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Oil falls on doubts OPEC+ will make further cuts

Published 12/03/2023, 08:38 PM
Updated 12/04/2023, 05:42 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023. China Daily via REUTERS

By Erwin Seba

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil prices fell on Monday on concern about a drop in demand and on continued uncertainty about the depth and duration of OPEC+ supply cuts.

Brent crude futures settled down 85 cents, or 1.08%, at $78.03 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures finished down $1.03, or 1.39%, at $73.04.

Monday's fall adds to a 2% decline last week after the supply cuts announced on Thursday by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, together known as OPEC+.

"The market has decided (OPEC+ production plans) are not going to have that much of an impact. It's more style over substance," said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, said about crude traders on Monday.

Saudi Arabia's energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said in a televised interview with Bloomberg on Monday that he expected OPEC and its allies to bring about the 2.2 million in crude oil production cuts announced last week.

"I honestly believe that the delivery of the 2.2 will happen," Bin Salman said. "I honestly believe that will continue to happen (and the) 2 million will overcome even the huge inventory build that usually happens in the first

quarter."

OPEC+ last week announced production cuts that are voluntary in nature, raising doubts about whether or not producers would fully implement them. Investors were also unsure about how the cuts would be measured.

Traders over the past five months have waited to see if cuts in production as well as predicted changes in demand would come to fruition, said Zane Curry, vice president of markets and research for Mobius Risk Group.

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"We've become Missouri, the Show-Me state," Curry said.

Surveys on Friday showed global manufacturing activity remained weak in November on soft demand, with euro zone factory activity contracting, while there were mixed signs on the strength of China's economy.

"The OPEC+ 'deal' last week was unconvincing to say the least," said Craig Erlam, analyst at brokerage OANDA. "And with markets seemingly anticipating more of an economic slowdown next year, the announcement simply doesn't go far enough."

Elsewhere, Western countries have stepped up efforts to enforce the $60 a barrel price cap on seaborne shipments of Russian oil imposed to punish Moscow for its war in Ukraine.

Washington on Friday imposed additional sanctions on three entities and three oil tankers.

Latest comments

please help someone oil will go again up
First it will fall as the economy stagnates, goes into recession.
Israel attack more that russia …. Yesterday kills 700 in gaza
Well if 80 % of the dead are hamas soldiers or hamas supporters whats the problem
How many did Russia killed in Ukraine?
How much support have Gazans given to Russian invasion of Ukraine?  How much support to Ukraine?  How much support has Ukraine given the Palestinians?
Theatrics....normal
Real sanctions would have capped Russian oil at $25 a barrel, but the U.S. drillers would never have allowed that to happen.
Russia sells its oil regardless of caps.  If they were forced to sell at $25, many countries would have said the heck with peace, and clamored to buy it.  US OIL would have had to cut their own prices.
I haven't seen ANY news articled where Russia says to remove the cap or else (fill in the blank).  It is not hurting them as there are still buyers and probably many shady middle-men steering that oil to where it supposedly isn't.
"Russia rejects $60-per-barrel cap on its oil, warns Western countries of cutoffs"  --  pbs.org
Cut is cut. Voluntary or not is still cut
Imagine how greedy one has to be to hope and pray for higher oil prices that screw your fellow consumer just for profit. The lowest of the low. 75 per barrel is quite high actually
This highlights an interesting paradox.  When oil prices were high, the Biden Administration begged those who could to produce more oil.  They said that it was un-American not to increase supplies because withholding oil hurts Americans.  So, billions of dollars was invested to produce that oil and prices retreated.  Still, if they come down too far, those investors who funded the relief, will not get their money back, or will make less than market returns.  So they hope that prices will stay high *enough* to make a reasonable return--but this desire makes them "The lowest of the low."   When we have made it painful enough for investors to stop investing in American oil you can be sure that our enemies will use that opportunity to hold us over an oil barrel and hurt us if they can.   You can't have it both ways.  You can't assault investors for not producing AND attack them for wanting to make a reasonable return.    Not everyone who has money or invests in oil is evil.
  A lot of those calling for higher oil prices are motivated by politics, not their investments.
70
Absolute joke. We are at 90 in 2 weeks
How can u say that
Correction to the title oil algo trader bots programmed to short sell to suppress oil prices and ignore fundamentals.
what is the fundamentals ignored here?
just a ploy to let Venezuela ship and sell as much oil as possible for a few months. Pay their debts and keep the corruption rolling. Biden is a traitor to Americans.
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