-
IXIC
-

It was a classic technical bull trade but somehow bulls contrived to make a mess of it. It's not all lost, but the gap higher was quickly reversed and weakened throughout the day on Friday so there wasn't much room for maneuver. For the Nasdaq and S&P there were bearish engulfing patterns of Thursday's bullish hammers. Thursday's doji in the Russell 2000 was similarly engulfed by Friday's selling. The net result is to expect further losses when traders return to their desk on Tuesday. 

Stochastics for the Nasdaq haven't yet reached an oversold level which is a little troublesome given the extent of losses leading into Friday's losses. The opportunity for the momentum rally at the stochastic mid-line is now off the table - so now we have to look at the possibility for a bottom when stochastics do finally reach an oversold state. 

COMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P is also showing a net bearish technical picture as the Nasdaq, but like the Nasdaq, it finished the week on what should be decent price support - which is also its 61.8% retracement of the June-August rally. 

SPX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 is caught in the middle with its underperformance against the S&P, but outperformance versus the Nasdaq. It hasn't yet reached the support level defined by June's mini-consilidation during its bottom around $170, but given the action in the S&P and Nasdaq we would need to assume it will. Short term traders will be moving back from the S&P to the Russell 2000 looking for a long trade, but it will be contingent on this aforementioned June support level holding. 

IWM Daily Chart

For Tuesday, I would be waiting again for a bullish reversal candlestick - most likely a bullish doji or hammer - although a bullish piercing candlestick would suffice.  Techicals for all indices are net bearish, and in such cases the expectation would be a move back to an oversold state - and this is still a couple of weeks away if you are looking at momentum. I don't think we will make it back to June lows, but we need to be rational and keep all plays on the table and trade accordingly. 

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.