Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The rise in interest rates has been meteoric, with mortgage rates reaching levels not seen in nearly two decades.The 10-year U.S. treasury bond yield is highly watched as a leading indicator, and that...

With yields trading at elevated levels and stocks trading at depressed levels, it makes sense that junk bonds are not faring well this year. But they are trying to re-group for a potential...

I loaded the 60-day intraday history of all the ETFs I follow, and one of them stood out among all the rest: bonds (by way of TLT). Oh my lord, why didn’t I just put my entire account into TLT...

Rising Interest rates have been very hard on stocks and bonds so far this year.But are any ETFs doing well during this rapidly rising rate environment? Yup. The ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury...

The US 10-year Treasury yield has been on a tear over the past two months, its rise fueled by persistent high inflation and ongoing increases in short-term interest rates by the Federal Reserve. But...

U.S. government bonds offering inflation hedging provided the only positive return for the major asset classes in last week’s trading through Friday, Oct. 14, based on a set of proxy ETFs.The...

During the 3rd quarter of this year, we saw the 10-year treasury bond yield reach its highest level in nearly 15 years.This corresponded with mortgage rates reaching levels we hadn’t seen...

For a very long time, I have been writing in our Quarterly Inflation Outlook that TIPS were “relatively cheap, but absolutely expensive.” By that, I meant that TIPS real yields at -1%,...

The BoE has postponed the planned sale of UK government bonds amid uncertain market conditions.To stabilize the markets, the Bank of England plans to buy long-dated bonds and postpone the planned...

Back in March, I wrote, “The long-term chart of the 30-year treasury yield may now be the most important chart in the world. For the past 30 years or so, the yield on the long bond has formed a...

Inflation-adjusted interest rates are rising, rapidly. It wasn’t all that long ago that pundits and markets were worrying about the fallout from negative real rates. In short order, the risk has...

Last week marked the official start of autumn—or so we’re told. Here in San Antonio, the daytime high temperatures are still hovering in the mid-90s.The week also felt like a huge pivotal...

One major theme of 2022 is the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to squash inflation. Case in point, the Fed raised rates another 75 basis points on Wednesday.Will this be enough? What’s to...

As comments from heads of central banks go, yesterday’s press conference was relatively lucid. For anyone who remains confused about the likely path ahead for monetary policy, well, they...