Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Banking rout fuels U.S. oil hedging, as investors seek to limit losses

Published 03/16/2023, 01:13 PM
Updated 03/16/2023, 01:26 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed stock graph and "Oil Stocks" words in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

By Stephanie Kelly and Arathy Somasekhar

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil producers, banks and hedge funds have increased purchases of put options to protect themselves from further losses, market sources said this week, as crude futures hit their lowest level since December 2021 on concern that the rout in the banking industry could trigger a global recession and cut fuel demand.

Oil futures have fallen over 8% since last Friday as the collapse of SVB Financial and peer Signature Bank (NASDAQ:SBNY) prompted concerns of a wider banking crisis.

Credit Suisse on Thursday sought to shore up its liquidity and restore investor confidence by borrowing up to $54 billion from Switzerland's central bank. The Swiss lender is the first major global bank to be thrown an emergency lifeline since the 2008 financial crisis.

Investors in the oil market, including oil producers, have rushed to buy put options, used to either bet on or protect against downside movement. Some hedge funds had short positions on options, two market sources said, in a bet that prices will fall farther.

"There is a fear that if the global economy comes down we could be talking about oil going lower," Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn said. "Because (investors) don't know how this banking crisis is going to play out, they're trying to put a floor on risk."

Volume in puts for the U.S. crude futures contract for April delivery gained on Friday over 30% from the previous session to 30,594, CME Group (NASDAQ:CME) data showed.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

From Friday to Wednesday, volumes rose even further, climbing over 60% to 50,255 puts. There were about 36,394 call options, or bets on a higher price, bought on Wednesday in comparison.

For U.S. crude futures options open interest, the ratio of puts to calls is the highest since August 2022.

"Given the price action we are looking at, I would say you could see further increases in volatility just because the sentiment is so sour," said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth US.

A U.S. based trader said investors were reluctant to buy and hold due to the high volatility and was therefore focused on short term positions in the market.

"Shorting these levels could turn quickly on you," the trader added.

However, if oil prices fall further, buying put options to protect against the downside would become more expensive as demand goes up, though puts costs vary.

The discount of later-dated oil futures contracts to the front-month contract tightened on Wednesday, indicating that market participants were less confident in short-term demand.

That short-term uncertainty should buoy put buying, Price Futures Group's Flynn said.

The premium of U.S. crude's front-month contract to U.S. crude's price in half a year tightened to as little as 29 cents a barrel, the lowest since Feb. 7, Refinitiv Eikon data showed.

For international benchmark Brent crude futures, the front-month contract's premium to the contract in half a year tightened to $1.31 a barrel, the lowest since Jan. 31.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.