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Forex - EUR/USD firms as ECB backs off on fresh stimulus

Published 12/04/2014, 11:30 AM
Updated 12/04/2014, 11:31 AM
Euro shoots up as ECB leaves policy unchanged, holds back on new stimulus

Investing.com - The euro shot up against the dollar on Thursday after the European Central Bank held off on plans to introduce fresh stimulus measures to prop up the economy.

In U.S. trading, EUR/USD was up 1.11% at 1.2447, up from a session low of 1.2281 and off a high of 1.2456.

The pair was likely to find support at 1.2281, the session low, and resistance at 1.2507, Monday's high.

The European Central Bank left interest rates on hold at their current record lows of 0.05% earlier Thursday, in a widely anticipated decision.

The single currency rose after Draghi said the ECB would reassess the success of its existing stimulus programs and the impact of weak oil prices on the euro area economy in the early part of next year.

He said the bank could potentially change the size, scale and composition of its existing stimulus programs. The governing council remains unanimous that it will take further measures if necessary, he added.

The ECB's current stimulus program includes purchases of asset-backed securities and covered bonds, though markets have been keeping a close eye out for plans to announce purchases of government debt, and the bank's decision to remain in a wait-and-see mode gave the euro support.

The ECB substantially revised down its forecasts for growth and inflation and warned that the latest forecasts do not take into account the recent steep drop in oil prices.

The bank now expects the euro zone economy to grow by just 0.8% this year, 1.0% in 2015 and 1.5% in 2016. It cut its inflation forecast for this year to just 0.5% from 0.6% and to 0.7% in 2015 from 1.1%.

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Meanwhile in the U.S., the Department of Labor reported earlier that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending Nov. 29 decreased by 17,000 to 297,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 314,000, in line with expectations.

Elsewhere, the euro was up against the pound, with EUR/GBP up 0.82% at 0.7913, and up against the yen, with EUR/JPY up 0.94% at 148.87.

The Bank of England's monetary policy committee earlier left U.K. interest rates on hold at their current record low of 0.5% and maintained the size of its asset purchase program at £375 billion.

The minutes of the meeting are to be published on December 17.

The minutes of the BoE’s November policy meeting showed that two policymakers voted in favor of 0.25% hike in the benchmark rate for the fourth consecutive meeting.

On Friday in the euro zone, Germany is to release data on factory orders.

The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched government report on nonfarm payrolls, the unemployment rate and average earnings, as well as a report on factory orders.

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