Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

British funds raise cash to five-month highs, brace for Brexit: Reuters poll

Published 05/27/2016, 07:35 AM
Updated 05/27/2016, 07:40 AM
© Reuters. A supporter stands by a sign at the launch of the Vote Leave bus campaign, in favour of Britain leaving the European Union, in Truro

By Sujata Rao

LONDON (Reuters) - British investors have raised the share of cash in their portfolios to five-month highs, bracing for any market turmoil from a possible "Brexit" vote at next month's referendum and interest rate rises in the United States.

They also cut their exposure to UK equities by two percentage points in May to 26.7 percent, or the lowest since February, according to a Reuters poll. The latest monthly survey of UK-based funds was conducted between May 16-25.

While betting markets suggest that Britons will opt to remain in the European Union at the June 23 referendum, and opinion polls now show the "Remain" camp with the upper hand, fund managers seem to be taking no chances.

A Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) survey found this month that holdings of UK equities were at 7-1/2-year lows and data this week showed that the very uncertainty fueled by the referendum run-up had caused a fall in British business investment for the first time in three years.

All those fears are being amplified by the global backdrop of sluggish economic growth and the expectation - held by all those who responded to a Reuters question - that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year.

"Markets are prone to shocks over the summer," said Trevor Greetham, head of multi-asset at Royal London Asset Management, adding he was underweight U.S. and UK equities despite a moderately positive stance on stocks as a whole.

Broadly, the share of equities in funds' balanced portfolios remained stable, thanks to an increase in exposure to U.S. and euro zone markets, which came at the expense of the UK.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Overall bond and cash allocations rose by around one percentage point each, the latter standing at 8.8 percent.

Investors acknowledged that the referendum may also provide opportunities and Greetham said he saw the greatest opportunity in an overweight sterling position.

"While the markets may be factoring in a Remain vote, they are not factoring in the economic consequences of a Remain vote - namely a pick up in business and consumer confidence and the start of base rate hikes, possibly as early as November," he added.

But fund managers were cognizant of other risks dogging world markets - the U.S. presidential election in November, higher U.S. interest rates, poor corporate profitability and weak growth in the developing world and the euro zone.

Business growth in the euro zone bloc slowed to 16-month lows in May, with weakness concentrated in the smaller peripheral economies.

"Contagion risk into Europe is a significant risk in our view: specifically the Brexit vote will likely give rise to more calls for referendums in other nations which could undermine the stability of the Euro project," said Sacha Chorley, a portfolio manager at Old Mutual.

Latest comments

"specifically the Brexit vote will likely give rise to more calls for referendums in other nations" It is just as likely the opposite will occur with any such referendums regarded as pointless once this silly Brexit thing is quashed. Obama has already issued a trade warning to anyone who leaves the Euro zone. The Illuminati lizard overlords have already spoken :)
The centalised EU kleptocrats are on full speed propaganda against a Brexit...They even got Carney repeat his "opinion" over and over...
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.