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Oil keeps climbing after Fed passes on tapering

Published 09/18/2013, 09:10 PM
Updated 09/18/2013, 09:11 PM

Investing.com - Oil futures continued higher during Thursday’s Asian session after the Federal Reserve shocked markets by saying it will not taper its quantitative easing program.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for November delivery jumped 0.41% to USD107.72 per barrel in Asian trading Thursday. The November contract settled higher by 2.35% at USD107.28 per barrel on Wednesday.

Many investors felt the Fed would announce plans to trim the amount of bonds it buys each month to spur recovery, a stimulus tool known as quantitative easing that drives down long-term interest rates and weakens the dollar to spur recovery, a recipe for rising gold prices. However, the Fed surprised markets by saying tapering of its easing efforts is tied to economic data and not the calendar.

While that could be viewed as a sign that the U.S. economy is not as deep into recovery as the Fed would like to see, data points suggest oil demand is picking up.

The Energy Information Administration reported earlier that U.S. crude oil stockpiles dropped by 4.37 million barrels in the week ending Sept. 13, well beyond expectations for a decline of 1.39 million barrels and far past a decline of 219,000 barrels in the previous week.

In U.S. economic news out Wednesday, the Commerce Department said single-family housing starts jumped 7% last month to an annual rate of 628,000 units, the highest level in six months. New construction for apartments and condominiums fell 11.1%. Permits for single-family homes rose 3% to the highest level since May 2008.

Oil futures could continue to rise on the expectation that with QE remaining in place for the foreseeable future, the U.S. dollar will weaken. Oil is denominated in dollars.

Elsewhere, Brent futures for November delivery rose 0.26% to USD110.86 per barrel on the ICE Futures Exchange.


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Latest comments

Pardon---the props and such:. . Iran is about to take the great bulk of MidEast risk premium out of the price of oil with it's peace initiative.. . This should be reflected in a successful round of Palestine/Israeli negotiations, removing another bit of risk premium.. . The world is a awash in oil, and these artificially high prices tend to promote alternative energy sources, reducing the need for oil. . . Demand in 2014 will be easily met. OPEC is pumping too much oil, and US production is soaring. . . Risk premiums should drop radically, and Iran's oil production will be ramped up 1,000,000 barrels a day, adding to a global surplus.. . We'll probably see $80.00 WTI within six months. . . The risk of the Debt Ceiling fight to economic growth, which is measly and artificially inflated as well, and the end of easy money are addl. risks, that may hasten the return to balanced supply and demand. . . As well as the risk of debt implosion in China. Which might give oil a $60.00 handle over 9 months.
The price of oil has several artificial props under it, the collapse of which should result in an bear market for years to come.
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