Get 40% Off
🤯 Perficient is up a mind-blowing 53%. Our ProPicks AI saw the buying opportunity in March.Read full update

Crude oil futures - weekly outlook: November 24 - 28

Published 11/23/2014, 08:12 AM
Crude oil futures end the week higher after China rate cut, ECB stimulus hopes

Investing.com - Oil futures ended Friday's session higher, as investors bet that fresh stimulus efforts in China and the euro zone will lead to increased global demand.

On the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent for January delivery jumped $1.19, or 1.3%, on Friday to settle at $80.36 a barrel by close of trade.

London-traded Brent futures hit a session high of $81.61 a barrel earlier in the day, the most since November 12.

On the week, the January Brent contract rose 95 cents, or 1.18%, the first weekly gain in nine weeks.

Elsewhere, on the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for delivery in January tacked on 66 cents, or 0.87%, on Friday to end the week at $76.51 a barrel.

Nymex oil touched $77.83 a barrel earlier in the session, the highest level since November 12.

New York-traded oil futures picked up 69 cents, or 0.9%, on the week, halting a seven-week losing streak.

The spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $3.85 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, compared to $3.59 in the preceding week.

Oil prices rose on news that the People's Bank of China cut its benchmark one-year deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% and trimmed its one-year lending rate by 40 basis points to 5.6%.

The move came in response to recent signs of a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy.

China is the world's second largest oil consumer after the U.S. and has been the engine of strengthening demand.

Meanwhile, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi reiterated on Friday that the central bank is ready to expand its stimulus program to raise inflation and boost growth as quickly as possible.

The ECB's current stimulus program includes purchases of asset-backed securities and covered bonds, though markets are keeping a close eye out for plans to announce purchases of government debt, a stimulus tool known as quantitative easing.

Market players continued to weigh the likelihood that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will cut output to support prices when it meets in Vienna on November 27.

Oil ministers from Venezuela and Ecuador have asked for action to prevent further price declines, while Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have resisted calls to lower production.

Concerns over weakening global demand combined with indications that OPEC producers will not cut output have weighed on prices in recent months.

London-traded Brent prices have fallen nearly 30% since June, when it climbed near $116, while WTI futures are down almost 29% from a recent peak of $107.50 in June.

In the week ahead, the U.S. is to release a string of economic reports on Wednesday due to Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday, including a look at unemployment claims and durable goods orders.

A report from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers decreased their bullish bets in New York-traded oil futures in the week ending November 18.

Net longs totaled 175,051 contracts as of last week, down 4.1% from net longs of 182,490 in the preceding week.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Latest comments

Crude prices rebounded last week after taking support at 73.70, a crucial technical level. $73.70 is 50% Fibonacci retracement level of crude oil prices from 2008 lows of $33 to 2011 highs of $113, suggesting crude prices could again rally after correcting 50% from 2011 highs. As long as crude holds $73.70 as its support, it may try to test $84, which is 61.80% Fibonacci retracement for the same period. OPEC members meeting in Vienna on November 27 would be crucial for oil prices in near term. Most analysts are expecting that OPEC members may announce a cut in production to support oil prices. People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced a cut in benchmark interest rate in an effort to boost domestic economic activity. European Central Bank is on verge of announcing more monetary stimulus to fight falling inflation and boost growth activity. The near-term outlook for crude oil remains positive on hopes of demand pick-up and possible production cut from OPEC members.
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.