Talking Points: - US Dollar Technical Strategy:
- Support: 11965, 11854, 11737
- Resistance:12107, 12221, 12335
The Dow Jones FXCM US dollar Index may correct lower after producing a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Near-term support is at 11965, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 11854-76 area (14.6% Fibonacci expansion, March 2009 high). Alternatively, a turn above the 38.2% Fib at 12107 opens the door for a challenge of the 50% expansion at 12221.
Our long-term fundamental outlook calls for a broadly stronger US Dollar against its major currency counterparts. With that in mind, we are holding long via the Mirror Trader US Dollar currency basket.