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U.S. Needs to Address Large Fiscal Deficit, IMF Economist Warns

Published 01/21/2019, 09:51 AM
Updated 01/22/2019, 04:50 AM
© Bloomberg. Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, deputy director of the research department at the at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), attends a world economic outlook news conference during the spring meetings of the MF and World Bank in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Tuesday, April 18, 2017. The emergence of protectionist forces could undermine a modest brightening of the global growth outlook and is putting severe strain on the post-World War II economic order, the IMF said today.

(Bloomberg) -- The International Monetary Fund’s deputy research head warned that the U.S. can’t continue expanding beyond its potential growth rate for very long, even as the fund left its growth forecast for the world’s largest economy unchanged, adding that Washington will need to address its budget deficit.

“In the U.S. we have what we call pro-cyclical fiscal policy, we have the economy virtually at full employment but a large fiscal deficit and that is something that will have to be addressed,” Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, deputy director of the IMF’s research department, told Tom Keene in a Bloomberg TV interview from Davos.

The IMF on Monday cut its forecast for the world economy, predicting it will grow at the weakest pace in three years in 2019 and warning fresh trade tensions would spell further trouble. Still, the fund left its projection for the U.S. unchanged at 2.5 percent.

“The U.S. comes out of a very protracted expansion,” Milesi-Ferretti said. “But it cannot continue to grow much above its potential growth rate for a very long time simply because the unemployment rate is already so low.”

Latest comments

USA isolationism 2018-19, recession 2020, credit rating downgrade 2023, major deficit crunch 2024. US complete failure by end of that decade
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