Key Highlights
US Dollar continued to trade in the positive territory, but struggling to clear an important resistance at 121.50.
· Fed interest rate decision is a major release lined up today, which is likely to ignite moves in the US dollar.
· USD/JPY has a support around 121.10 and resistance ahead at 121.50.
Technical Analysis
The USD/JPY pair continuously finding buyers around the 121.00 level and struggled to move lower. Recently, the pair tested the 50% fib retracement level of the last leg from the 120.62 low to 121.56 high. Moreover, the 200 hour moving average is also positioned on the downside and acting as a barrier for the US dollar sellers.
There is a bearish trend line formed on the hourly chart, which is protecting upsides in the pair. The pair struggled many times around the highlighted trend line and moved back lower. We need to see whether the pair can break higher or not. A break above the stated trend line might ignite more gains in the near term. In that situation, the pair might spike towards the last swing high around 122.00.
Currently, the pair is flirting with the 100 hour MA. A successful close above the same might encourage the US dollar buyers moving ahead.
Fed Interest Rate Decision Today, in the US the fed interest rate decision will be announced, which holds the key for the US dollar in the short term. We need to see how it reacts and whether it surges higher or corrects lower moving ahead.